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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability — Saturday 10 December 2022

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet — making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

20 matches cleared our threshold on Saturday 10 December 2022. Grimsby vs Tranmere led the list at 49% in the League Two. The shortlist runs from 49% down to 34%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

League Two supplies three of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, ten landed the clean sheet market — 50%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 League Two · England
Grimsby
2 : 1 FT
Tranmere
Win 24%
Draw 34%
Win 42%
Under 2.5 75% BTTS No 67%
#2 League One · England
Forest Green
1 : 0 FT
Cheltenham
Win 24%
Draw 31%
Win 46%
✓ Under 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS No 63%
#3 League Two · England
Stevenage
0 : 0 FT
Mansfield Town
Win 62%
Draw 23%
Win 15%
✓ BTTS No 54%
#4 League Two · England
Sutton Utd
1 : 0 FT
Colchester
✓ Win 49%
Draw 29%
Win 22%
✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 59%
#5 Super League · China
Hangzhou Greentown
2 : 0 FT
Meizhou Kejia
✓ Win 58%
Draw 25%
Win 17%
✓ Under 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS No 53%
#6 Championship · England
Millwall
1 : 1 FT
Wigan
Win 56%
Draw 25%
Win 19%
✓ Under 2.5 55% BTTS No 55%
#7 Championship · England
Middlesbrough
2 : 1 FT
Luton
✓ Win 40%
Draw 32%
Win 29%
Under 2.5 71% BTTS No 63%
#8 League One · England
Exeter City
1 : 1 FT
Sheffield Wednesday
Win 23%
Draw 27%
Win 50%
✓ Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 55%
#9 Super League · China
Hebei Zhongji
0 : 4 FT
Beijing Guoan
Win 7%
Draw 11%
✓ Win 82%
✓ Over 2.5 79% BTTS Yes 58%
#10 Championship · England
Blackburn
1 : 4 FT
Preston
Win 49%
Draw 27%
Win 24%
Under 2.5 58% BTTS No 54%
#11 League One · England
Ipswich
2 : 1 FT
Peterborough
✓ Win 60%
Draw 22%
Win 18%
✓ Over 2.5 54%
#12 League One · England
Burton Albion
1 : 1 FT
Derby
Win 28%
Draw 29%
Win 44%
✓ Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 55%
#13 League One · England
Shrewsbury
3 : 2 FT
Bolton
✓ Win 37%
Draw 31%
Win 32%
Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 60%
#14 League Two · England
Swindon Town
0 : 0 FT
AFC Wimbledon
Win 46%
Draw 28%
Win 26%
✓ Under 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#15 League One · England
Milton Keynes Dons
1 : 2 FT
Fleetwood Town
Win 24%
Draw 26%
✓ Win 50%
Under 2.5 55%
#16 Super League · China
Shenzhen Ruby FC
0 : 2 FT
Changchun Yatai
Win 13%
Draw 19%
✓ Win 68%
Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 57%
#17 League One · England
Lincoln
0 : 0 FT
Wycombe
Win 39%
Draw 30%
Win 31%
✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#18 League One · England
Cambridge United
0 : 0 FT
Plymouth
Win 24%
Draw 25%
Win 51%
#19 League Two · England
Newport County
0 : 1 FT
Doncaster
Win 45%
Draw 27%
Win 28%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
#20 Super League · China
Tianjin Teda
1 : 1 FT
Henan Jianye
Win 37%
Draw 31%
Win 32%
✓ Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 53%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet — common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Saturday 10 December 2022?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Grimsby vs Tranmere at 49% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.