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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability β€” Wednesday 9 November 2022

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet β€” making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Wednesday 9 November 2022. Lecce vs Atalanta led the list at 52% in the Serie A. The shortlist runs from 52% down to 35%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Serie A supplies four of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, twelve landed the clean sheet market — 60%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Serie A Β· Italy
Lecce
2 : 1 FT
Atalanta
Win 14%
Draw 28%
Win 58%
Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 62%
#2 Super League 1 Β· Greece
AEK Athens FC
3 : 0 FT
OFI
βœ“ Win 54%
Draw 32%
Win 14%
Under 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#3 Serie A Β· Italy
Torino
2 : 0 FT
Sampdoria
βœ“ Win 49%
Draw 31%
Win 20%
✓ Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 59%
#4 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand
BG Pathum United
0 : 1 FT
Sukhothai FC
Win 69%
Draw 20%
Win 12%
Over 2.5 59%
#5 Super League 1 Β· Greece
Panetolikos
0 : 1 FT
Panathinaikos
Win 12%
Draw 27%
βœ“ Win 61%
Over 2.5 54%
#6 La Liga Β· Spain
Mallorca
1 : 0 FT
Atletico Madrid
Win 22%
Draw 27%
Win 50%
✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#7 Super League 1 Β· Greece
Levadiakos
0 : 1 FT
Olympiakos Piraeus
Win 20%
Draw 35%
βœ“ Win 45%
✓ Under 2.5 60%
#8 Serie A Β· Brazil
Fortaleza EC
6 : 0 FT
RB Bragantino
βœ“ Win 51%
Draw 26%
Win 23%
Under 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#9 Serie A Β· Italy
Inter
6 : 1 FT
Bologna
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 23%
Win 15%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 53%
#10 Premier League Β· Ukraine
Kolos Kovalivka
1 : 3 FT
Dnipro-1
Win 33%
Draw 32%
βœ“ Win 35%
Under 2.5 71% BTTS No 63%
#11 Bundesliga Β· Germany
Union Berlin
2 : 2 FT
FC Augsburg
Win 61%
Draw 22%
Win 17%
✓ Over 2.5 56%
#12 La Liga Β· Spain
Sevilla
1 : 2 FT
Real Sociedad
Win 27%
Draw 28%
βœ“ Win 46%
Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 54%
#13 Premier League Β· Ukraine
Veres Rivne
0 : 2 FT
Shakhtar Donetsk
Win 19%
Draw 22%
βœ“ Win 59%
Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 54%
#14 Super League 1 Β· Greece
Atromitos
2 : 0 FT
Asteras Tripolis
Win 34%
Draw 38%
Win 28%
✓ Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#15 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand
Buriram United
4 : 1 FT
Chiangrai United
βœ“ Win 55%
Draw 25%
Win 20%
✓ Over 2.5 53% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#16 Serie A Β· Brazil
Sao Paulo
0 : 1 FT
Internacional
Win 41%
Draw 29%
Win 30%
✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#17 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic
Plzen
4 : 0 FT
Zbrojovka Brno
βœ“ Win 67%
Draw 20%
Win 13%
✓ Over 2.5 67% BTTS Yes 59%
#18 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
Hansa Rostock
1 : 1 FT
1. FC Nürnberg
Win 33%
Draw 32%
Win 35%
✓ Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 57%
#19 Bundesliga Β· Germany
RB Leipzig
3 : 1 FT
SC Freiburg
βœ“ Win 58%
Draw 23%
Win 20%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#20 La Liga Β· Spain
Espanyol
0 : 1 FT
Villarreal
Win 33%
Draw 30%
βœ“ Win 37%
✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 57%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet β€” common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Wednesday 9 November 2022?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Lecce vs Atalanta at 52% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.