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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability β€” Saturday 12 November 2022

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet β€” making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

20 matches cleared our threshold on Saturday 12 November 2022. The strongest reading belongs to Torpedo Moskva vs Zenit at 67% in the Premier League. The shortlist runs from 67% down to 44%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Premier League supplies three of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, nine landed the clean sheet market — 45%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Premier League Β· Russia
Torpedo Moskva
0 : 2 FT
Zenit
Win 7%
Draw 23%
βœ“ Win 71%
✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 72% ✓ Zenit Clean Sheet 67%
#2 Super League Β· China
Shandong Luneng
4 : 0 FT
Hebei Zhongji
βœ“ Win 94%
Draw 4%
Win 1%
✓ Over 2.5 83% ✓ BTTS No 64% ✓ Shandong Luneng Clean Sheet 63%
#3 Serie A Β· Brazil
Flamengo
1 : 2 FT
Avai
Win 77%
Draw 16%
Win 7%
✓ Over 2.5 54% BTTS No 62% Flamengo Clean Sheet 57%
#4 League One Β· England
Ipswich
1 : 1 FT
Cheltenham
Win 62%
Draw 23%
Win 14%
✓ Under 2.5 58% BTTS No 60%
#5 League Two Β· England
Gillingham
0 : 2 FT
Northampton
Win 19%
Draw 30%
βœ“ Win 51%
✓ Under 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS No 64%
#6 Championship Β· England
Preston
2 : 4 FT
Millwall
Win 37%
Draw 35%
Win 28%
Under 2.5 79% BTTS No 70%
#7 Ligue 2 Β· France
Amiens
0 : 2 FT
Quevilly
Win 51%
Draw 29%
Win 21%
✓ Under 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS No 63%
#8 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Zaglebie Lubin
1 : 2 FT
Raków Częstochowa
Win 17%
Draw 25%
βœ“ Win 58%
Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 59%
#9 Premier League Β· England
Liverpool
3 : 1 FT
Southampton
βœ“ Win 69%
Draw 20%
Win 11%
✓ Over 2.5 55% BTTS No 54%
#10 Premier League Β· England
Wolves
0 : 2 FT
Arsenal
Win 16%
Draw 25%
βœ“ Win 60%
✓ Under 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#11 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand
Lamphun Warrior
1 : 1 FT
Khon Kaen United
Win 22%
Draw 31%
Win 47%
✓ Under 2.5 69% BTTS No 63%
#12 Ligue 2 Β· France
Bordeaux
1 : 1 FT
PAU
Win 46%
Draw 31%
Win 24%
✓ Under 2.5 70% BTTS No 64%
#13 League One Β· England
Milton Keynes Dons
1 : 3 FT
Derby
Win 24%
Draw 31%
βœ“ Win 45%
Under 2.5 69% BTTS No 63%
#14 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Roda
0 : 1 FT
Helmond Sport
Win 79%
Draw 13%
Win 8%
Over 2.5 69%
#15 Ligue 1 Β· France
Rennes
2 : 1 FT
Toulouse
βœ“ Win 75%
Draw 16%
Win 9%
✓ Over 2.5 64%
#16 Championship Β· England
Wigan
2 : 1 FT
Blackpool
Win 19%
Draw 26%
Win 55%
Under 2.5 58% BTTS No 57%
#17 Ligue 2 Β· France
Guingamp
0 : 1 FT
Le Havre
Win 24%
Draw 29%
βœ“ Win 47%
✓ Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 60%
#18 League One Β· England
Forest Green
0 : 2 FT
Wycombe
Win 20%
Draw 26%
βœ“ Win 55%
✓ Under 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#19 Serie B Β· Italy
Venezia
1 : 2 FT
Reggina
Win 23%
Draw 31%
βœ“ Win 46%
Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 60%
#20 Championship Β· England
Cardiff
0 : 1 FT
Sheffield Utd
Win 26%
Draw 31%
βœ“ Win 43%
✓ Under 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS No 62%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet β€” common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Saturday 12 November 2022?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Torpedo Moskva vs Zenit at 67% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.