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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability — Friday 11 November 2022

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet — making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

20 matches cleared our threshold on Friday 11 November 2022. The strongest reading belongs to Khorfakkan vs Al-Dhafra at 45% in the Pro League. The shortlist runs from 45% down to 26%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

The shortlist spans eight different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, seven landed the clean sheet market — 35%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Pro League · United-Arab-Emirates
Khorfakkan
4 : 3 FT
Al-Dhafra
✓ Win 72%
Draw 17%
Win 11%
✓ Over 2.5 61%
#2 Eredivisie · Netherlands
Sparta Rotterdam
1 : 1 FT
Twente
Win 56%
Draw 24%
Win 20%
#3 Ligue 1 · France
Lyon
1 : 1 FT
Nice
Win 48%
Draw 28%
Win 24%
✓ Under 2.5 58% BTTS No 53%
#4 Thai League 1 · Thailand
Prachuap
1 : 5 FT
Ratchaburi
Win 26%
Draw 29%
✓ Win 45%
Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 54%
#5 Challenger Pro League · Belgium
Standard Liège II
1 : 1 FT
Dender
Win 19%
Draw 22%
Win 58%
Over 2.5 54%
#6 Championship · England
Birmingham
1 : 2 FT
Sunderland
Win 39%
Draw 29%
Win 31%
Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 56%
#7 Premier Division · Ireland
UCD
1 : 0 FT
Waterford
Win 26%
Draw 26%
Win 48%
✓ Under 2.5 53%
#8 Ekstraklasa · Poland
Wisla Plock
1 : 0 FT
Cracovia Krakow
✓ Win 40%
Draw 29%
Win 31%
✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#9 Pro League · United-Arab-Emirates
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai
3 : 0 FT
Al Nasr
✓ Win 57%
Draw 22%
Win 21%
✓ Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 57%
#10 Ekstraklasa · Poland
Warta Poznań
1 : 1 FT
Stal Mielec
Win 37%
Draw 29%
Win 34%
✓ Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 55%
#11 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
De Graafschap
3 : 2 FT
Jong PSV U21
✓ Win 42%
Draw 27%
Win 32%
Under 2.5 54%
#12 Premier League · Russia
Nizhny Novgorod
3 : 2 FT
Akhmat
Win 19%
Draw 22%
Win 58%
✓ Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
#13 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
PEC Zwolle
5 : 2 FT
FC Eindhoven
✓ Win 36%
Draw 27%
Win 36%
Under 2.5 56%
#14 Bundesliga · Germany
Borussia Mönchengladbach
4 : 2 FT
Borussia Dortmund
✓ Win 54%
Draw 22%
Win 24%
✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
#15 Serie A · Italy
Empoli
2 : 0 FT
Cremonese
✓ Win 36%
Draw 29%
Win 35%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
#16 2. Bundesliga · Germany
Fortuna Düsseldorf
1 : 2 FT
1. FC Kaiserslautern
Win 44%
Draw 26%
Win 30%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#17 2. Bundesliga · Germany
Holstein Kiel
1 : 1 FT
Hannover 96
Win 42%
Draw 27%
Win 31%
✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#18 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
VVV Venlo
0 : 0 FT
Willem II
Win 29%
Draw 23%
Win 48%
Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 60%
#19 Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
OH Leuven
5 : 0 FT
Seraing United
Win 33%
Draw 25%
Win 42%
✓ Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 57%
#20 Serie B · Italy
Ascoli
0 : 1 FT
Frosinone
Win 36%
Draw 28%
✓ Win 36%
BTTS Yes 55%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet — common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Friday 11 November 2022?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Khorfakkan vs Al-Dhafra at 45% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.