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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability β€” Monday 14 March 2022

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet β€” making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

20 fixtures cleared the bar on Monday 14 March 2022. The strongest reading belongs to Sligo Rovers vs Finn Harps at 50% in the Premier Division. The shortlist runs from 50% down to 29%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Premier Division supplies four of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the 19 fixtures on this list that have since finished, eleven landed the clean sheet market — 58%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Premier Division Β· Ireland
Sligo Rovers
3 : 1 FT
Finn Harps
βœ“ Win 48%
Draw 31%
Win 21%
Under 2.5 70% BTTS No 64%
#2 La Liga Β· Spain
Mallorca
0 : 3 FT
Real Madrid
Win 18%
Draw 30%
βœ“ Win 52%
Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 61%
#3 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Başakşehir
0 : 1 FT
Antalyaspor
Win 53%
Draw 28%
Win 19%
✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 60%
#4 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Raków Częstochowa
2 : 1 FT
Stal Mielec
βœ“ Win 61%
Draw 25%
Win 14%
Under 2.5 55% BTTS No 56%
#5 Premier Division Β· Ireland
Derry City
2 : 0 FT
Drogheda United
βœ“ Win 52%
Draw 27%
Win 21%
✓ Under 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#6 Premier League Β· England
Crystal Palace
0 : 0 FT
Manchester City
Win 18%
Draw 22%
Win 60%
#7 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Giresunspor
2 : 1 FT
Gaziantep FK
βœ“ Win 49%
Draw 28%
Win 24%
Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 56%
#8 Premier Division Β· Ireland
Bohemians
1 : 1 FT
Shelbourne
Win 44%
Draw 30%
Win 26%
✓ Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 57%
#9 Premier Division Β· Ireland
St Patrick's Athl.
2 : 0 FT
UCD
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 22%
Win 16%
Over 2.5 56%
#10 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
MVV
2 : 3 FT
Jong AZ
Win 30%
Draw 31%
βœ“ Win 38%
Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 59%
#11 Premier Division Β· Ireland
Dundalk
0 : 0 FT
Shamrock Rovers
Win 51%
Draw 26%
Win 23%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
#12 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Moreirense
0 : 2 FT
Sporting CP
Win 18%
Draw 28%
βœ“ Win 54%
BTTS Yes 54%
#13 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Emmen
4 : 1 FT
FC Volendam
βœ“ Win 39%
Draw 30%
Win 31%
Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 55%
#14 Premier League Β· Ukraine
Oleksandria
– : – CANC
Chornomorets
Win 46%
Draw 26%
Win 27%
Under 2.5 55%
#15 Primera División Β· Chile
Antofagasta
0 : 1 FT
Colo Colo
Win 36%
Draw 30%
Win 34%
✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#16 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Roda
2 : 0 FT
De Graafschap
βœ“ Win 40%
Draw 29%
Win 31%
✓ Under 2.5 57%
#17 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Telstar
1 : 4 FT
NAC Breda
Win 24%
Draw 25%
βœ“ Win 51%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#18 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Helmond Sport
0 : 3 FT
VVV Venlo
Win 26%
Draw 26%
βœ“ Win 48%
BTTS Yes 55%
#19 Serie A Β· Italy
Lazio
1 : 0 FT
Venezia
βœ“ Win 54%
Draw 26%
Win 19%
Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 62%
#20 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
FC Eindhoven
1 : 1 FT
ADO Den Haag
Win 67%
Draw 17%
Win 16%
Over 2.5 75% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet β€” common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Monday 14 March 2022?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Sligo Rovers vs Finn Harps at 50% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.