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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability — Tuesday 15 March 2022

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet — making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

20 matches cleared our threshold on Tuesday 15 March 2022. Sheffield Wednesday vs Accrington ST led the list at 58% in the League One. The shortlist runs from 58% down to 40%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Ligue 2 supplies four of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, twelve landed the clean sheet market — 60%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 League One · England
Sheffield Wednesday
1 : 1 FT
Accrington ST
Win 82%
Draw 13%
Win 5%
Over 2.5 63% BTTS No 61% Sheffield Wednesday Clean Sheet 58%
#2 Ligue 2 · France
Bastia
1 : 0 FT
Dunkerque
✓ Win 50%
Draw 32%
Win 18%
✓ Under 2.5 76% ✓ BTTS No 71% ✓ Bastia Clean Sheet 57%
#3 Championship · England
Blackburn
3 : 1 FT
Derby
✓ Win 52%
Draw 30%
Win 18%
Under 2.5 72% BTTS No 68% Blackburn Clean Sheet 55%
#4 Ligue 2 · France
PAU
0 : 1 FT
Grenoble
Win 52%
Draw 29%
Win 19%
✓ Under 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS No 64%
#5 Ligue 2 · France
Quevilly
0 : 0 FT
Ajaccio
Win 25%
Draw 34%
Win 41%
✓ Under 2.5 77% ✓ BTTS No 69%
#6 League Two · England
Forest Green
1 : 1 FT
Leyton Orient
Win 46%
Draw 34%
Win 20%
✓ Under 2.5 69% BTTS No 62%
#7 League Two · England
Scunthorpe
0 : 1 FT
Barrow
Win 24%
Draw 37%
✓ Win 39%
✓ Under 2.5 74% ✓ BTTS No 64%
#8 Serie B · Italy
Cosenza
2 : 2 FT
Lecce
Win 20%
Draw 38%
Win 42%
Under 2.5 70% BTTS No 60%
#9 League One · England
Crewe
0 : 2 FT
Wigan
Win 12%
Draw 21%
✓ Win 67%
Over 2.5 55%
#10 Ligue 2 · France
Toulouse
6 : 0 FT
Amiens
✓ Win 68%
Draw 19%
Win 13%
✓ Over 2.5 55%
#11 League Two · England
Rochdale
1 : 1 FT
Salford City
Win 25%
Draw 37%
Win 38%
✓ Under 2.5 72% BTTS No 63%
#12 League One · England
Shrewsbury
5 : 0 FT
Morecambe
✓ Win 45%
Draw 32%
Win 23%
Under 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS No 60%
#13 Ligue 2 · France
Rodez
1 : 1 FT
Guingamp
Win 35%
Draw 34%
Win 31%
✓ Under 2.5 76% BTTS No 67%
#14 League Two · England
Hartlepool
0 : 2 FT
Bradford
Win 35%
Draw 37%
Win 27%
✓ Under 2.5 73% ✓ BTTS No 63%
#15 Ligue 2 · France
Nancy
3 : 0 FT
Paris FC
Win 25%
Draw 29%
Win 46%
Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 59%
#16 Championship · England
West Brom
1 : 0 FT
Fulham
Win 16%
Draw 22%
Win 62%
#17 League Two · England
Bristol Rovers
1 : 0 FT
Colchester
✓ Win 53%
Draw 29%
Win 18%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
#18 Serie B · Italy
Cittadella
0 : 0 FT
Reggina
Win 41%
Draw 36%
Win 23%
✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#19 Championship · England
Bournemouth
1 : 1 FT
Reading
Win 67%
Draw 19%
Win 14%
Over 2.5 60%
#20 League Two · England
Carlisle
1 : 2 FT
Newport County
Win 26%
Draw 34%
✓ Win 40%
Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 56%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet — common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Tuesday 15 March 2022?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Sheffield Wednesday vs Accrington ST at 58% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.