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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability β€” Sunday 13 March 2022

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet β€” making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

20 matches cleared our threshold on Sunday 13 March 2022. Incheon United vs Gimcheon Sangmu FC led the list at 60% in the K League 1. The shortlist runs from 60% down to 41%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Super League 1 supplies three of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 13 landed the clean sheet market — 65%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 K League 1 Β· South-Korea
Incheon United
1 : 0 FT
Gimcheon Sangmu FC
βœ“ Win 40%
Draw 38%
Win 21%
✓ Under 2.5 85% ✓ BTTS No 77% ✓ Incheon United Clean Sheet 60%
#2 K League 1 Β· South-Korea
Gangwon FC
0 : 2 FT
Suwon City FC
Win 48%
Draw 31%
Win 20%
✓ Under 2.5 73% ✓ BTTS No 68%
#3 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Adana Demirspor
2 : 3 FT
Sivasspor
Win 54%
Draw 28%
Win 17%
Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 63%
#4 Super League 1 Β· Greece
Olympiakos Piraeus
2 : 1 FT
Aris Thessalonikis
βœ“ Win 54%
Draw 28%
Win 18%
Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 63%
#5 Super League 1 Β· Greece
PAOK
1 : 0 FT
PAS Giannina
βœ“ Win 50%
Draw 30%
Win 20%
✓ Under 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS No 64%
#6 La Liga Β· Spain
Rayo Vallecano
1 : 1 FT
Sevilla
Win 28%
βœ“ Draw 39%
Win 33%
✓ Under 2.5 81% BTTS No 71%
#7 Premier League Β· England
Southampton
1 : 2 FT
Watford
Win 52%
Draw 28%
Win 20%
Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 61%
#8 Super League 1 Β· Greece
Panathinaikos
1 : 1 FT
AEK Athens FC
Win 54%
Draw 27%
Win 19%
✓ Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 59%
#9 La Liga Β· Spain
Real Sociedad
1 : 0 FT
Alaves
βœ“ Win 52%
Draw 29%
Win 19%
✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#10 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
PEC Zwolle
1 : 2 FT
Feyenoord
Win 19%
Draw 26%
βœ“ Win 55%
Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 57%
#11 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
FC Ingolstadt 04
0 : 3 FT
FC Schalke 04
Win 15%
Draw 31%
βœ“ Win 54%
Under 2.5 55%
#12 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Maritimo
0 : 1 FT
Vitória SC
Win 45%
Draw 35%
Win 20%
✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#13 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Wisla Krakow
1 : 1 FT
Lech Poznan
Win 23%
Draw 30%
Win 47%
✓ Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 58%
#14 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
Genk
0 : 1 FT
St. Truiden
Win 55%
Draw 26%
Win 19%
✓ Under 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#15 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
Standard Liege
0 : 1 FT
Seraing United
Win 48%
Draw 28%
Win 24%
✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 59%
#16 Ligue 1 Β· France
Paris Saint Germain
3 : 0 FT
Bordeaux
βœ“ Win 84%
Draw 10%
Win 6%
✓ Over 2.5 78% BTTS Yes 55%
#17 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al-Raed
0 : 1 FT
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
Win 19%
Draw 24%
βœ“ Win 58%
✓ Under 2.5 53% ✓ BTTS No 53%
#18 Serie B Β· Italy
Pisa
3 : 0 FT
Cremonese
Win 22%
Draw 36%
Win 42%
Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#19 Premier League Β· Russia
Khimki
0 : 0 FT
FC Sochi
Win 26%
Draw 30%
Win 45%
✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#20 Super League Β· Switzerland
FC Luzern
1 : 0 FT
Grasshoppers
Win 23%
Draw 27%
Win 50%
✓ Under 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 55%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet β€” common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Sunday 13 March 2022?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Incheon United vs Gimcheon Sangmu FC at 60% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.