Sign in Register
🧤

Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability — Wednesday 15 December 2021

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet — making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

20 matches cleared our threshold on Wednesday 15 December 2021. Brighton vs Wolves led the list at 49% in the Premier League. The shortlist runs from 49% down to 19%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Premier League supplies three of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, nine landed the clean sheet market — 45%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Premier League · England
Brighton
0 : 1 FT
Wolves
Win 27%
Draw 34%
✓ Win 39%
✓ Under 2.5 77% ✓ BTTS No 69%
#2 Premier League · England
Crystal Palace
2 : 2 FT
Southampton
Win 62%
Draw 22%
Win 16%
#3 Super League · China
Henan Jianye
1 : 1 FT
Tianjin Teda
Win 45%
Draw 32%
Win 22%
✓ Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 54%
#4 Bundesliga · Germany
Borussia Dortmund
3 : 0 FT
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
✓ Win 91%
Draw 6%
Win 3%
✓ Over 2.5 90% BTTS Yes 59%
#5 Ekstraklasa · Poland
Raków Częstochowa
1 : 2 FT
Gornik Zabrze
Win 57%
Draw 23%
Win 20%
#6 Premier League · England
Arsenal
2 : 0 FT
West Ham
✓ Win 43%
Draw 29%
Win 29%
✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#7 Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
KV Mechelen
4 : 3 FT
Gent
Win 34%
Draw 31%
Win 35%
Under 2.5 68% BTTS No 61%
#8 Super League · China
Qingdao Huanghai
2 : 5 FT
Wuhan Zall
Win 26%
Draw 32%
✓ Win 43%
Under 2.5 57%
#9 Ekstraklasa · Poland
Legia Warszawa
4 : 0 FT
Zaglebie Lubin
✓ Win 45%
Draw 27%
Win 28%
Under 2.5 55%
#10 Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
OH Leuven
1 : 4 FT
Club Brugge KV
Win 25%
Draw 24%
✓ Win 50%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#11 Eliteserien · Norway
Brann
4 : 4 FT
jerv
Win 45%
Draw 30%
Win 25%
✓ Over 2.5 53% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#12 Super League · China
Shijiazhuang Y. J.
1 : 1 FT
Shanghai Shenhua
Win 30%
Draw 30%
Win 40%
✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#13 Bundesliga · Germany
FC Augsburg
1 : 1 FT
RB Leipzig
Win 43%
Draw 29%
Win 28%
✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#14 Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Zulte Waregem
0 : 2 FT
Union St. Gilloise
Win 10%
Draw 12%
✓ Win 77%
Over 2.5 83% BTTS Yes 69%
#15 Bundesliga · Germany
Union Berlin
0 : 0 FT
SC Freiburg
Win 28%
Draw 28%
Win 43%
Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 60%
#16 Super League 1 · Greece
Atromitos
0 : 3 FT
Olympiakos Piraeus
Win 26%
Draw 22%
✓ Win 51%
✓ Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 62%
#17 Super League · China
Chongqing Lifan
0 : 1 FT
Dalian Aerbin
Win 39%
Draw 29%
Win 33%
Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 61%
#18 Super League 1 · Greece
PAS Giannina
0 : 4 FT
PAOK
Win 40%
Draw 24%
Win 36%
✓ Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 62%
#19 Super League 1 · Greece
Lamia
2 : 2 FT
Volos NFC
Win 28%
Draw 21%
Win 50%
✓ Over 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS Yes 67%
#20 Bundesliga · Germany
Borussia Mönchengladbach
2 : 3 FT
Eintracht Frankfurt
Win 35%
Draw 26%
✓ Win 39%
✓ Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 68%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet — common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Wednesday 15 December 2021?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Brighton vs Wolves at 49% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.