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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability β€” Thursday 30 September 2021

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet β€” making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

13 matches cleared our threshold on Thursday 30 September 2021. Haka vs HIFK Helsinki led the list at 56% in the Veikkausliiga. The shortlist runs from 56% down to 22%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Superettan supplies three of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the 13 fixtures on this list that have since finished, seven landed the clean sheet market — 54%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Veikkausliiga Β· Finland
Haka
2 : 0 FT
HIFK Helsinki
Win 19%
Draw 32%
Win 49%
✓ Under 2.5 75% ✓ BTTS No 70% HIFK Helsinki Clean Sheet 56%
#2 Superettan Β· Sweden
IFK Varnamo
3 : 2 FT
Vasteras SK FK
βœ“ Win 48%
Draw 28%
Win 23%
Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 59%
#3 Superettan Β· Sweden
AFC Eskilstuna
1 : 1 FT
Osters IF
Win 54%
Draw 26%
Win 21%
✓ Under 2.5 58% BTTS No 55%
#4 Primera División Β· Chile
Colo Colo
0 : 1 FT
Nublense
Win 52%
Draw 29%
Win 20%
✓ Under 2.5 53%
#5 Canadian Premier League Β· Canada
FC Edmonton
2 : 3 FT
Cavalry FC
Win 34%
Draw 31%
βœ“ Win 35%
Under 2.5 68% BTTS No 60%
#6 Primera División Β· Chile
U. Catolica
4 : 0 FT
D. Melipilla
βœ“ Win 66%
Draw 21%
Win 13%
✓ Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 59%
#7 Canadian Premier League Β· Canada
Valour
1 : 3 FT
Pacific FC
Win 35%
Draw 30%
Win 34%
Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 59%
#8 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al-Raed
0 : 2 FT
Damac
Win 42%
Draw 33%
Win 26%
BTTS Yes 58%
#9 Superettan Β· Sweden
IK brage
3 : 0 FT
Vasalund
Win 33%
Draw 27%
Win 40%
#10 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al-Ettifaq
0 : 0 FT
Al-Fateh
Win 34%
βœ“ Draw 34%
Win 32%
✓ Under 2.5 53% BTTS Yes 56%
#11 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Abha
1 : 3 FT
Al-Nassr
Win 32%
Draw 34%
Win 33%
✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#12 Primera División Β· Chile
Curico Unido
1 : 0 FT
Cobresal
βœ“ Win 38%
Draw 30%
Win 32%
BTTS Yes 57%
#13 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al-Hazm
1 : 1 FT
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
Win 36%
Draw 30%
Win 34%
Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%

Showing top 13 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet β€” common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Thursday 30 September 2021?

13 fixtures met the criteria, led by Haka vs HIFK Helsinki at 56% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.