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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability — Tuesday 28 September 2021

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet — making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Tuesday 28 September 2021. Wigan vs Sheffield Wednesday led the list at 54% in the League One. The shortlist runs from 54% down to 29%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

League One supplies five of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, nine landed the clean sheet market — 45%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 League One · England
Wigan
1 : 2 FT
Sheffield Wednesday
Win 49%
Draw 31%
Win 19%
Under 2.5 74% BTTS No 69% Wigan Clean Sheet 54%
#2 League One · England
Plymouth
1 : 1 FT
Crewe
Win 56%
Draw 27%
Win 17%
✓ Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 63%
#3 Primera División · Chile
D. La Serena
0 : 2 FT
Everton de Vina
Win 44%
Draw 34%
Win 22%
✓ Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#4 Championship · England
Hull City
1 : 1 FT
Blackpool
Win 17%
Draw 28%
Win 55%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
#5 League One · England
Sunderland
5 : 0 FT
Cheltenham
✓ Win 55%
Draw 25%
Win 20%
Under 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#6 Pro League · United-Arab-Emirates
Al-Wasl FC
1 : 0 FT
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai
Win 31%
Draw 41%
Win 27%
✓ Under 2.5 74% ✓ BTTS No 62%
#7 League One · England
Burton Albion
2 : 1 FT
Portsmouth
✓ Win 37%
Draw 32%
Win 31%
Under 2.5 71% BTTS No 63%
#8 Championship · England
Cardiff
0 : 4 FT
West Brom
Win 25%
Draw 32%
✓ Win 43%
Under 2.5 59%
#9 Pro League · United-Arab-Emirates
Al-Jazira
1 : 0 FT
Al Urooba
✓ Win 56%
Draw 28%
Win 16%
Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 57%
#10 League One · England
Oxford United
5 : 1 FT
Accrington ST
✓ Win 47%
Draw 27%
Win 27%
Under 2.5 55%
#11 Pro League · United-Arab-Emirates
Al-Dhafra
1 : 1 FT
Al-Ittihad Kalba
Win 35%
✓ Draw 37%
Win 28%
✓ Under 2.5 62%
#12 League One · England
Shrewsbury
1 : 2 FT
Wycombe
Win 30%
Draw 28%
✓ Win 41%
Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 54%
#13 Championship · England
Huddersfield
3 : 2 FT
Blackburn
Win 31%
Draw 33%
Win 36%
Under 2.5 60%
#14 League One · England
Milton Keynes Dons
3 : 3 FT
Fleetwood Town
Win 43%
Draw 27%
Win 30%
Under 2.5 54%
#15 League One · England
Charlton
1 : 4 FT
Bolton
Win 28%
Draw 25%
✓ Win 47%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#16 Championship · England
Middlesbrough
2 : 0 FT
Sheffield Utd
✓ Win 38%
Draw 32%
Win 31%
✓ Under 2.5 56%
#17 League One · England
Ipswich
6 : 0 FT
Doncaster
✓ Win 49%
Draw 24%
Win 27%
✓ Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 56%
#18 Championship · England
QPR
2 : 0 FT
Birmingham
Win 30%
Draw 30%
Win 40%
BTTS Yes 56%
#19 League One · England
Cambridge United
0 : 2 FT
Gillingham
Win 38%
Draw 27%
Win 35%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
#20 Championship · England
Preston
1 : 1 FT
Stoke City
Win 39%
Draw 31%
Win 31%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet — common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Tuesday 28 September 2021?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Wigan vs Sheffield Wednesday at 54% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.