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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability — Saturday 21 August 2021

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet — making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

20 matches cleared our threshold on Saturday 21 August 2021. Pogon Szczecin vs Stal Mielec led the list at 53% in the Ekstraklasa. The shortlist runs from 53% down to 45%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

League Two supplies four of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, nine landed the clean sheet market — 45%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Ekstraklasa · Poland
Pogon Szczecin
4 : 1 FT
Stal Mielec
✓ Win 51%
Draw 30%
Win 19%
Under 2.5 71% BTTS No 66%
#2 Ligue 2 · France
Grenoble
2 : 0 FT
Quevilly
Win 11%
Draw 31%
Win 57%
✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 59%
#3 League Two · England
Hartlepool
2 : 0 FT
Walsall
Win 37%
Draw 42%
Win 21%
✓ Under 2.5 79% ✓ BTTS No 68%
#4 League Two · England
Stevenage
1 : 1 FT
Port Vale
Win 37%
✓ Draw 42%
Win 21%
✓ Under 2.5 79% BTTS No 68%
#5 Ligue 2 · France
Dijon
2 : 4 FT
Toulouse
Win 10%
Draw 29%
✓ Win 61%
Under 2.5 56% BTTS No 57%
#6 League Two · England
Oldham
1 : 2 FT
Colchester
Win 26%
Draw 45%
Win 29%
Under 2.5 83% BTTS No 71%
#7 Serie B · Italy
Cittadella
1 : 0 FT
Vicenza Virtus
Win 17%
Draw 26%
Win 57%
✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 61%
#8 League One · England
Rotherham
0 : 2 FT
Sheffield Wednesday
Win 44%
Draw 32%
Win 24%
✓ Under 2.5 74% ✓ BTTS No 67%
#9 Ligue 2 · France
Le Havre
2 : 1 FT
Niort
Win 20%
Draw 40%
Win 41%
Under 2.5 73% BTTS No 62%
#10 League Two · England
Forest Green
6 : 3 FT
Crawley Town
✓ Win 40%
Draw 39%
Win 21%
Under 2.5 72% BTTS No 62%
#11 League Two · England
Mansfield Town
2 : 3 FT
Bradford
Win 39%
Draw 39%
Win 22%
Under 2.5 73% BTTS No 62%
#12 League Two · England
Exeter City
4 : 1 FT
Bristol Rovers
Win 31%
Draw 42%
Win 27%
Under 2.5 78% BTTS No 66%
#13 Primeira Liga · Portugal
Sporting CP
2 : 0 FT
Belenenses
✓ Win 57%
Draw 25%
Win 18%
✓ Under 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#14 League Two · England
Carlisle
1 : 1 FT
Leyton Orient
Win 29%
✓ Draw 43%
Win 28%
✓ Under 2.5 79% BTTS No 67%
#15 League Two · England
Tranmere
0 : 1 FT
Newport County
Win 33%
Draw 41%
Win 26%
✓ Under 2.5 76% ✓ BTTS No 64%
#16 League Two · England
Salford City
0 : 1 FT
Swindon Town
Win 24%
Draw 40%
Win 36%
✓ Under 2.5 73% ✓ BTTS No 62%
#17 Ligue 2 · France
Dunkerque
0 : 2 FT
Nimes
Win 15%
Draw 32%
✓ Win 53%
✓ Under 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 53%
#18 Ligue 2 · France
Valenciennes
1 : 4 FT
Rodez
Win 24%
Draw 40%
Win 36%
Under 2.5 73% BTTS No 61%
#19 League One · England
Shrewsbury
0 : 3 FT
Plymouth
Win 39%
Draw 33%
Win 28%
Under 2.5 73% ✓ BTTS No 65%
#20 La Liga · Spain
Athletic Club
1 : 1 FT
Barcelona
Win 27%
✓ Draw 42%
Win 31%
✓ Under 2.5 76% BTTS No 64%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet — common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Saturday 21 August 2021?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Pogon Szczecin vs Stal Mielec at 53% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.