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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability — Monday 23 August 2021

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet — making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

20 matches cleared our threshold on Monday 23 August 2021. Auxerre vs Guingamp led the list at 53% in the Ligue 2. The shortlist runs from 53% down to 22%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

The shortlist spans eight different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, twelve landed the clean sheet market — 60%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Ligue 2 · France
Auxerre
1 : 2 FT
Guingamp
Win 31%
Draw 45%
Win 24%
Under 2.5 83% BTTS No 71%
#2 Serie A · Brazil
Sport Recife
0 : 1 FT
Sao Paulo
Win 30%
Draw 37%
Win 33%
✓ Under 2.5 82% ✓ BTTS No 73%
#3 La Liga · Spain
Osasuna
0 : 0 FT
Celta Vigo
Win 26%
✓ Draw 44%
Win 30%
✓ Under 2.5 81% ✓ BTTS No 68%
#4 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Jong PSV U21
3 : 2 FT
FC Eindhoven
Win 19%
Draw 31%
Win 50%
Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 58%
#5 Primeira Liga · Portugal
Boavista
2 : 0 FT
Santa Clara
✓ Win 62%
Draw 22%
Win 16%
✓ BTTS No 54%
#6 La Liga · Spain
Getafe
0 : 1 FT
Sevilla
Win 30%
Draw 41%
Win 29%
✓ Under 2.5 74% ✓ BTTS No 62%
#7 Süper Lig · Turkey
Trabzonspor
2 : 1 FT
Sivasspor
Win 25%
Draw 38%
Win 37%
Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 56%
#8 Veikkausliiga · Finland
Lahti
0 : 1 FT
HJK Helsinki
Win 29%
Draw 30%
✓ Win 41%
✓ Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 59%
#9 Süper Lig · Turkey
Galatasaray
2 : 1 FT
Hatayspor
Win 27%
Draw 37%
Win 36%
Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 56%
#10 Premier League · England
West Ham
4 : 1 FT
Leicester
✓ Win 49%
Draw 26%
Win 25%
Under 2.5 56%
#11 Primera División · Chile
U. Catolica
2 : 0 FT
Everton de Vina
✓ Win 43%
Draw 31%
Win 26%
✓ Under 2.5 60%
#12 Superettan · Sweden
Helsingborg
0 : 0 FT
Vasalund
Win 62%
Draw 20%
Win 17%
Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 56%
#13 Superettan · Sweden
Norrby IF
0 : 1 FT
Akropolis
Win 55%
Draw 23%
Win 21%
#14 Primeira Liga · Portugal
Pacos Ferreira
1 : 3 FT
Estoril
Win 37%
Draw 29%
Win 34%
Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 56%
#15 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Jong AZ
1 : 0 FT
FC OSS
Win 26%
Draw 30%
Win 44%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
#16 Premier League · Ukraine
Lviv
1 : 2 FT
Inhulets
Win 34%
Draw 37%
Win 30%
Under 2.5 60%
#17 Allsvenskan · Sweden
Djurgardens IF
0 : 0 FT
Mjallby AIF
Win 59%
Draw 23%
Win 18%
Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 63%
#18 Allsvenskan · Sweden
IFK Goteborg
1 : 2 FT
Varbergs BoIS FC
Win 36%
Draw 31%
Win 32%
Under 2.5 53% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#19 Allsvenskan · Sweden
Ostersunds FK
0 : 1 FT
Kalmar FF
Win 36%
Draw 30%
Win 34%
BTTS Yes 58%
#20 Serie A · Italy
Sampdoria
0 : 1 FT
AC Milan
Win 32%
Draw 30%
✓ Win 38%
Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 66%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet — common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Monday 23 August 2021?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Auxerre vs Guingamp at 53% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.