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Away Win Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted away win probability — Friday 20 March 2026

Away wins are statistically rarer and often carry better odds. Our prediction model calculates each team's true ability independent of venue, meaning high away win probabilities reflect a genuinely superior away side — not just a weak home team. Only fixtures with 30%+ away win probability are listed.

20 fixtures cleared the bar on Friday 20 March 2026. The strongest reading belongs to Olympic Charleroi vs KRC Genk II at 63% in the Challenger Pro League. The shortlist runs from 63% down to 33%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Ligue 2 supplies three of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, seven landed the away win market — 35%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Challenger Pro League · Belgium
Olympic Charleroi
1 : 2 FT
KRC Genk II
Win 17%
Draw 20%
✓ Win 63%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#2 Ligue 2 · France
Amiens
3 : 4 FT
Le Mans
Win 24%
Draw 22%
✓ Win 54%
✓ Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
#3 Ligue 2 · France
PAU
0 : 0 FT
Montpellier
Win 29%
Draw 27%
Win 44%
✓ Under 2.5 53%
#4 Bundesliga · Austria
Sturm Graz
1 : 1 FT
Red Bull Salzburg
Win 29%
Draw 29%
Win 42%
✓ Under 2.5 57%
#5 Challenger Pro League · Belgium
Patro Eisden
0 : 4 FT
Beerschot VA
Win 30%
Draw 27%
✓ Win 42%
Under 2.5 57%
#6 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
FC OSS
2 : 1 FT
FC Eindhoven
Win 36%
Draw 24%
Win 41%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
#7 Ekstraklasa · Poland
Motor Lublin
1 : 0 FT
Zaglebie Lubin
Win 31%
Draw 29%
Win 40%
BTTS Yes 54%
#8 Bundesliga · Germany
RB Leipzig
5 : 0 FT
1899 Hoffenheim
✓ Win 40%
Draw 22%
Win 39%
✓ Over 2.5 73% BTTS Yes 72%
#9 Serie A · Italy
Cagliari
0 : 1 FT
Napoli
Win 34%
Draw 27%
✓ Win 38%
✓ Under 2.5 56%
#10 Ligue 2 · France
Laval
3 : 2 FT
Grenoble
Win 34%
Draw 30%
Win 36%
Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 56%
#11 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Jong Utrecht
3 : 1 FT
Dordrecht
✓ Win 41%
Draw 24%
Win 35%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#12 Ligue 2 · France
Clermont Foot
0 : 1 FT
RED Star FC 93
Win 35%
Draw 30%
✓ Win 35%
✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#13 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Jong PSV U21
0 : 2 FT
Vitesse
Win 42%
Draw 24%
Win 35%
Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 63%
#14 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Jong Ajax
0 : 2 FT
Almere City FC
Win 46%
Draw 20%
Win 34%
Over 2.5 80% BTTS Yes 77%
#15 Ligue 2 · France
Boulogne
0 : 0 FT
Nancy
Win 40%
Draw 26%
Win 34%
Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 57%
#16 Premier League · England
Bournemouth
2 : 2 FT
Manchester United
Win 36%
Draw 30%
Win 34%
✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#17 Serie A · Brazil
Chapecoense-sc
0 : 0 FT
Corinthians
Win 41%
Draw 25%
Win 34%
BTTS Yes 56%
#18 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Emmen
2 : 2 FT
VVV Venlo
Win 41%
Draw 25%
Win 34%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#19 Ekstraklasa · Poland
Piast Gliwice
3 : 1 FT
Radomiak Radom
✓ Win 37%
Draw 30%
Win 33%
Under 2.5 57%
#20 Super League · China
Dalian Zhixing
1 : 0 FT
SHANGHAI SIPG
✓ Win 43%
Draw 25%
Win 33%
Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 58%

Showing top 20 fixtures by away win probability (≥ 30%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Away Win — common questions

What does the Away Win market mean?

Away Win settles on whether a match is won by the away side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate away win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The away win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the away side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Away Win on Friday 20 March 2026?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Olympic Charleroi vs KRC Genk II at 63% away win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 30% or higher away win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these away win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.