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Away Win Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted away win probability — Friday 13 March 2026

Away wins are statistically rarer and often carry better odds. Our prediction model calculates each team's true ability independent of venue, meaning high away win probabilities reflect a genuinely superior away side — not just a weak home team. Only fixtures with 30%+ away win probability are listed.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Friday 13 March 2026. Fatih Karagümrük vs Fenerbahçe sits top on 63% in the Süper Lig. The shortlist runs from 63% down to 35%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Eerste Divisie supplies three of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, ten landed the away win market — 50%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Süper Lig · Turkey
Fatih Karagümrük
2 : 0 FT
Fenerbahçe
Win 12%
Draw 25%
Win 63%
Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 56%
#2 Premier League · Ukraine
SK Poltava
0 : 4 FT
Karpaty
Win 20%
Draw 25%
✓ Win 55%
Under 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#3 Ligue 2 · France
Nancy
2 : 4 FT
Le Mans
Win 19%
Draw 27%
✓ Win 54%
Under 2.5 56% BTTS No 54%
#4 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Emmen
0 : 1 FT
ADO Den Haag
Win 23%
Draw 23%
✓ Win 54%
Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 60%
#5 2. Bundesliga · Germany
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
2 : 0 FT
SV Elversberg
Win 24%
Draw 23%
Win 53%
Over 2.5 67% BTTS Yes 66%
#6 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Waalwijk
2 : 1 FT
Jong AZ
Win 28%
Draw 22%
Win 50%
✓ Over 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS Yes 70%
#7 2. Bundesliga · Germany
1. FC Magdeburg
1 : 1 FT
SV Darmstadt 98
Win 27%
Draw 23%
Win 50%
Over 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS Yes 69%
#8 Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al Riyadh
3 : 1 FT
Al-Ittihad FC
Win 24%
Draw 28%
Win 48%
Under 2.5 55%
#9 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
FC OSS
1 : 3 FT
Willem II
Win 28%
Draw 25%
✓ Win 46%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#10 Thai League 1 · Thailand
Nakhon Ratchasima FC
1 : 1 FT
Chiangrai United
Win 27%
Draw 28%
Win 46%
Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#11 Challenger Pro League · Belgium
K. Lierse S.K.
1 : 2 FT
Patro Eisden
Win 29%
Draw 26%
✓ Win 44%
Under 2.5 54%
#12 Ekstraklasa · Poland
Nieciecza
1 : 2 FT
Motor Lublin
Win 32%
Draw 27%
✓ Win 41%
✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#13 Super League · China
Wuhan Three Towns
4 : 1 FT
Dalian Zhixing
Win 37%
Draw 23%
Win 40%
✓ Over 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS Yes 72%
#14 Ligue 2 · France
Bastia
0 : 1 FT
Boulogne
Win 25%
Draw 36%
✓ Win 40%
✓ Under 2.5 76% ✓ BTTS No 67%
#15 Premier Division · Ireland
Sligo Rovers
0 : 2 FT
Shamrock Rovers
Win 38%
Draw 24%
Win 38%
Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 63%
#16 La Liga · Spain
Alaves
1 : 1 FT
Villarreal
Win 36%
Draw 26%
Win 38%
✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#17 Serie A · Italy
Torino
4 : 1 FT
Parma
Win 32%
Draw 31%
Win 37%
Under 2.5 68% BTTS No 61%
#18 Bundesliga · Austria
Lask Linz
0 : 0 FT
TSV Hartberg
Win 36%
Draw 28%
Win 36%
BTTS Yes 53%
#19 Ligue 2 · France
Clermont Foot
0 : 1 FT
PAU
Win 39%
Draw 26%
Win 35%
Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 63%
#20 Premier Division · Ireland
Derry City
1 : 2 FT
Shelbourne
Win 39%
Draw 26%
Win 35%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%

Showing top 20 fixtures by away win probability (≥ 30%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Away Win — common questions

What does the Away Win market mean?

Away Win settles on whether a match is won by the away side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate away win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The away win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the away side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Away Win on Friday 13 March 2026?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Fatih Karagümrük vs Fenerbahçe at 63% away win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 30% or higher away win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these away win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.