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Away Win Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted away win probability β€” Saturday 20 April 2024

Away wins are statistically rarer and often carry better odds. Our prediction model calculates each team's true ability independent of venue, meaning high away win probabilities reflect a genuinely superior away side β€” not just a weak home team. Only fixtures with 30%+ away win probability are listed.

20 fixtures cleared the bar on Saturday 20 April 2024. The strongest reading belongs to Al-Hazm vs Al-Ittihad FC at 68% in the Pro League. The shortlist runs from 68% down to 47%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

The shortlist spans eight different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, twelve landed the away win market — 60%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al-Hazm
2 : 3 FT
Al-Ittihad FC
Win 13%
Draw 19%
βœ“ Win 68%
✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#2 Premier League Β· England
Wolves
0 : 2 FT
Arsenal
Win 12%
Draw 20%
βœ“ Win 68%
Over 2.5 57%
#3 Super League Β· China
Nantong Zhiyun
0 : 2 FT
Shanghai Shenhua
Win 14%
Draw 23%
βœ“ Win 63%
✓ BTTS No 54%
#4 League One Β· England
Carlisle
1 : 3 FT
Wycombe
Win 15%
Draw 22%
βœ“ Win 63%
BTTS No 54%
#5 League One Β· England
Cheltenham
1 : 2 FT
Lincoln
Win 18%
Draw 24%
βœ“ Win 59%
Under 2.5 53% BTTS No 54%
#6 Serie B Β· Italy
Lecco
1 : 2 FT
Venezia
Win 15%
Draw 27%
βœ“ Win 58%
Under 2.5 54% BTTS No 54%
#7 Ligue 2 Β· France
Concarneau
0 : 0 FT
Quevilly
Win 21%
Draw 22%
Win 57%
Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 63%
#8 Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates
Hatta SC
1 : 1 FT
Emirates Club
Win 22%
Draw 21%
Win 57%
Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
#9 Bundesliga Β· Germany
1. FC Heidenheim
1 : 2 FT
RB Leipzig
Win 23%
Draw 22%
βœ“ Win 55%
✓ Over 2.5 73% ✓ BTTS Yes 71%
#10 Serie A Β· Italy
Empoli
1 : 0 FT
Napoli
Win 21%
Draw 25%
Win 55%
BTTS Yes 54%
#11 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic
Karviná
1 : 1 FT
Bohemians 1905
Win 23%
Draw 24%
Win 53%
Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#12 League One Β· England
Burton Albion
3 : 2 FT
Reading
Win 24%
Draw 24%
Win 52%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#13 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
Hamburger SV
0 : 1 FT
Holstein Kiel
Win 24%
Draw 24%
βœ“ Win 51%
Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 62%
#14 Premier League Β· Ukraine
Chornomorets
1 : 2 FT
Kryvbas KR
Win 27%
Draw 24%
βœ“ Win 49%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#15 League Two Β· England
Sutton Utd
2 : 2 FT
Crawley Town
Win 28%
Draw 23%
Win 49%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#16 Championship Β· England
Cardiff
2 : 1 FT
Southampton
Win 26%
Draw 25%
Win 48%
#17 Premier League Β· England
Sheffield Utd
1 : 4 FT
Burnley
Win 28%
Draw 23%
βœ“ Win 48%
✓ Over 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS Yes 68%
#18 Ligue 2 Β· France
PAU
3 : 0 FT
Laval
Win 24%
Draw 28%
Win 48%
Under 2.5 54%
#19 League One Β· England
Cambridge United
0 : 1 FT
Derby
Win 23%
Draw 30%
βœ“ Win 47%
✓ Under 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS No 62%
#20 Ligue 1 Β· France
Nantes
0 : 3 FT
Rennes
Win 24%
Draw 30%
βœ“ Win 47%
Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 54%

Showing top 20 fixtures by away win probability (β‰₯ 30%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Away Win β€” common questions

What does the Away Win market mean?

Away Win settles on whether a match is won by the away side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate away win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The away win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the away side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Away Win on Saturday 20 April 2024?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Al-Hazm vs Al-Ittihad FC at 68% away win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 30% or higher away win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these away win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.