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Over 1.5 Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted over 1.5 probability β€” Friday 24 September 2021

Over 1.5 goals is the safest goals market β€” you only need two goals in the match. Our prediction model calculates this as the probability of at least 2 total goals (i.e. anything other than a 0–0 or 1–0/0–1 scoreline). Only fixtures with 70%+ probability are shown, giving you the most reliable selections for accumulators.

20 fixtures cleared the bar on Friday 24 September 2021. The strongest reading belongs to Al-Ittihad FC vs Al Taawon at 92% in the Pro League. The shortlist runs from 92% down to 76%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Eerste Divisie supplies five of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 17 landed the over 1.5 goals market — 85%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al-Ittihad FC
1 : 1 FT
Al Taawon
Win 69%
Draw 19%
Win 11%
Over 2.5 76% ✓ BTTS Yes 67%
#2 Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium
K. Lierse S.K.
2 : 1 FT
SK Beveren
Win 30%
Draw 27%
Win 44%
✓ Over 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS Yes 73%
#3 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
ADO Den Haag
2 : 0 FT
Roda
Win 37%
Draw 21%
Win 42%
Over 2.5 75% BTTS Yes 73%
#4 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
FC Eindhoven
2 : 0 FT
NAC Breda
βœ“ Win 58%
Draw 20%
Win 22%
Over 2.5 67% BTTS Yes 64%
#5 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
FC OSS
2 : 3 FT
FC Volendam
Win 37%
Draw 23%
βœ“ Win 40%
✓ Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 67%
#6 Championship Β· England
West Brom
2 : 1 FT
QPR
βœ“ Win 38%
Draw 29%
Win 33%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%
#7 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Almere City FC
2 : 2 FT
Dordrecht
Win 52%
Draw 22%
Win 26%
✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
#8 Premier Division Β· Ireland
Bohemians
1 : 2 FT
Finn Harps
Win 53%
Draw 22%
Win 25%
✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
#9 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
VVV Venlo
1 : 0 FT
Helmond Sport
βœ“ Win 48%
Draw 23%
Win 29%
Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 62%
#10 Bundesliga Β· Germany
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
1 : 3 FT
Bayern München
Win 14%
Draw 27%
βœ“ Win 59%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#11 Championship Β· England
Coventry
3 : 0 FT
Peterborough
βœ“ Win 69%
Draw 22%
Win 9%
✓ Over 2.5 55%
#12 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Górnik Łęczna
0 : 4 FT
Lechia Gdansk
Win 29%
Draw 27%
βœ“ Win 44%
✓ Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 59%
#13 Ligue 2 Β· France
Nancy
1 : 1 FT
Amiens
Win 18%
Draw 27%
Win 56%
Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#14 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Jagiellonia
1 : 0 FT
Lech Poznan
Win 32%
Draw 28%
Win 41%
Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 59%
#15 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
SSV Jahn Regensburg
3 : 2 FT
Erzgebirge AUE
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 26%
Win 14%
#16 Premier Division Β· Ireland
Derry City
3 : 0 FT
Longford Town
βœ“ Win 53%
Draw 24%
Win 24%
✓ Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 55%
#17 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
Club Brugge KV
1 : 1 FT
OH Leuven
Win 60%
Draw 22%
Win 18%
Over 2.5 54%
#18 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Abha
1 : 3 FT
Damac
Win 46%
Draw 32%
Win 21%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#19 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Telstar
1 : 0 FT
Jong AZ
Win 37%
Draw 25%
Win 38%
BTTS Yes 57%
#20 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
De Graafschap
2 : 2 FT
Jong Utrecht
Win 25%
Draw 24%
Win 51%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%

Showing top 20 fixtures by over 1.5 goals probability (β‰₯ 70%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Over 1.5 Goals β€” common questions

What does the Over 1.5 Goals market mean?

Over 1.5 Goals settles on whether a match finishes with at least 2 total goals. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate over 1.5 goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The over 1.5 probability shown here is the probability of at least 2 total goals, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Over 1.5 Goals on Friday 24 September 2021?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Al-Ittihad FC vs Al Taawon at 92% over 1.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 70% or higher over 1.5 probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these over 1.5 goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.