Stabaek 0-0 ODD Ballklubb – Result & Analysis
Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Poisson model favours ODD Ballklubb (41%) — form and H2H data both point in the same direction as Stabaek face ODD Ballklubb.
✍️ Match Preview
Analysis & Preview
A Eliteserien encounter, Regular Season - 1 sees ODD Ballklubb travel to Nadderud Stadion to take on Stabaek. The game is scheduled for Monday 10 April 2023, 16:00 UTC.
Recent Form
Across all Eliteserien games this season, Stabaek have gone 2W 2D 6L from 10 outings — a 0.80 PPG return. Last five: L W D L L. They are averaging 0.90 goals per game and conceding 2.10 — a modest attacking output that tempers optimism on the Over 2.5 market. However, 2.10 goals conceded per game is a concern — opposing attacks have exploited them regularly. 2 clean sheets from 10 outings provides some defensive foundation. Stabaek haven't played a Eliteserien game yet this season, so this record is entirely from last season.
In front of their own supporters this season, Stabaek have posted 3W 2D 5L at Nadderud Stadion — 1.10 PPG. At home they are averaging 1.30 goals scored and 1.80 conceded per game. BTTS has landed in 60% of their home matches — a rate that supports the Yes angle in this fixture.
ODD Ballklubb — All Games: 6W 3D 1L from 10 Eliteserien fixtures this season — 2.10 PPG. Last five: L W W W D. Their attacking form is sharp — 2.20 goals per game is a high-output rate that commands respect in the goals markets. 2 clean sheets from 10 outings suggests some defensive organisation. Both teams have scored in 80% of their matches this season — one of the stronger BTTS rates in the division, making Yes a well-evidenced play.
ODD Ballklubb's away record: 3W 5D 2L from 10 road trips in Eliteserien this season (1.40 PPG). Away from home they average 1.40 goals scored and 1.70 conceded per game. BTTS has landed in 60% of their away games — meaningful support for the Yes angle in this specific context. Their away PPG of 1.40 is notably below their overall 2.10 — form away from home has been a clear weakness this season.
Form points away from home here. ODD Ballklubb's 2.10 PPG return is 1.30 points per game ahead of Stabaek's 0.80 — the visitors are the form-based selection, and Double Chance is an alternative worth pricing if the outright looks tight.
The BTTS market is worth targeting here. Stabaek register both teams scoring in 60% of relevant matches, ODD Ballklubb in 60% (using home/away splits) — both sides above the 60% threshold gives BTTS Yes firm statistical grounding.
H2H
The previous 4 encounters between these sides heavily favour ODD Ballklubb, who boast 3 victories compared to 0 for Stabaek.
The 4 previous meetings have averaged 2.8 goals per game — a neutral rate that provides no strong lean on the goals market from the H2H alone. The most recent clash, on 12 Dec 2021, ended 1–3 with ODD Ballklubb winning.
The H2H provides genuine backing for the away side. ODD Ballklubb have won 3 of 4 previous encounters, and at 2.8 goals per game, the goals market also points upward. The away win and Over 2.5 combination has a historical case worth noting.
Trading Patterns
Stabaek in-play and half-time data (30 games, 15 at home): they score before half-time in 60% of fixtures in home games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 67% of the time; two or more arrive in the second half on 67% of those occasions; BTTS occurs in 47% of their matches (home games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 67% of games (home games); Over 3.5 in 40%; they fail to score in 30% of games.
ODD Ballklubb in-play and half-time data (30 games, 15 at away): they score before half-time in 67% of fixtures in away games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 88% of the time; two or more arrive in the second half on 50% of those occasions; BTTS occurs in 47% of their matches (away games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 47% of games (away games).
BTTS rates are mixed from the trading data — Stabaek 60% versus ODD Ballklubb 57%; no strong lean in either direction. Over 2.5 goals is well-supported by both sides' in-play profiles (Stabaek 73% | ODD Ballklubb 57%).
Poisson Model
The Poisson distribution model projects Stabaek 1.52 xG and ODD Ballklubb 1.64 xG. These expected goals figures are the primary input: they feed a goal-probability matrix across all scoreline combinations to derive the result and market probabilities below. Underlying strength ratings: Stabaek attack 0.850 / defence 1.150 | ODD Ballklubb attack 0.999 / defence 0.968. League average goals — home 1.843 / away 1.430. Data: 0 Stabaek games / 30 ODD Ballklubb games used (PrevSeason). Note: current-season sample is too small — prior-season data is carrying the calculation. Model confidence is reduced; treat probabilities as directional rather than precise.
Result probabilities: Stabaek 36% | Draw 24% | ODD Ballklubb 41%. Fair-value odds: Stabaek 2.78 | Draw 4.17 | ODD Ballklubb 2.44. This is a low-confidence result — no outcome exceeds 45%. The draw at 24% is a primary outcome, not an afterthought.
Goals markets: Over 2.5 probability 61% | BTTS probability 63% | Total xG 3.16. Over 2.5 holds a meaningful probability edge at 61% — the 3.16 total xG provides moderate support, though the model is not projecting a high-scoring game. BTTS Yes at 63% reflects that both xG figures (1.52 / 1.64) are above the threshold where scoring blanks become the primary outcome — both sides are projected to find the net.
Our Verdict
Poisson rates ODD Ballklubb as the most likely outcome at 41% — marginal model lean. Current-season form corroborates the Poisson lean — partial multi-source support. With a 24% draw probability, Draw No Bet on ODD Ballklubb offers a more defensible entry point than the straight win. The opposing side holds a 36% win probability per the model — this is not a banker and should be staked accordingly.
On the goals line, Poisson's 3.16 combined xG gives a 61% probability to Over 2.5 — strong, supported by form averaging 3.1 goals per game and H2H averaging 2.8 goals per meeting.
Poisson assigns a 63% probability to BTTS Yes based on the attack/defence strength model. Form rates corroborate: Stabaek 60% | ODD Ballklubb 60% BTTS from recent games.
The outsider holds a 36% win probability per the model — this is not a banker and should not be treated as one. Proportionate stakes are appropriate given the genuine contest the data projects. The Poisson model is drawing on PrevSeason data (0 games minimum) — early-season projections carry additional uncertainty. Weight the live form and odds signals accordingly.
🔮 Your Prediction
Sign in to submit your prediction and see how it compares to the rest of the community.
💡 Key Insights
🏟️ Match Context
• Fixture: Stabaek vs ODD Ballklubb | Competition: Eliteserien, Regular Season - 1 | Venue: Nadderud Stadion • Kick-off: Monday 10 Apr 2023, 16:00 UTC • Data inputs: H2H history, form splits, prediction model signals, and market pricing
📊 Statistical Prediction
• Poisson result probabilities: Stabaek 36% | Draw 24% | ODD Ballklubb 41% • Poisson goal markets: Over 2.5 61% | BTTS 63% | xG Stabaek 1.52 / ODD Ballklubb 1.64 • Poisson strength factors: Stabaek attack 0.850 / def 1.150 | ODD Ballklubb attack 0.999 / def 0.968 | league avg home 1.843 / away 1.430 • Poisson stance: ODD Ballklubb (41%) — low confidence — close contest
🧮 Prediction Model
1.52
Stabaek xG
Expected Goals
1.64
ODD Ballklubb xG
63%
BTTS
82%
Over 1.5
61%
Over 2.5
39%
Over 3.5
Full score-by-score matrix & model internals in the "Full Poisson Detail" section below ↓
⚠️ This analysis is generated algorithmically from statistical data and is intended for informational purposes only. It does not constitute betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What time does Stabaek vs ODD Ballklubb kick off?
Stabaek vs ODD Ballklubb kicked off at 16:00 on Monday 10 April 2023 at Nadderud Stadion.
What was the final score in Stabaek vs ODD Ballklubb?
Stabaek 0 - 0 ODD Ballklubb.
Where is Stabaek vs ODD Ballklubb being played?
The match is being played at Nadderud Stadion.
What competition is Stabaek vs ODD Ballklubb part of?
Stabaek vs ODD Ballklubb is a Regular Season - 1 fixture in the Eliteserien (Norway).
Who is favourite to win Stabaek vs ODD Ballklubb?
Our statistical model gives Stabaek a 36% chance of winning, ODD Ballklubb a 41% chance, and a 24% chance of a draw — making ODD Ballklubb the favourite.
Will both teams score in Stabaek vs ODD Ballklubb?
Our model estimates a 63% probability that both Stabaek and ODD Ballklubb will score (BTTS).
Will Stabaek vs ODD Ballklubb have over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts the probability of over 2.5 goals in this match at 61%.
What is the head-to-head record between Stabaek and ODD Ballklubb?
Record (4 meetings): Stabaek 0W | Draws 1 | ODD Ballklubb 3W.
What form are Stabaek and ODD Ballklubb in?
Stabaek (all comps): 2W-2D-6L in 10 | 0.80 PPG | GF 0.90 / GA 2.10 | L5 L-W-D-L-L. ODD Ballklubb (all comps): 6W-3D-1L in 10 | 2.10 PPG | GF 2.20 / GA 1.10 | L5 L-W-W-W-D.
🧮 Model Insight
How the Model Works This Match
The model rates Stabaek's attack at 0.85x the league average against ODD Ballklubb's defence at 0.97x — combine the two and it projects 1.52 expected goals for the hosts. The same calculation in reverse, ODD Ballklubb's attack versus Stabaek's defence, projects 1.64 expected goals for the visitors.
These ratings are built from 0/30 games of current-season data — a full enough sample to trust.
Scoreline Breakdown
Of every possible scoreline, 1-1 carries the highest individual probability at 12.0% — still a long way from a near-certainty, which says something about how open this one is on paper. Close behind: 1-2 (8.7%), 2-1 (8.0%). Together the top three scorelines make up 29% of the probability — a moderately spread distribution, typical of a competitive match-up.
Most Likely Outcome
ODD Ballklubb Win
36%
2.82
24%
4.25
41%
2.44
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 1
10.6%
Draw
Most likely
1 – 2
8.7%
Away win
2 – 1
8.0%
Home win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.52
Stabaek xG
Total xG
3.16
1.64
ODD Ballklubb xG
2.82
36%
Home win
4.25
24%
Draw
2.44
41%
Away win
Goals Markets
82%
Over 1.5
1.22
18%
Under 1.5
5.56
61%
Over 2.5
1.64
39%
Under 2.5
2.56
39%
Over 3.5
2.56
61%
Under 3.5
1.64
21%
Over 4.5
4.76
79%
Under 4.5
1.27
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
63%
BTTS Yes
1.59
37%
BTTS No
2.70
Clean Sheet
19%
5.17
22%
4.55
Win to Nil
7%
14.56
9%
11.12
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4.2 | 7.0 | 5.7 | 3.1 | 1.3 | 0.4 |
| 1 | 6.4 | 10.6 | 8.7 | 4.8 | 2.0 | 0.6 |
| 2 | 4.9 | 8.0 | 6.6 | 3.6 | 1.5 | 0.5 |
| 3 | 2.5 | 4.1 | 3.3 | 1.8 | 0.7 | 0.2 |
| 4 | 0.9 | 1.5 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 5 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the most likely scoreline for Stabaek vs ODD Ballklubb?
Our Poisson model rates 1-1 as the single most likely exact scoreline, at 12.0%.
How many goals are Stabaek and ODD Ballklubb expected to score?
The model projects 1.52 expected goals for Stabaek and 1.64 for ODD Ballklubb, a combined total of 3.16.
How confident is the prediction model for Stabaek vs ODD Ballklubb?
Not very — the model's leading outcome sits at just 41%, meaning this is rated as a genuinely open contest with no dominant favourite.
📈 Form Insight
Form at a Glance
Stabaek's recent record stands at 6W 7D 17L from 30 games, a 0.83 PPG return, with L-W-D-L-L in the last five. Stabaek haven't played enough this season for a current-season-only sample, so this includes results carried over from last season.
ODD Ballklubb, meanwhile, have gone 13W 6D 11L across 30 games — 1.50 PPG, with L-W-W-W-D in their last five.
The points-per-game comparison favours ODD Ballklubb by 0.67 — a real, if not enormous, edge over Stabaek heading into this one.
Venue Form
At home specifically, Stabaek have managed 4W 3D 8L from 15 games — 1.00 PPG in front of their own supporters.
ODD Ballklubb's away record stands at 5W 5D 5L across 15 trips, a 1.33 PPG haul.
Goals in Recent Form
Stabaek are averaging 1.17 goals scored and 2.07 conceded per game recently; ODD Ballklubb are on 1.43 scored and 1.50 conceded.
On BTTS specifically: Stabaek have seen both teams score in 60% of their recent games.
Last 30 Results — Eliteserien
Current season: same league only · Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams)
Stabaek
Pre-Season
ODD Ballklubb
Current Season
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What form are Stabaek and ODD Ballklubb in coming into this match?
Stabaek have gone 6W 7D 17L in their last 30 games (0.83 PPG), while ODD Ballklubb have gone 13W 6D 11L in their last 30 (1.50 PPG).
Which team has the better venue record — Stabaek at home or ODD Ballklubb away?
ODD Ballklubb's away record (1.33 PPG) is the stronger of the two venue-specific splits — Stabaek at home: 1.00 PPG; ODD Ballklubb away: 1.33 PPG.
⚔️ Rivalry Insight
Fixture History
6 meetings separate these sides on the data we hold, the series stretching back to August 2020. Every recorded meeting has come in Eliteserien. It has been a while since the last meeting — 6 August 2023, some 2 years back — so squads and form on both sides may look very different now.
Streaks & Records
The biggest gap between the sides came on 6 Aug 2023, when ODD Ballklubb won 4-0 — the largest margin of victory on record between these two.
Stabaek's record when hosting ODD Ballklubb specifically: 0W 2D 1L from 3 games — a narrower, venue-specific slice of the head-to-head picture.
Last 6 Meetings
0
Stabaek
2
Draws
4
ODD Ballklubb
Recent Meetings
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the head-to-head record between Stabaek and ODD Ballklubb?
From 6 meetings on record, Stabaek have won 0, ODD Ballklubb have won 4, and 2 have been drawn.
When did Stabaek and ODD Ballklubb last play each other?
They last met on 6 August 2023, when ODD Ballklubb 4-0 Stabaek.
Who has won more matches between Stabaek and ODD Ballklubb?
ODD Ballklubb have the better head-to-head record, with 4 wins from 6 meetings.
📈 Trading Insight
First-Half Patterns
Stabaek are typically involved in an early goal — the half-time board shows at least one in 60% of their matches.
ODD Ballklubb are typically involved in an early goal — the half-time board shows at least one in 67% of their matches. They've also shown some fight from behind, salvaging a draw or win after trailing at half-time in 13% of those situations.
Full-Time Trends
BTTS sits in mixed territory for this pairing — Stabaek 47%, ODD Ballklubb 47% — no strong lean either way from the trading data alone.
Over 2.5 has been close to a coin-flip for both sides — 67% (Stabaek) and 47% (ODD Ballklubb). Stepping up a level, Over 3.5 has also landed reasonably often — 33% and 33% respectively — worth a look for goal-hungry markets.
On the defensive side: Stabaek have failed to score in 40% of games; ODD Ballklubb in 33%.
Current season: same league only. Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams). All = any venue | Venue = Stabaek home games / ODD Ballklubb away games. HT metrics require half-time score data — shown as — where unavailable.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
Do both teams usually score when Stabaek play ODD Ballklubb?
Not especially — both teams scoring has occurred in only 47% of Stabaek's recent matches and 47% of ODD Ballklubb's, a rate that leans toward BTTS No.
Is Stabaek vs ODD Ballklubb usually a high-scoring fixture?
Recent trends suggest it could be — Over 2.5 goals has landed in 67% of Stabaek's matches and 47% of ODD Ballklubb's.
Do Stabaek and ODD Ballklubb tend to score early?
Stabaek have had a goal before half-time in 60% of their recent matches, ODD Ballklubb in 67% — a useful reference point for first-half goal markets.
Stalemate at Stabaek's ground as both sides cancel each other out in a goalless draw.
📝 Match Report
How It Unfolded
Stabaek and ODD Ballklubb finished level at 0-0 at Nadderud Stadion, Regular Season - 1, in the Eliteserien. With the result on the board, the sections below measure it against everything the model and the numbers projected in advance.
The Model vs The Result
The Poisson model went into this projecting Stabaek 1.52 xG and ODD Ballklubb 1.64 xG, a combined 3.16. The scoreboard read 0-0 for 0 actual goals. Stabaek fell 1.5 short of their projected output. ODD Ballklubb landed 1.6 under their projected return. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Stabaek attack 0.85 / defence 1.15 against ODD Ballklubb attack 1.00 / defence 0.97, drawn from 0/30 games (PrevSeason).
On the result, the model split it Stabaek 36% | Draw 24% | ODD Ballklubb 41%, with ODD Ballklubb to win its most likely call at 41%. Instead the game produced a draw, an outcome the model had rated at just 24% — a clear break from expectation and a genuine upset by the numbers.
Goals & Markets
The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 61%. The game delivered 0, so it stayed under — the opposite of the projected direction. Over 1.5 had been 82% and missed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 63% and the match did not — a miss on BTTS. Historically the two sides average 65% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Stabaek 73%, ODD Ballklubb 57%), a base rate that pointed the other way from today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 58%, which did not match the one-sided outcome.
Trading Patterns vs Reality
Stabaek's trading profile (30 games, 15 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 60% of their matches — today it did not; they fail to score in 30% of games, a blank that repeated today.
ODD Ballklubb's trading profile (30 games, 15 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 57% of their matches — today it did not.
Form vs Result
On form, ODD Ballklubb arrived the stronger side — 1.50 PPG against 0.83. The form guide was only half-right: the stronger side did not lose, but could not convert the edge into a win. Stabaek (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 1.13 scoring average — below par going forward and conceded 0 against a 1.80 average — tighter than their form line. ODD Ballklubb (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 1.13 scoring average — below par going forward and conceded 0 against a 1.53 average — tighter than their form line.
Verdict
Grading the result against the stored data, 0 of 4 pre-match signals came in: result (miss), Over 2.5 (miss), BTTS (miss), form (miss). The data was on the wrong side of this result more often than not — a reminder that a single match sits well inside the model's variance.
💡 Key Insights
⚠️ This match report is generated algorithmically from the final score, our prediction model, and each team's historical form and trading data. Analysis is for informational purposes only.