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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β€” Friday 3 April 2026

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Friday 3 April 2026. Al-Nassr vs Al Najma (Al-Nassr or draw) led the list at 95% in the Pro League. The shortlist runs from 95% down to 80%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

The shortlist spans eight different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 18 landed the double chance market — 90%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia Al-Nassr or draw 95%
Al-Nassr
5 : 2 FT
Al Najma
βœ“ Win 84%
Draw 12%
Win 5%
✓ Over 2.5 65% BTTS No 60% Al-Nassr Clean Sheet 57%
#2 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand Bangkok United or draw 93%
Bangkok United
2 : 0 FT
Sukhothai FC
βœ“ Win 71%
Draw 22%
Win 7%
✓ BTTS No 60% ✓ Bangkok United Clean Sheet 56%
#3 League One Β· England Lincoln or draw 92%
Lincoln
1 : 0 FT
AFC Wimbledon
βœ“ Win 79%
Draw 13%
Win 8%
Over 2.5 72% BTTS Yes 53%
#4 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal Sporting CP or draw 90%
Sporting CP
4 : 2 FT
Santa Clara
βœ“ Win 71%
Draw 18%
Win 10%
BTTS No 58%
#5 Super League Β· China Chengdu Better City or draw 89%
Chengdu Better City
5 : 1 FT
Qingdao Youth Island
βœ“ Win 72%
Draw 17%
Win 11%
✓ Over 2.5 64%
#6 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal GIL Vicente or draw 88%
GIL Vicente
3 : 0 FT
AVS
βœ“ Win 71%
Draw 18%
Win 12%
✓ Over 2.5 59%
#7 Premier Division Β· Ireland St Patrick's Athl. or draw 88%
St Patrick's Athl.
4 : 1 FT
Sligo Rovers
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 28%
Win 12%
Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 66% St Patrick's Athl. Clean Sheet 58%
#8 Championship Β· England Stoke City or draw 87%
Stoke City
2 : 0 FT
Sheffield Wednesday
βœ“ Win 66%
Draw 21%
Win 13%
Over 2.5 57%
#9 Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium Kortrijk or draw 86%
Kortrijk
2 : 0 FT
KAA Gent II
βœ“ Win 70%
Draw 16%
Win 14%
Over 2.5 73% BTTS Yes 63%
#10 League One Β· England Bradford or draw 85%
Bradford
1 : 0 FT
Northampton
βœ“ Win 61%
Draw 25%
Win 15%
✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 62%
#11 Serie A Β· Brazil Palmeiras or draw 85%
Palmeiras
2 : 1 FT
Gremio
βœ“ Win 64%
Draw 21%
Win 15%
#12 League Two Β· England Milton Keynes Dons or draw 85%
Milton Keynes Dons
0 : 0 FT
Barrow
Win 67%
Draw 18%
Win 15%
Over 2.5 69% BTTS Yes 61%
#13 La Liga Β· Spain Rayo Vallecano or draw 84%
Rayo Vallecano
1 : 0 FT
Elche
βœ“ Win 61%
Draw 22%
Win 16%
#14 League Two Β· England Grimsby or draw 83%
Grimsby
1 : 3 FT
Harrogate Town
Win 58%
Draw 25%
Win 17%
Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 58%
#15 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands Cambuur or draw 82%
VVV Venlo
3 : 0 FT
Cambuur
Win 18%
Draw 21%
Win 61%
✓ Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 54%
#16 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia Al-Ittihad FC or draw 81%
Al-Ittihad FC
1 : 0 FT
Al-Hazm
βœ“ Win 55%
Draw 27%
Win 19%
✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#17 Ligue 1 Β· France Paris Saint Germain or draw 81%
Paris Saint Germain
3 : 1 FT
Toulouse
βœ“ Win 61%
Draw 20%
Win 19%
✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#18 Superettan Β· Sweden Helsingborg or draw 81%
Helsingborg
4 : 1 FT
Osters IF
βœ“ Win 57%
Draw 24%
Win 19%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#19 Championship Β· England Norwich or draw 81%
Norwich
1 : 1 FT
Portsmouth
Win 56%
Draw 25%
Win 19%
Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#20 Primera División Β· Chile O'Higgins or draw 80%
O'Higgins
2 : 1 FT
A. Italiano
βœ“ Win 52%
Draw 28%
Win 20%
Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 63%

Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance β€” common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Friday 3 April 2026?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Al-Nassr vs Al Najma (Al-Nassr or draw) at 95% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.