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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β€” Saturday 7 February 2026

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

20 matches cleared our threshold on Saturday 7 February 2026. Barcelona vs Mallorca (Barcelona or draw) led the list at 93% in the La Liga. The shortlist runs from 93% down to 82%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

The shortlist spans nine different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 17 landed the double chance market — 85%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 La Liga Β· Spain Barcelona or draw 93%
Barcelona
3 : 0 FT
Mallorca
βœ“ Win 77%
Draw 16%
Win 7%
✓ Over 2.5 65%
#2 Premier League Β· England Arsenal or draw 92%
Arsenal
3 : 0 FT
Sunderland
βœ“ Win 69%
Draw 23%
Win 8%
✓ BTTS No 58% ✓ Arsenal Clean Sheet 55%
#3 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands PEC Zwolle or draw 92%
PEC Zwolle
1 : 2 FT
FC Volendam
Win 75%
Draw 17%
Win 9%
✓ Over 2.5 55% BTTS No 59% PEC Zwolle Clean Sheet 54%
#4 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal Estoril or draw 89%
Estoril
2 : 2 FT
Tondela
Win 73%
Draw 16%
Win 11%
✓ Over 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#5 League Two Β· England Cambridge United or draw 88%
Harrogate Town
2 : 1 FT
Cambridge United
Win 12%
Draw 24%
Win 65%
Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 66% Cambridge United Clean Sheet 59%
#6 League Two Β· England Colchester or draw 88%
Colchester
2 : 0 FT
Shrewsbury
βœ“ Win 69%
Draw 19%
Win 12%
Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#7 Serie B Β· Italy Palermo or draw 88%
Palermo
3 : 2 FT
Empoli
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 25%
Win 12%
Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 64% Palermo Clean Sheet 56%
#8 Ligue 1 Β· France Lens or draw 87%
Lens
3 : 1 FT
Rennes
βœ“ Win 66%
Draw 21%
Win 13%
Under 2.5 53% BTTS No 59%
#9 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia Al-Qadisiyah FC or draw 87%
Al-Qadisiyah FC
1 : 1 FT
Al-Fateh
Win 66%
Draw 21%
Win 13%
BTTS No 54%
#10 Bundesliga Β· Germany VfB Stuttgart or draw 86%
FC St. Pauli
2 : 1 FT
VfB Stuttgart
Win 15%
Draw 22%
Win 64%
✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#11 Premier League Β· England Chelsea or draw 85%
Wolves
1 : 3 FT
Chelsea
Win 15%
Draw 28%
βœ“ Win 57%
#12 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands NEC Nijmegen or draw 85%
NEC Nijmegen
4 : 1 FT
Heracles
βœ“ Win 69%
Draw 16%
Win 15%
✓ Over 2.5 75% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%
#13 La Liga Β· Spain Real Sociedad or draw 84%
Real Sociedad
3 : 1 FT
Elche
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 22%
Win 16%
✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#14 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic FK Jablonec or draw 84%
FK Jablonec
0 : 0 FT
Slovácko
Win 58%
Draw 26%
Win 16%
✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 61%
#15 Ligue 1 Β· France Lyon or draw 84%
Nantes
0 : 1 FT
Lyon
Win 16%
Draw 18%
βœ“ Win 65%
Over 2.5 68% BTTS Yes 61%
#16 Serie B Β· Italy Juve Stabia or draw 84%
Juve Stabia
3 : 3 FT
Padova
Win 53%
Draw 31%
Win 16%
Under 2.5 72% BTTS No 68% Juve Stabia Clean Sheet 56%
#17 League One Β· England Bolton or draw 83%
Bolton
3 : 2 FT
Barnsley
βœ“ Win 61%
Draw 22%
Win 17%
#18 Championship Β· England Coventry or draw 83%
Coventry
0 : 0 FT
Oxford United
Win 59%
Draw 25%
Win 17%
#19 Bundesliga Β· Germany SC Freiburg or draw 83%
SC Freiburg
1 : 0 FT
Werder Bremen
βœ“ Win 58%
Draw 25%
Win 17%
Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 54%
#20 League One Β· England Wycombe or draw 82%
Wycombe
4 : 0 FT
Doncaster
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 23%
Win 18%

Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance β€” common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Saturday 7 February 2026?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Barcelona vs Mallorca (Barcelona or draw) at 93% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.