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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β€” Saturday 24 January 2026

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

20 matches cleared our threshold on Saturday 24 January 2026. The strongest reading belongs to Bayern München vs FC Augsburg (Bayern München or draw) at 97% in the Bundesliga. The shortlist runs from 97% down to 81%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Eredivisie supplies three of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 17 landed the double chance market — 85%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Bundesliga Β· Germany Bayern München or draw 97%
Bayern München
1 : 2 FT
FC Augsburg
Win 89%
Draw 8%
Win 3%
✓ Over 2.5 87% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#2 Premier League Β· England Manchester City or draw 91%
Manchester City
2 : 0 FT
Wolves
βœ“ Win 67%
Draw 24%
Win 9%
✓ BTTS No 55%
#3 Süper Lig Β· Turkey Galatasaray or draw 89%
Fatih Karagümrük
1 : 3 FT
Galatasaray
Win 11%
Draw 27%
βœ“ Win 62%
#4 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands Ajax or draw 88%
Ajax
2 : 0 FT
FC Volendam
βœ“ Win 68%
Draw 20%
Win 12%
✓ BTTS No 59%
#5 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands NEC Nijmegen or draw 88%
NEC Nijmegen
2 : 1 FT
PEC Zwolle
βœ“ Win 75%
Draw 13%
Win 12%
✓ Over 2.5 85% ✓ BTTS Yes 72%
#6 Super League Β· Switzerland FC Lugano or draw 88%
FC Lugano
4 : 1 FT
FC Winterthur
βœ“ Win 71%
Draw 16%
Win 12%
✓ Over 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#7 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal Sporting CP or draw 87%
Arouca
1 : 2 FT
Sporting CP
Win 13%
Draw 18%
βœ“ Win 69%
✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#8 League Two Β· England Milton Keynes Dons or draw 86%
Milton Keynes Dons
5 : 1 FT
Shrewsbury
βœ“ Win 67%
Draw 19%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 58%
#9 Serie B Β· Italy Juve Stabia or draw 85%
Juve Stabia
1 : 0 FT
Virtus Entella
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 26%
Win 15%
✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 63% ✓ Juve Stabia Clean Sheet 53%
#10 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands PSV Eindhoven or draw 85%
PSV Eindhoven
2 : 2 FT
NAC Breda
Win 68%
Draw 17%
Win 15%
✓ Over 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
#11 Serie B Β· Italy Frosinone or draw 85%
Frosinone
1 : 0 FT
Reggiana
βœ“ Win 64%
Draw 21%
Win 15%
Over 2.5 58%
#12 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia Al Khaleej Saihat or draw 85%
Al Khaleej Saihat
0 : 0 FT
Al Shabab
Win 65%
Draw 20%
Win 15%
Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 55%
#13 Championship Β· England Bristol City or draw 85%
Bristol City
2 : 0 FT
Sheffield Wednesday
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 23%
Win 15%
#14 Süper Lig Β· Turkey Başakşehir or draw 84%
Kayserispor
0 : 3 FT
Başakşehir
Win 16%
Draw 29%
βœ“ Win 55%
BTTS Yes 55%
#15 Super League 1 Β· Greece Olympiakos Piraeus or draw 83%
Olympiakos Piraeus
1 : 0 FT
Volos NFC
βœ“ Win 61%
Draw 22%
Win 17%
#16 Ligue 1 Β· France Rennes or draw 83%
Rennes
0 : 2 FT
Lorient
Win 62%
Draw 22%
Win 17%
Over 2.5 53%
#17 Serie B Β· Italy Monza or draw 83%
Monza
3 : 0 FT
Pescara
βœ“ Win 63%
Draw 20%
Win 17%
✓ Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 60%
#18 Serie B Β· Italy Cesena or draw 82%
Cesena
1 : 2 FT
Bari
Win 55%
Draw 27%
Win 18%
Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 59%
#19 Bundesliga Β· Germany Bayer Leverkusen or draw 82%
Bayer Leverkusen
1 : 0 FT
Werder Bremen
βœ“ Win 57%
Draw 25%
Win 18%
Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 61%
#20 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia Al-Ahli Jeddah or draw 81%
NEOM
0 : 3 FT
Al-Ahli Jeddah
Win 19%
Draw 31%
βœ“ Win 50%
Under 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS No 63%

Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance β€” common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Saturday 24 January 2026?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Bayern München vs FC Augsburg (Bayern München or draw) at 97% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.