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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β€” Friday 23 January 2026

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

Nine fixtures cleared the bar on Friday 23 January 2026. Inter vs Pisa (Inter or draw) sits top on 89% in the Serie A. The shortlist runs from 89% down to 75%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

The shortlist spans nine different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the nine fixtures on this list that have since finished, eight landed the double chance market — 89%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Serie A Β· Italy Inter or draw 89%
Inter
6 : 2 FT
Pisa
βœ“ Win 74%
Draw 15%
Win 11%
✓ Over 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#2 Süper Lig Β· Turkey Trabzonspor or draw 82%
Trabzonspor
2 : 1 FT
Kasımpaşa
βœ“ Win 53%
Draw 29%
Win 18%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#3 Ligue 2 Β· France Annecy or draw 80%
Annecy
2 : 1 FT
Clermont Foot
βœ“ Win 52%
Draw 28%
Win 20%
Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 61%
#4 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal Casa Pia or draw 79%
Casa Pia
3 : 3 FT
AVS
Win 56%
Draw 23%
Win 21%
✓ Over 2.5 53%
#5 Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium Kortrijk or draw 79%
Kortrijk
4 : 1 FT
KRC Genk II
βœ“ Win 57%
Draw 22%
Win 21%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#6 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany SV Darmstadt 98 or draw 77%
SV Darmstadt 98
2 : 0 FT
1. FC Nürnberg
βœ“ Win 53%
Draw 24%
Win 23%
BTTS Yes 54%
#7 Serie B Β· Italy Carrarese or draw 76%
Carrarese
3 : 0 FT
Empoli
βœ“ Win 45%
Draw 31%
Win 24%
Under 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS No 60%
#8 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands ADO Den Haag or draw 76%
Vitesse
2 : 1 FT
ADO Den Haag
Win 24%
Draw 22%
Win 54%
✓ Over 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%
#9 Bundesliga Β· Germany FC St. Pauli or draw 75%
FC St. Pauli
0 : 0 FT
Hamburger SV
Win 46%
Draw 29%
Win 25%
BTTS Yes 57%

Showing top 9 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance β€” common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Friday 23 January 2026?

nine fixtures met the criteria, led by Inter vs Pisa (Inter or draw) at 89% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.