Sign in Register
🛡️

Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β€” Sunday 18 January 2026

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

20 matches cleared our threshold on Sunday 18 January 2026. The strongest reading belongs to PAOK vs OFI (PAOK or draw) at 91% in the Super League 1. The shortlist runs from 91% down to 78%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

The shortlist spans eight different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 16 landed the double chance market — 80%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Super League 1 Β· Greece PAOK or draw 91%
PAOK
3 : 0 FT
OFI
βœ“ Win 75%
Draw 16%
Win 9%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#2 La Liga Β· Spain Atletico Madrid or draw 90%
Atletico Madrid
1 : 0 FT
Alaves
βœ“ Win 69%
Draw 21%
Win 10%
Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#3 Ligue 1 Β· France Strasbourg or draw 89%
Strasbourg
2 : 1 FT
Metz
βœ“ Win 73%
Draw 16%
Win 11%
✓ Over 2.5 65%
#4 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia Al-Hilal Saudi FC or draw 89%
NEOM
1 : 2 FT
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
Win 11%
Draw 16%
βœ“ Win 73%
✓ Over 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#5 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand Ratchaburi or draw 86%
Ratchaburi
1 : 0 FT
Nakhon Ratchasima FC
βœ“ Win 61%
Draw 25%
Win 14%
✓ Under 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#6 Ligue 1 Β· France Rennes or draw 84%
Rennes
1 : 1 FT
Le Havre
Win 63%
Draw 21%
Win 16%
Over 2.5 54%
#7 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands Den Bosch or draw 83%
Den Bosch
1 : 2 FT
MVV
Win 64%
Draw 19%
Win 17%
✓ Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
#8 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal FC Porto or draw 83%
Vitória SC
0 : 1 FT
FC Porto
Win 17%
Draw 23%
βœ“ Win 60%
✓ BTTS No 53%
#9 Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates Al Bataeh or draw 83%
Baniyas SC
1 : 1 FT
Al Bataeh
Win 17%
Draw 22%
Win 61%
Over 2.5 55%
#10 Serie B Β· Italy Palermo or draw 83%
Palermo
1 : 0 FT
Spezia
βœ“ Win 57%
Draw 25%
Win 17%
✓ Under 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#11 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia Al-Qadisiyah FC or draw 83%
Al-Hazm
1 : 5 FT
Al-Qadisiyah FC
Win 17%
Draw 20%
βœ“ Win 63%
✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#12 La Liga Β· Spain Celta Vigo or draw 82%
Celta Vigo
3 : 0 FT
Rayo Vallecano
βœ“ Win 57%
Draw 25%
Win 18%
#13 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal SC Braga or draw 81%
Tondela
0 : 1 FT
SC Braga
Win 19%
Draw 22%
βœ“ Win 59%
Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 53%
#14 Ligue 1 Β· France Lyon or draw 81%
Lyon
2 : 1 FT
Stade Brestois 29
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 21%
Win 19%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#15 Premier League Β· England Aston Villa or draw 81%
Aston Villa
0 : 1 FT
Everton
Win 45%
Draw 36%
Win 19%
✓ Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#16 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand BG Pathum United or draw 80%
BG Pathum United
0 : 1 FT
Bangkok United
Win 51%
Draw 29%
Win 20%
✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#17 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand Buriram United or draw 80%
Buriram United
8 : 1 FT
Chiangrai United
βœ“ Win 55%
Draw 25%
Win 20%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#18 Serie A Β· Italy AC Milan or draw 79%
AC Milan
1 : 0 FT
Lecce
βœ“ Win 52%
Draw 28%
Win 21%
✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 60%
#19 Süper Lig Β· Turkey Fenerbahçe or draw 79%
Alanyaspor
2 : 3 FT
Fenerbahçe
Win 21%
Draw 36%
βœ“ Win 43%
Under 2.5 62%
#20 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium Antwerp or draw 78%
Dender
1 : 0 FT
Antwerp
Win 22%
Draw 29%
Win 49%
✓ Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 61%

Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance β€” common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Sunday 18 January 2026?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by PAOK vs OFI (PAOK or draw) at 91% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.