Double Chance Predictions
Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability — Saturday 17 January 2026
Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.
20 fixtures cleared the bar on Saturday 17 January 2026. Başakşehir vs Fatih Karagümrük (Başakşehir or draw) sits top on 90% in the Süper Lig. The shortlist runs from 90% down to 80%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.
The shortlist spans eight different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.
Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 18 landed the double chance market — 90%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.
Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.
Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Süper Lig · Turkey
Başakşehir or draw
90%
Bundesliga · Germany
Borussia Dortmund or draw
89%
Ligue 1 · France
Lens or draw
89%
Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al-Nassr or draw
88%
La Liga · Spain
Osasuna or draw
88%
Championship · England
Coventry or draw
85%
La Liga · Spain
Real Madrid or draw
85%
League Two · England
Colchester or draw
85%
League One · England
Mansfield Town or draw
84%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Galatasaray or draw
84%
Championship · England
Swansea or draw
83%
Premier League · England
Liverpool or draw
83%
Primeira Liga · Portugal
Benfica or draw
82%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
PSV Eindhoven or draw
82%
Championship · England
Watford or draw
82%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Union St. Gilloise or draw
82%
Serie B · Italy
Venezia or draw
81%
Super League 1 · Greece
Kifisia or draw
81%
Serie A · Italy
Inter or draw
80%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
Ajax or draw
80%
Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.
Related markets
Double Chance — common questions
What does the Double Chance market mean?
Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.
How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?
Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.
How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Saturday 17 January 2026?
20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Başakşehir vs Fatih Karagümrük (Başakşehir or draw) at 90% double chance probability.
Which fixtures appear on this page?
Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.
How accurate are these double chance predictions?
Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.
Are these predictions betting tips?
No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.