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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β€” Friday 24 January 2025

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Friday 24 January 2025. FC Eindhoven vs Cambuur (Cambuur or draw) led the list at 90% in the Eerste Divisie. The shortlist runs from 90% down to 75%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Eerste Divisie supplies three of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 15 landed the double chance market — 75%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands Cambuur or draw 90%
FC Eindhoven
4 : 2 FT
Cambuur
Win 10%
Draw 20%
Win 71%
✓ Over 2.5 53% BTTS No 57%
#2 Ligue 1 Β· France Auxerre or draw 90%
Auxerre
1 : 1 FT
Saint Etienne
Win 68%
Draw 22%
Win 10%
Over 2.5 55%
#3 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands FC Volendam or draw 88%
FC Volendam
3 : 1 FT
MVV
βœ“ Win 69%
Draw 19%
Win 12%
✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#4 Süper Lig Β· Turkey Samsunspor or draw 86%
Samsunspor
2 : 1 FT
Gaziantep FK
βœ“ Win 65%
Draw 21%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
#5 Ligue 2 Β· France Rodez or draw 85%
Rodez
1 : 2 FT
Ajaccio
Win 64%
Draw 21%
Win 15%
BTTS No 54%
#6 Ligue 2 Β· France Amiens or draw 84%
Martigues
3 : 0 FT
Amiens
Win 16%
Draw 27%
Win 57%
Under 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS No 66% Amiens Clean Sheet 56%
#7 Ligue 2 Β· France Metz or draw 83%
Metz
3 : 0 FT
Grenoble
βœ“ Win 58%
Draw 25%
Win 17%
Under 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#8 Bundesliga Β· Germany VfL Wolfsburg or draw 81%
VfL Wolfsburg
2 : 2 FT
Holstein Kiel
Win 65%
Draw 16%
Win 19%
✓ Over 2.5 85% ✓ BTTS Yes 77%
#9 Championship Β· England Sheffield Utd or draw 80%
Sheffield Utd
0 : 3 FT
Hull City
Win 48%
Draw 32%
Win 20%
Under 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS No 64%
#10 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands Dordrecht or draw 80%
Vitesse
0 : 3 FT
Dordrecht
Win 20%
Draw 23%
βœ“ Win 57%
✓ Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 60%
#11 Ligue 2 Β· France Bastia or draw 79%
Bastia
1 : 1 FT
PAU
Win 54%
Draw 26%
Win 21%
✓ Under 2.5 57% BTTS No 55%
#12 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands Roda or draw 79%
Roda
3 : 0 FT
Jong Utrecht
βœ“ Win 49%
Draw 30%
Win 21%
Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#13 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands Den Bosch or draw 78%
Den Bosch
1 : 0 FT
FC OSS
βœ“ Win 51%
Draw 27%
Win 22%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
#14 League Two Β· England Newport County or draw 78%
Newport County
1 : 2 FT
Swindon Town
Win 55%
Draw 24%
Win 22%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
#15 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany 1. FC Magdeburg or draw 77%
1. FC Magdeburg
1 : 1 FT
Eintracht Braunschweig
Win 49%
Draw 28%
Win 23%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#16 Serie B Β· Italy Spezia or draw 77%
Spezia
2 : 1 FT
Sassuolo
βœ“ Win 46%
Draw 31%
Win 23%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#17 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand Port FC or draw 76%
Port FC
3 : 3 FT
Ratchaburi
Win 52%
Draw 24%
Win 24%
✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
#18 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands Utrecht or draw 76%
Heracles
1 : 1 FT
Utrecht
Win 24%
Draw 22%
Win 54%
Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
#19 Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium RWDM or draw 75%
RWDM
1 : 0 FT
KRC Genk II
βœ“ Win 53%
Draw 22%
Win 25%
Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 60%
#20 Super League 1 Β· Greece Atromitos or draw 75%
Volos NFC
0 : 1 FT
Atromitos
Win 25%
Draw 23%
βœ“ Win 52%
Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 58%

Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance β€” common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Friday 24 January 2025?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by FC Eindhoven vs Cambuur (Cambuur or draw) at 90% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.