Double Chance Predictions
Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability — Saturday 25 January 2025
Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.
20 fixtures cleared the bar on Saturday 25 January 2025. Southampton vs Newcastle (Newcastle or draw) sits top on 94% in the Premier League. The shortlist runs from 94% down to 82%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.
Championship supplies three of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.
Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 20 landed the double chance market — 100%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.
Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.
Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Premier League · England
Newcastle or draw
94%
Championship · England
Sunderland or draw
94%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
PSV Eindhoven or draw
94%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Club Brugge KV or draw
94%
Championship · England
West Brom or draw
92%
Thai League 1 · Thailand
Muangthong United or draw
91%
Primeira Liga · Portugal
Sporting CP or draw
89%
Bundesliga · Germany
Borussia Mönchengladbach or draw
86%
Championship · England
Norwich or draw
86%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Telstar or draw
86%
Ligue 2 · France
Lorient or draw
85%
Premier League · England
Liverpool or draw
84%
Premier League · England
Arsenal or draw
84%
La Liga · Spain
Real Madrid or draw
84%
Super League 1 · Greece
AEK Athens FC or draw
84%
La Liga · Spain
Sevilla or draw
83%
Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al-Ettifaq or draw
83%
Super League 1 · Greece
Asteras Tripolis or draw
83%
League One · England
Wycombe or draw
83%
League One · England
Stockport County or draw
82%
Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.
Related markets
Double Chance — common questions
What does the Double Chance market mean?
Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.
How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?
Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.
How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Saturday 25 January 2025?
20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Southampton vs Newcastle (Newcastle or draw) at 94% double chance probability.
Which fixtures appear on this page?
Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.
How accurate are these double chance predictions?
Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.
Are these predictions betting tips?
No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.