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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β€” Saturday 6 April 2024

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

20 fixtures cleared the bar on Saturday 6 April 2024. The strongest reading belongs to Muangthong United vs Trat FC (Muangthong United or draw) at 93% in the Thai League 1. The shortlist runs from 93% down to 83%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

The shortlist spans seven different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 17 landed the double chance market — 85%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand Muangthong United or draw 93%
Muangthong United
2 : 0 FT
Trat FC
βœ“ Win 79%
Draw 14%
Win 7%
Over 2.5 74% BTTS Yes 57%
#2 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands Twente or draw 92%
Twente
2 : 0 FT
Fortuna Sittard
βœ“ Win 71%
Draw 21%
Win 8%
Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS No 53%
#3 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic Plzen or draw 90%
Karviná
0 : 0 FT
Plzen
Win 10%
Draw 15%
Win 75%
Over 2.5 68% BTTS Yes 54%
#4 Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates Al-Ittihad Kalba or draw 89%
Hatta SC
1 : 3 FT
Al-Ittihad Kalba
Win 11%
Draw 18%
βœ“ Win 70%
✓ Over 2.5 59%
#5 Bundesliga Β· Austria Austria Vienna or draw 88%
Austria Vienna
1 : 1 FT
Austria Lustenau
Win 65%
Draw 23%
Win 12%
BTTS No 56%
#6 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand Buriram United or draw 88%
Buriram United
1 : 0 FT
Prachuap
βœ“ Win 70%
Draw 18%
Win 12%
Over 2.5 71% BTTS Yes 61%
#7 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic Slavia Praha or draw 88%
Slavia Praha
2 : 1 FT
Bohemians 1905
βœ“ Win 70%
Draw 18%
Win 12%
✓ Over 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#8 Serie A Β· Italy AC Milan or draw 86%
AC Milan
3 : 0 FT
Lecce
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 27%
Win 14%
Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 63% ✓ AC Milan Clean Sheet 54%
#9 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal Sporting CP or draw 86%
Sporting CP
2 : 1 FT
Benfica
βœ“ Win 70%
Draw 16%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 76% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%
#10 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands PSV Eindhoven or draw 86%
PSV Eindhoven
5 : 1 FT
AZ Alkmaar
βœ“ Win 61%
Draw 25%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 55%
#11 Championship Β· England Leicester or draw 86%
Leicester
2 : 1 FT
Birmingham
βœ“ Win 66%
Draw 20%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 58%
#12 League One Β· England Blackpool or draw 85%
Blackpool
1 : 0 FT
Cambridge United
βœ“ Win 64%
Draw 21%
Win 15%
✓ BTTS No 53%
#13 Ligue 1 Β· France Paris Saint Germain or draw 85%
Paris Saint Germain
1 : 1 FT
Clermont Foot
Win 64%
Draw 21%
Win 15%
Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#14 Premier League Β· England Fulham or draw 85%
Fulham
0 : 1 FT
Newcastle
Win 65%
Draw 20%
Win 15%
Over 2.5 71% BTTS Yes 65%
#15 Championship Β· England QPR or draw 85%
QPR
0 : 2 FT
Sheffield Wednesday
Win 62%
Draw 23%
Win 15%
✓ Under 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#16 Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium Lommel United or draw 85%
Lommel United
0 : 0 FT
Seraing United
Win 64%
Draw 21%
Win 15%
Over 2.5 54%
#17 Ligue 2 Β· France PAU or draw 84%
PAU
1 : 1 FT
Ajaccio
Win 61%
Draw 23%
Win 16%
#18 Premier League Β· Russia FC Rostov or draw 84%
FC Rostov
2 : 2 FT
FC Sochi
Win 53%
Draw 31%
Win 16%
Under 2.5 55%
#19 League One Β· England Wigan or draw 84%
Wigan
0 : 0 FT
Port Vale
Win 57%
Draw 27%
Win 16%
✓ Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 64%
#20 League Two Β· England Barrow or draw 83%
Barrow
0 : 2 FT
Swindon Town
Win 59%
Draw 24%
Win 17%

Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance β€” common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Saturday 6 April 2024?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Muangthong United vs Trat FC (Muangthong United or draw) at 93% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.