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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β€” Sunday 7 April 2024

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

20 matches cleared our threshold on Sunday 7 April 2024. Lamphun Warrior vs Police Tero (Lamphun Warrior or draw) led the list at 89% in the Thai League 1. The shortlist runs from 89% down to 80%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

The shortlist spans eight different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 17 landed the double chance market — 85%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand Lamphun Warrior or draw 89%
Lamphun Warrior
1 : 1 FT
Police Tero
Win 74%
Draw 15%
Win 11%
Over 2.5 77% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
#2 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany Hannover 96 or draw 89%
Hannover 96
1 : 1 FT
FC Schalke 04
Win 74%
Draw 15%
Win 11%
Over 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#3 Premier League Β· Russia Zenit or draw 87%
Zenit
1 : 0 FT
Baltika
βœ“ Win 54%
Draw 34%
Win 13%
✓ Under 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS No 64% ✓ Zenit Clean Sheet 56%
#4 Premier League Β· England Chelsea or draw 87%
Sheffield Utd
2 : 2 FT
Chelsea
Win 13%
Draw 15%
Win 72%
✓ Over 2.5 81% ✓ BTTS Yes 70%
#5 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands Roda or draw 86%
Roda
2 : 1 FT
VVV Venlo
βœ“ Win 64%
Draw 22%
Win 14%
#6 Ligue 1 Β· France Stade Brestois 29 or draw 86%
Stade Brestois 29
4 : 3 FT
Metz
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 27%
Win 14%
Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 60%
#7 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal FC Porto or draw 85%
FC Porto
1 : 2 FT
Vitória SC
Win 62%
Draw 23%
Win 15%
Under 2.5 54% BTTS No 56%
#8 Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium Beerschot VA or draw 84%
Oostende
1 : 2 FT
Beerschot VA
Win 16%
Draw 22%
βœ“ Win 63%
#9 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands GO Ahead Eagles or draw 83%
GO Ahead Eagles
1 : 1 FT
Almere City FC
Win 51%
Draw 32%
Win 17%
✓ Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 57%
#10 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands Feyenoord or draw 82%
Feyenoord
6 : 0 FT
Ajax
βœ“ Win 61%
Draw 21%
Win 18%
✓ Over 2.5 75% BTTS Yes 70%
#11 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic Sparta Praha or draw 82%
Sparta Praha
1 : 1 FT
Mlada Boleslav
Win 55%
Draw 26%
Win 18%
✓ Under 2.5 56% BTTS No 55%
#12 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia Al-Fateh or draw 82%
Abha
2 : 1 FT
Al-Fateh
Win 18%
Draw 20%
Win 62%
✓ Over 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
#13 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland Widzew Łódź or draw 81%
Widzew Łódź
1 : 0 FT
Piast Gliwice
βœ“ Win 54%
Draw 27%
Win 19%
Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 57%
#14 Primera División Β· Chile Coquimbo Unido or draw 81%
Coquimbo Unido
2 : 1 FT
Cobreloa
βœ“ Win 58%
Draw 23%
Win 19%
#15 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal Moreirense or draw 81%
Moreirense
2 : 2 FT
Estrela
Win 49%
Draw 32%
Win 19%
Under 2.5 74% BTTS No 69% Moreirense Clean Sheet 55%
#16 Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium KRC Genk II or draw 80%
KRC Genk II
1 : 0 FT
Standard Liège II
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 20%
Win 20%
Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 61%
#17 Ligue 1 Β· France Lyon or draw 80%
Nantes
1 : 3 FT
Lyon
Win 20%
Draw 26%
βœ“ Win 54%
#18 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand Sukhothai FC or draw 80%
Sukhothai FC
3 : 1 FT
Nakhon Pathom
βœ“ Win 54%
Draw 26%
Win 20%
#19 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic Teplice or draw 80%
Teplice
0 : 1 FT
Hradec Králové
Win 50%
Draw 30%
Win 20%
✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 59%
#20 Bundesliga Β· Austria Sturm Graz or draw 80%
Sturm Graz
1 : 0 FT
Lask Linz
βœ“ Win 48%
Draw 32%
Win 20%
✓ Under 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS No 60%

Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance β€” common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Sunday 7 April 2024?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Lamphun Warrior vs Police Tero (Lamphun Warrior or draw) at 89% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.