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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β€” Friday 15 March 2024

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

15 matches cleared our threshold on Friday 15 March 2024. Fatih Karagümrük vs Konyaspor (Fatih Karagümrük or draw) led the list at 86% in the Süper Lig. The shortlist runs from 86% down to 76%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Eerste Divisie supplies four of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the 15 fixtures on this list that have since finished, twelve landed the double chance market — 80%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Süper Lig Β· Turkey Fatih Karagümrük or draw 86%
Fatih Karagümrük
1 : 1 FT
Konyaspor
Win 59%
Draw 27%
Win 14%
✓ Under 2.5 54% BTTS No 54%
#2 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands Willem II or draw 86%
Den Bosch
1 : 4 FT
Willem II
Win 14%
Draw 24%
βœ“ Win 61%
#3 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands Dordrecht or draw 82%
Dordrecht
0 : 0 FT
FC Eindhoven
Win 59%
Draw 23%
Win 18%
Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 57%
#4 Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium Beerschot VA or draw 81%
Zulte Waregem
0 : 1 FT
Beerschot VA
Win 19%
Draw 22%
βœ“ Win 60%
Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 54%
#5 Premier League Β· Ukraine Vorskla Poltava or draw 80%
Oleksandria
1 : 0 FT
Vorskla Poltava
Win 20%
Draw 35%
Win 45%
✓ Under 2.5 74% ✓ BTTS No 67%
#6 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands Groningen or draw 79%
Groningen
4 : 2 FT
De Graafschap
βœ“ Win 53%
Draw 26%
Win 21%
#7 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands Jong AZ or draw 79%
Jong AZ
2 : 0 FT
Cambuur
βœ“ Win 58%
Draw 21%
Win 21%
Over 2.5 73% BTTS Yes 69%
#8 La Liga Β· Spain Real Sociedad or draw 79%
Real Sociedad
2 : 0 FT
Cadiz
βœ“ Win 44%
Draw 35%
Win 21%
✓ Under 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS No 62%
#9 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal Estoril or draw 78%
Estoril
1 : 0 FT
Portimonense
βœ“ Win 58%
Draw 20%
Win 22%
Over 2.5 72% BTTS Yes 69%
#10 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia Al-Ettifaq or draw 78%
Al Taee
1 : 1 FT
Al-Ettifaq
Win 22%
Draw 26%
Win 52%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
#11 Bundesliga Β· Germany RB Leipzig or draw 78%
1. FC Köln
1 : 5 FT
RB Leipzig
Win 22%
Draw 26%
βœ“ Win 52%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#12 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany Fortuna Düsseldorf or draw 78%
VfL Osnabrück
0 : 4 FT
Fortuna Düsseldorf
Win 22%
Draw 24%
βœ“ Win 53%
#13 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands GO Ahead Eagles or draw 78%
Heracles
2 : 0 FT
GO Ahead Eagles
Win 22%
Draw 24%
Win 53%
Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 59%
#14 Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates Al Ain or draw 76%
Ajman
0 : 4 FT
Al Ain
Win 24%
Draw 23%
βœ“ Win 53%
✓ Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 56%
#15 Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium SK Beveren or draw 76%
SK Beveren
0 : 1 FT
Patro Eisden
Win 49%
Draw 27%
Win 24%
✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 55%

Showing top 15 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance β€” common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Friday 15 March 2024?

15 fixtures met the criteria, led by Fatih Karagümrük vs Konyaspor (Fatih Karagümrük or draw) at 86% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.