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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability — Sunday 17 March 2024

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Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

20 fixtures cleared the bar on Sunday 17 March 2024. The strongest reading belongs to Sporting CP vs Boavista (Sporting CP or draw) at 92% in the Primeira Liga. The shortlist runs from 92% down to 78%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

The shortlist spans nine different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 20 landed the double chance market — 100%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primeira Liga · Portugal Sporting CP or draw 92%

✓ Over 2.5 73% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%

Czech Liga · Czech-Republic Slavia Praha or draw 91%

Eredivisie · Netherlands AZ Alkmaar or draw 88%

Serie A · Italy AS Roma or draw 88%

Over 2.5 73% BTTS Yes 62%

Süper Lig · Turkey Galatasaray or draw 87%

Czech Liga · Czech-Republic Sparta Praha or draw 87%

Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 62% Sparta Praha Clean Sheet 54%

Bundesliga · Austria Red Bull Salzburg or draw 86%

2. Bundesliga · Germany Hertha BSC or draw 86%

✓ Over 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%

Jupiler Pro League · Belgium Cercle Brugge or draw 84%

✓ Over 2.5 74% BTTS Yes 66%

#10

Ligue 1 · France Stade Brestois 29 or draw 82%

✓ Under 2.5 70% BTTS No 67% Stade Brestois 29 Clean Sheet 54%

#11

Championship · England Leeds or draw 82%

✓ Under 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS No 58%

#12

Ekstraklasa · Poland Pogon Szczecin or draw 82%

#13

Süper Lig · Turkey Fenerbahçe or draw 82%

✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%

#14

Serie A · Italy Inter or draw 81%

#15

Jupiler Pro League · Belgium Gent or draw 81%

Under 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 56%

#16

Super League · Switzerland FC Zurich or draw 80%

Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 58%

#17

Ekstraklasa · Poland Legia Warszawa or draw 80%

#18

Bundesliga · Germany Bayer Leverkusen or draw 79%

✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%

#19

Serie B · Italy Ascoli or draw 78%

Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 59%

#20

Serie A · Italy Juventus or draw 78%

✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 57%

Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

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Double Chance — common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Sunday 17 March 2024?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Sporting CP vs Boavista (Sporting CP or draw) at 92% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.