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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability — Tuesday 12 March 2024

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Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

15 matches cleared our threshold on Tuesday 12 March 2024. Carlisle vs Barnsley (Barnsley or draw) led the list at 91% in the League One. The shortlist runs from 91% down to 75%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

League One supplies four of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the 15 fixtures on this list that have since finished, twelve landed the double chance market — 80%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League One · England Barnsley or draw 91%

Premier League · Ukraine Shakhtar Donetsk or draw 86%

Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 54%

League Two · England Wrexham or draw 84%

Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 58%

Premier League · Ukraine Dnipro-1 or draw 83%

✓ Under 2.5 58% BTTS No 57%

League One · England Derby or draw 81%

✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%

League Two · England Bradford or draw 80%

✓ Under 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS No 54%

Primera División · Chile Union La Calera or draw 80%

Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 60%

League One · England Portsmouth or draw 79%

League One · England Lincoln or draw 79%

Under 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS No 65%

#10

League Two · England Swindon Town or draw 78%

✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%

#11

League One · England Leyton Orient or draw 77%

#12

League Two · England Crewe or draw 76%

Over 2.5 53% BTTS Yes 55%

#13

League Two · England AFC Wimbledon or draw 75%

✓ Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 59%

#14

League One · England Bolton or draw 75%

✓ Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 55%

#15

League Two · England Walsall or draw 75%

Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%

Showing top 15 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

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Double Chance — common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Tuesday 12 March 2024?

15 fixtures met the criteria, led by Carlisle vs Barnsley (Barnsley or draw) at 91% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.