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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability — Saturday 16 March 2024

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Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Saturday 16 March 2024. FC Porto vs Vizela (FC Porto or draw) sits top on 94% in the Primeira Liga. The shortlist runs from 94% down to 80%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

The shortlist spans nine different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 15 landed the double chance market — 75%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primeira Liga · Portugal FC Porto or draw 94%

✓ Over 2.5 56% BTTS No 62% FC Porto Clean Sheet 59%

Jupiler Pro League · Belgium Anderlecht or draw 89%

Pro League · Saudi-Arabia Al-Hilal Saudi FC or draw 87%

Bundesliga · Germany Bayern München or draw 87%

✓ Over 2.5 73% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%

Challenger Pro League · Belgium Deinze or draw 86%

✓ Over 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%

La Liga · Spain Mallorca or draw 86%

La Liga · Spain Athletic Club or draw 86%

✓ Under 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS No 55%

Championship · England Ipswich or draw 86%

✓ Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 56%

League Two · England Wrexham or draw 85%

#10

Ligue 2 · France Paris FC or draw 85%

✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 60%

#11

Jupiler Pro League · Belgium Standard Liege or draw 84%

Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 63%

#12

Super League · Switzerland FC Lugano or draw 83%

Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 56%

#13

Challenger Pro League · Belgium Dender or draw 83%

#14

Super League 1 · Greece Asteras Tripolis or draw 82%

Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 58%

#15

League One · England Lincoln or draw 82%

Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 59%

#16

Primeira Liga · Portugal SC Braga or draw 82%

#17

Ekstraklasa · Poland Slask Wroclaw or draw 82%

#18

Ligue 1 · France Lens or draw 82%

Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 59%

#19

Primeira Liga · Portugal Famalicao or draw 81%

✓ Under 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS No 55%

#20

League One · England Reading or draw 80%

✓ Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 56%

Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Related markets

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Double Chance — common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Saturday 16 March 2024?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by FC Porto vs Vizela (FC Porto or draw) at 94% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.