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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability — Saturday 13 January 2024

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Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

20 fixtures cleared the bar on Saturday 13 January 2024. The strongest reading belongs to Southampton vs Sheffield Wednesday (Southampton or draw) at 91% in the Championship. The shortlist runs from 91% down to 79%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Bundesliga supplies three of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 16 landed the double chance market — 80%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Championship · England Southampton or draw 91%

✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS No 59% ✓ Southampton Clean Sheet 53%

League One · England Blackpool or draw 91%

Over 2.5 72% BTTS Yes 57%

Eredivisie · Netherlands PSV Eindhoven or draw 91%

✓ Over 2.5 77% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%

La Liga · Spain Real Betis or draw 90%

✓ Under 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS No 60% ✓ Real Betis Clean Sheet 54%

Super League 1 · Greece Atromitos or draw 88%

Super League 1 · Greece Lamia or draw 86%

Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 55%

Bundesliga · Germany RB Leipzig or draw 85%

Over 2.5 67% BTTS Yes 61%

Bundesliga · Germany SC Freiburg or draw 85%

Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 56%

Bundesliga · Germany Borussia Dortmund or draw 84%

✓ Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 56%

#10

Primeira Liga · Portugal Estoril or draw 82%

Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 59%

#11

Serie A · Italy Inter or draw 82%

Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 59%

#12

League Two · England Mansfield Town or draw 82%

Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%

#13

Challenger Pro League · Belgium Dender or draw 81%

#14

Ligue 1 · France Monaco or draw 81%

#15

Serie B · Italy Como or draw 81%

✓ Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 55%

#16

Süper Lig · Turkey Hatayspor or draw 80%

Over 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS Yes 67%

#17

Süper Lig · Turkey Başakşehir or draw 80%

Under 2.5 58% BTTS No 53%

#18

Championship · England West Brom or draw 80%

#19

League Two · England Stockport County or draw 80%

✓ Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%

#20

Premier League · England Chelsea or draw 79%

Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 62%

Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

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Double Chance — common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Saturday 13 January 2024?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Southampton vs Sheffield Wednesday (Southampton or draw) at 91% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.