Double Chance Predictions
Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability — Sunday 14 January 2024
Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.
19 matches cleared our threshold on Sunday 14 January 2024. PAOK vs PAS Giannina (PAOK or draw) led the list at 94% in the Super League 1. The shortlist runs from 94% down to 77%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.
The shortlist spans seven different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.
Of the 19 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 16 landed the double chance market — 84%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.
Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.
Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Super League 1 · Greece
PAOK or draw
94%
Ligue 1 · France
Lille or draw
89%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Fenerbahçe or draw
88%
Challenger Pro League · Belgium
Zulte Waregem or draw
87%
Primeira Liga · Portugal
Benfica or draw
84%
Serie A · Italy
Fiorentina or draw
83%
Serie A · Italy
AC Milan or draw
83%
Super League 1 · Greece
Olympiakos Piraeus or draw
83%
Serie B · Italy
Cremonese or draw
83%
Serie B · Italy
Parma or draw
83%
Ligue 1 · France
Stade Brestois 29 or draw
82%
La Liga · Spain
Girona or draw
81%
Super League 1 · Greece
AEK Athens FC or draw
79%
Bundesliga · Germany
VfL Bochum or draw
79%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
Feyenoord or draw
79%
Challenger Pro League · Belgium
Deinze or draw
78%
Serie A · Italy
Lazio or draw
78%
Primeira Liga · Portugal
GIL Vicente or draw
78%
Challenger Pro League · Belgium
Seraing United or draw
77%
Showing top 19 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.
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French Football Predictions
Dutch Football Predictions
Portuguese Football PredictionsDouble Chance — common questions
What does the Double Chance market mean?
Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.
How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?
Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.
How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Sunday 14 January 2024?
19 fixtures met the criteria, led by PAOK vs PAS Giannina (PAOK or draw) at 94% double chance probability.
Which fixtures appear on this page?
Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.
How accurate are these double chance predictions?
Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.
Are these predictions betting tips?
No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.