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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability — Sunday 16 April 2023

Thu 13 Fri 14 Sat 15 Sun 16 Mon 17 Tue 18 Wed 19

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Sunday 16 April 2023. Ajax vs Emmen (Ajax or draw) sits top on 93% in the Eredivisie. The shortlist runs from 93% down to 81%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

The shortlist spans eight different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 17 landed the double chance market — 85%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eredivisie · Netherlands Ajax or draw 93%

La Liga · Spain Atletico Madrid or draw 92%

Bundesliga · Germany Union Berlin or draw 91%

Eredivisie · Netherlands Feyenoord or draw 90%

✓ Over 2.5 75% BTTS Yes 62%

K League 1 · South-Korea Daegu FC or draw 88%

Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 60%

Jupiler Pro League · Belgium Union St. Gilloise or draw 87%

✓ Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%

Primeira Liga · Portugal SC Braga or draw 87%

Ekstraklasa · Poland Raków Częstochowa or draw 87%

Super League · Switzerland FC ST. Gallen or draw 86%

✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%

#10

Jupiler Pro League · Belgium Antwerp or draw 86%

#11

2. Bundesliga · Germany FC St. Pauli or draw 86%

FC St. Pauli

1 : 2 FT

Eintracht Braunschweig

Win 63%

Draw 23%

Win 14%

Under 2.5 56% BTTS No 59%

#12

Eliteserien · Norway Bodo/Glimt or draw 85%

✓ Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 56%

#13

Primeira Liga · Portugal Sporting CP or draw 85%

✓ Under 2.5 56% BTTS No 59%

#14

Premier League · Ukraine Shakhtar Donetsk or draw 85%

#15

Ligue 1 · France Strasbourg or draw 84%

#16

Eliteserien · Norway ODD Ballklubb or draw 83%

#17

Ligue 1 · France Marseille or draw 82%

✓ Over 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%

#18

Serie A · Italy AS Roma or draw 82%

Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 59%

#19

La Liga · Spain Girona or draw 82%

Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 53%

#20

Primera División · Chile Huachipato or draw 81%

Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%

Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Related markets

Draw No Bet Home Banker Likely Draw

Predictions by country

UK Football Predictions

Spanish Football Predictions

Italian Football Predictions

German Football Predictions

French Football Predictions

Dutch Football Predictions

Portuguese Football Predictions

Double Chance — common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Sunday 16 April 2023?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Ajax vs Emmen (Ajax or draw) at 93% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.