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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β€” Wednesday 19 April 2023

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

Ten fixtures cleared the bar on Wednesday 19 April 2023. The strongest reading belongs to Beşiktaş vs Hatayspor (Beşiktaş or draw) at 93% in the Süper Lig. The shortlist runs from 93% down to 75%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Championship supplies five of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the ten fixtures on this list that have since finished, nine landed the double chance market — 90%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Süper Lig Β· Turkey Beşiktaş or draw 93%
Beşiktaş
3 : 0 FT
Hatayspor
βœ“ Win 79%
Draw 14%
Win 7%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#2 Championship Β· England Middlesbrough or draw 86%
Middlesbrough
3 : 1 FT
Hull City
βœ“ Win 66%
Draw 20%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#3 Süper Lig Β· Turkey Kayserispor or draw 82%
Kayserispor
0 : 0 FT
Kasımpaşa
Win 61%
Draw 20%
Win 18%
Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 58%
#4 Championship Β· England Norwich or draw 81%
QPR
1 : 1 FT
Norwich
Win 19%
Draw 24%
Win 57%
#5 Eliteserien Β· Norway Lillestrom or draw 79%
Lillestrom
4 : 3 FT
Stromsgodset
βœ“ Win 55%
Draw 24%
Win 21%
#6 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands GO Ahead Eagles or draw 78%
GO Ahead Eagles
3 : 2 FT
Waalwijk
βœ“ Win 51%
Draw 27%
Win 22%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#7 Championship Β· England Coventry or draw 78%
Blackburn
1 : 1 FT
Coventry
Win 22%
Draw 34%
Win 44%
✓ Under 2.5 76% BTTS No 68%
#8 Championship Β· England Watford or draw 76%
Watford
1 : 3 FT
Cardiff
Win 50%
Draw 26%
Win 24%
#9 Championship Β· England Luton or draw 76%
Reading
1 : 1 FT
Luton
Win 24%
Draw 34%
Win 42%
✓ Under 2.5 74% BTTS No 66%
#10 Veikkausliiga Β· Finland HJK Helsinki or draw 75%
HJK Helsinki
4 : 0 FT
VPS
βœ“ Win 40%
Draw 35%
Win 25%
Under 2.5 59%

Showing top 10 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance β€” common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Wednesday 19 April 2023?

ten fixtures met the criteria, led by Beşiktaş vs Hatayspor (Beşiktaş or draw) at 93% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.