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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability — Friday 14 April 2023

Tue 11 Wed 12 Thu 13 Fri 14 Sat 15 Sun 16 Mon 17

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

The model shortlists 17 fixtures on Friday 14 April 2023. PEC Zwolle vs Telstar (PEC Zwolle or draw) sits top on 92% in the Eerste Divisie. The shortlist runs from 92% down to 75%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Eerste Divisie supplies four of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the 17 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 13 landed the double chance market — 76%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eerste Divisie · Netherlands PEC Zwolle or draw 92%

Over 2.5 75% BTTS Yes 56%

Eerste Divisie · Netherlands Heracles or draw 87%

Over 2.5 74% BTTS Yes 63%

Eerste Divisie · Netherlands MVV or draw 86%

✓ Over 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%

Süper Lig · Turkey Antalyaspor or draw 84%

✓ Over 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%

Serie A · Italy Lazio or draw 84%

Under 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS No 65% ✓ Lazio Clean Sheet 54%

Veikkausliiga · Finland KuPS or draw 82%

Eerste Divisie · Netherlands De Graafschap or draw 81%

✓ Over 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%

Ekstraklasa · Poland Warta Poznań or draw 80%

Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 60%

Primera División · Chile Palestino or draw 79%

✓ Over 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%

#10

Premier League · Ukraine Dynamo Kyiv or draw 78%

✓ Under 2.5 68% BTTS No 63%

#11

Süper Lig · Turkey Galatasaray or draw 78%

✓ Over 2.5 69% BTTS Yes 65%

#12

Eerste Divisie · Netherlands Den Bosch or draw 77%

#13

Championship · England Middlesbrough or draw 77%

#14

Pro League · Saudi-Arabia Al-Hilal Saudi FC or draw 76%

Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 60%

#15

Primeira Liga · Portugal Famalicao or draw 75%

Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 61%

#16

Serie A · Italy Empoli or draw 75%

✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 57%

#17

2. Bundesliga · Germany SpVgg Greuther Fürth or draw 75%

Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 56%

Showing top 17 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

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Double Chance — common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Friday 14 April 2023?

17 fixtures met the criteria, led by PEC Zwolle vs Telstar (PEC Zwolle or draw) at 92% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.