🛡️

Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability — Sunday 9 October 2022

Thu 6 Fri 7 Sat 8 Sun 9 Mon 10 Tue 11 Wed 12

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Sunday 9 October 2022. Cremonese vs Napoli (Napoli or draw) sits top on 92% in the Serie A. The shortlist runs from 92% down to 82%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

The shortlist spans seven different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 15 landed the double chance market — 75%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Italy Napoli or draw 92%

✓ Over 2.5 53% BTTS No 55%

Superettan · Sweden IF Brommapojkarna or draw 89%

Over 2.5 76% BTTS Yes 64%

Ligue 1 · France Rennes or draw 88%

✓ Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 57%

Serie A · Brazil Fortaleza EC or draw 88%

✓ Under 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 63% ✓ Fortaleza EC Clean Sheet 55%

Allsvenskan · Sweden IFK Goteborg or draw 87%

✓ Over 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%

Eliteserien · Norway Bodo/Glimt or draw 87%

✓ Over 2.5 78% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%

La Liga · Spain Barcelona or draw 87%

Eliteserien · Norway Molde or draw 87%

Premier Division · Ireland Shamrock Rovers or draw 86%

Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 61%

#10

Allsvenskan · Sweden Malmo FF or draw 85%

Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 57%

#11

Primera División · Chile Colo Colo or draw 85%

✓ Under 2.5 69% BTTS No 68% Colo Colo Clean Sheet 57%

#12

Süper Lig · Turkey Fenerbahçe or draw 85%

#13

Allsvenskan · Sweden AIK Stockholm or draw 84%

Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 57%

#14

Primeira Liga · Portugal SC Braga or draw 84%

✓ Under 2.5 53% ✓ BTTS No 55%

#15

Serie A · Brazil Internacional or draw 84%

Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 60%

#16

Serie A · Brazil Corinthians or draw 84%

Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 63%

#17

Primeira Liga · Portugal Boavista or draw 84%

Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%

#18

Super League 1 · Greece Panathinaikos or draw 83%

✓ Under 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 54%

#19

Eliteserien · Norway Stromsgodset or draw 82%

✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%

#20

Allsvenskan · Sweden Djurgardens IF or draw 82%

Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 64%

Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Related markets

Draw No Bet Home Banker Likely Draw

Predictions by country

UK Football Predictions

Spanish Football Predictions

Italian Football Predictions

German Football Predictions

French Football Predictions

Dutch Football Predictions

Portuguese Football Predictions

Double Chance — common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Sunday 9 October 2022?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Cremonese vs Napoli (Napoli or draw) at 92% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.