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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability — Saturday 8 October 2022

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Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

20 fixtures cleared the bar on Saturday 8 October 2022. The strongest reading belongs to Reims vs Paris Saint Germain (Paris Saint Germain or draw) at 94% in the Ligue 1. The shortlist runs from 94% down to 83%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

The shortlist spans nine different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 16 landed the double chance market — 80%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · France Paris Saint Germain or draw 94%

Premier League · England Manchester City or draw 91%

✓ Over 2.5 82% BTTS Yes 66%

Bundesliga · Austria Red Bull Salzburg or draw 91%

✓ Over 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%

Eredivisie · Netherlands Sparta Rotterdam or draw 90%

✓ Over 2.5 59% BTTS No 53%

Primeira Liga · Portugal Benfica or draw 89%

✓ Over 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%

Jupiler Pro League · Belgium Club Brugge KV or draw 89%

Over 2.5 74% BTTS Yes 60%

Super League · China Henan Jianye or draw 89%

Over 2.5 68% BTTS Yes 56%

Premier League · Russia CSKA Moscow or draw 87%

Over 2.5 75% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%

League One · England Plymouth or draw 86%

Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 64% ✓ Plymouth Clean Sheet 54%

#10

Pro League · United-Arab-Emirates Al-Wasl FC or draw 86%

✓ Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 57%

#11

Premier League · Russia Zenit or draw 85%

Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 53%

#12

League One · England Ipswich or draw 85%

#13

Premier League · Russia FC Sochi or draw 85%

#14

Veikkausliiga · Finland Mariehamn or draw 85%

#15

Super League · Switzerland BSC Young Boys or draw 85%

✓ Over 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS Yes 67%

#16

League One · England Peterborough or draw 84%

Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%

#17

League One · England Bolton or draw 84%

✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 61%

#18

Thai League 1 · Thailand Ratchaburi or draw 84%

✓ Under 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS No 67% Ratchaburi Clean Sheet 56%

#19

Ligue 1 · France Marseille or draw 84%

Under 2.5 54% BTTS No 54%

#20

Serie B · Italy Brescia or draw 83%

✓ Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 62%

Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

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Double Chance — common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Saturday 8 October 2022?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Reims vs Paris Saint Germain (Paris Saint Germain or draw) at 94% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.