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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β€” Monday 10 October 2022

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

Ten fixtures cleared the bar on Monday 10 October 2022. The strongest reading belongs to Raków Częstochowa vs Miedz Legnica (Raków Częstochowa or draw) at 90% in the Ekstraklasa. The shortlist runs from 90% down to 77%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

The shortlist spans nine different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the ten fixtures on this list that have since finished, seven landed the double chance market — 70%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland Raków Częstochowa or draw 90%
Raków Częstochowa
1 : 0 FT
Miedz Legnica
βœ“ Win 75%
Draw 15%
Win 10%
Over 2.5 69% BTTS Yes 55%
#2 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden Hammarby FF or draw 89%
Hammarby FF
5 : 1 FT
Varbergs BoIS FC
βœ“ Win 65%
Draw 23%
Win 11%
#3 Süper Lig Β· Turkey Başakşehir or draw 88%
Başakşehir
0 : 2 FT
Sivasspor
Win 67%
Draw 21%
Win 12%
✓ BTTS No 57%
#4 Super League 1 Β· Greece Atromitos or draw 86%
Atromitos
2 : 1 FT
PAS Giannina
βœ“ Win 55%
Draw 31%
Win 14%
Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 58%
#5 Ligue 2 Β· France Sochaux or draw 83%
Sochaux
2 : 1 FT
Saint Etienne
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 21%
Win 17%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#6 Superettan Β· Sweden Orebro SK or draw 81%
Orebro SK
1 : 3 FT
Dalkurd FF
Win 57%
Draw 25%
Win 19%
#7 Serie A Β· Brazil Palmeiras or draw 80%
Atletico Goianiense
1 : 1 FT
Palmeiras
Win 20%
Draw 25%
Win 55%
✓ Under 2.5 55% BTTS No 54%
#8 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia Al Wehda Club or draw 78%
Al Wehda Club
2 : 0 FT
Al Baten
βœ“ Win 50%
Draw 29%
Win 22%
✓ Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 61%
#9 Primera División Β· Chile Everton de Vina or draw 78%
Everton de Vina
3 : 3 FT
Cobresal
Win 52%
Draw 25%
Win 22%
Under 2.5 55%
#10 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia Al-Raed or draw 77%
Al-Raed
0 : 2 FT
Al Taee
Win 50%
Draw 27%
Win 23%
✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 57%

Showing top 10 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance β€” common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Monday 10 October 2022?

ten fixtures met the criteria, led by Raków Częstochowa vs Miedz Legnica (Raków Częstochowa or draw) at 90% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.