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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β€” Monday 5 September 2022

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

Twelve matches cleared our threshold on Monday 5 September 2022. Piast Gliwice vs Miedz Legnica (Piast Gliwice or draw) led the list at 85% in the Ekstraklasa. The shortlist runs from 85% down to 75%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Serie A supplies three of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the twelve fixtures on this list that have since finished, nine landed the double chance market — 75%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland Piast Gliwice or draw 85%
Piast Gliwice
2 : 1 FT
Miedz Legnica
βœ“ Win 64%
Draw 21%
Win 15%
#2 Premier League Β· Russia FC Rostov or draw 85%
Torpedo Moskva
0 : 1 FT
FC Rostov
Win 15%
Draw 18%
βœ“ Win 67%
Over 2.5 77% BTTS Yes 69%
#3 Serie A Β· Italy Atalanta or draw 84%
Monza
0 : 2 FT
Atalanta
Win 16%
Draw 33%
βœ“ Win 51%
✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#4 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden Kalmar FF or draw 83%
Kalmar FF
1 : 0 FT
Varbergs BoIS FC
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 28%
Win 17%
✓ Under 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS No 65% ✓ Kalmar FF Clean Sheet 54%
#5 Veikkausliiga Β· Finland HJK Helsinki or draw 83%
HJK Helsinki
2 : 1 FT
HIFK Helsinki
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 26%
Win 17%
#6 Serie A Β· Italy Torino or draw 80%
Torino
1 : 0 FT
Lecce
βœ“ Win 40%
Draw 39%
Win 20%
✓ Under 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS No 61%
#7 Serie A Β· Italy Salernitana or draw 79%
Salernitana
2 : 2 FT
Empoli
Win 44%
Draw 35%
Win 21%
Under 2.5 60%
#8 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden Hammarby FF or draw 77%
IFK Norrkoping
4 : 1 FT
Hammarby FF
Win 23%
Draw 24%
Win 53%
#9 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden IFK Varnamo or draw 76%
IFK Varnamo
3 : 2 FT
Helsingborg
βœ“ Win 47%
Draw 29%
Win 24%
Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 59%
#10 Premier League Β· Ukraine Oleksandria or draw 76%
Oleksandria
1 : 3 FT
Metal Kharkiv
Win 42%
Draw 34%
Win 24%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#11 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands Jong AZ or draw 75%
Jong AZ
3 : 1 FT
Dordrecht
βœ“ Win 52%
Draw 24%
Win 25%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#12 Superettan Β· Sweden IK brage or draw 75%
IK brage
1 : 2 FT
Utsikten
Win 48%
Draw 27%
Win 25%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%

Showing top 12 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance β€” common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Monday 5 September 2022?

twelve fixtures met the criteria, led by Piast Gliwice vs Miedz Legnica (Piast Gliwice or draw) at 85% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.