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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β€” Tuesday 19 April 2022

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

The model shortlists 13 fixtures on Tuesday 19 April 2022. Sheffield Wednesday vs Crewe (Sheffield Wednesday or draw) sits top on 93% in the League One. The shortlist runs from 93% down to 75%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

La Liga supplies three of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the 13 fixtures on this list that have since finished, nine landed the double chance market — 69%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 League One Β· England Sheffield Wednesday or draw 93%
Sheffield Wednesday
1 : 0 FT
Crewe
βœ“ Win 76%
Draw 17%
Win 7%
Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 53%
#2 Premier League Β· England Liverpool or draw 87%
Liverpool
4 : 0 FT
Manchester United
βœ“ Win 68%
Draw 19%
Win 13%
✓ Over 2.5 60%
#3 Ligue 2 Β· France Ajaccio or draw 82%
Ajaccio
2 : 1 FT
Dunkerque
βœ“ Win 49%
Draw 33%
Win 18%
Under 2.5 74% BTTS No 69% Ajaccio Clean Sheet 55%
#4 Ligue 2 Β· France Amiens or draw 80%
Amiens
0 : 2 FT
Le Havre
Win 50%
Draw 30%
Win 20%
✓ Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 61%
#5 Championship Β· England Fulham or draw 79%
Fulham
3 : 0 FT
Preston
βœ“ Win 53%
Draw 26%
Win 21%
Under 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#6 La Liga Β· Spain Villarreal or draw 79%
Villarreal
2 : 0 FT
Valencia
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 23%
Win 21%
#7 La Liga Β· Spain Real Betis or draw 78%
Real Betis
0 : 1 FT
Elche
Win 56%
Draw 23%
Win 22%
Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 55%
#8 Superettan Β· Sweden Trelleborg or draw 78%
Trelleborg
1 : 1 FT
Ostersunds FK
Win 52%
Draw 25%
Win 22%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
#9 League One Β· England Rotherham or draw 77%
Burton Albion
2 : 0 FT
Rotherham
Win 23%
Draw 37%
Win 40%
✓ Under 2.5 74% ✓ BTTS No 65%
#10 La Liga Β· Spain Mallorca or draw 77%
Mallorca
2 : 1 FT
Alaves
βœ“ Win 49%
Draw 27%
Win 23%
Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 56%
#11 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands Vitesse or draw 76%
Vitesse
0 : 1 FT
Sparta Rotterdam
Win 48%
Draw 27%
Win 24%
✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#12 Ligue 2 Β· France Rodez or draw 75%
Rodez
1 : 1 FT
Nancy
Win 42%
Draw 33%
Win 25%
✓ Under 2.5 71% BTTS No 63%
#13 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands ADO Den Haag or draw 75%
ADO Den Haag
2 : 2 FT
Jong PSV U21
Win 53%
Draw 22%
Win 25%
✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%

Showing top 13 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance β€” common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Tuesday 19 April 2022?

13 fixtures met the criteria, led by Sheffield Wednesday vs Crewe (Sheffield Wednesday or draw) at 93% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.