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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability — Sunday 10 April 2022

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Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

20 matches cleared our threshold on Sunday 10 April 2022. Benevento vs Vicenza Virtus (Benevento or draw) led the list at 93% in the Serie B. The shortlist runs from 93% down to 79%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

The shortlist spans eight different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 18 landed the double chance market — 90%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie B · Italy Benevento or draw 93%

Czech Liga · Czech-Republic Slavia Praha or draw 90%

✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 53%

Serie A · Italy AS Roma or draw 88%

Ligue 1 · France Monaco or draw 86%

Thai League 1 · Thailand BG Pathum United or draw 85%

✓ Over 2.5 69% BTTS Yes 63%

Jupiler Pro League · Belgium Club Brugge KV or draw 85%

Over 2.5 67% BTTS Yes 59%

Primeira Liga · Portugal FC Porto or draw 82%

Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 63%

Serie A · Brazil Atletico-MG or draw 82%

✓ Under 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS No 56%

Jupiler Pro League · Belgium Charleroi or draw 82%

#10

Bundesliga · Germany RB Leipzig or draw 82%

✓ Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 56%

#11

Championship · England Fulham or draw 82%

✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%

#12

Eredivisie · Netherlands AZ Alkmaar or draw 81%

Under 2.5 54% BTTS No 54%

#13

Eliteserien · Norway Viking or draw 81%

Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 57%

#14

Ekstraklasa · Poland Raków Częstochowa or draw 81%

#15

Jupiler Pro League · Belgium Union St. Gilloise or draw 80%

#16

Eredivisie · Netherlands PSV Eindhoven or draw 80%

Over 2.5 69% BTTS Yes 65%

#17

Jupiler Pro League · Belgium Gent or draw 79%

✓ Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 54%

#18

Süper Lig · Turkey Fenerbahçe or draw 79%

#19

Primeira Liga · Portugal SC Braga or draw 79%

#20

Eliteserien · Norway Tromso or draw 79%

Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Related markets

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Double Chance — common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Sunday 10 April 2022?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Benevento vs Vicenza Virtus (Benevento or draw) at 93% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.