Double Chance Predictions
Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability — Friday 24 September 2021
Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.
The model shortlists 18 fixtures on Friday 24 September 2021. Coventry vs Peterborough (Coventry or draw) sits top on 91% in the Championship. The shortlist runs from 91% down to 75%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.
The shortlist spans eight different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.
Of the 18 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 14 landed the double chance market — 78%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.
Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.
Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Championship · England
Coventry or draw
91%
Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al-Ittihad FC or draw
89%
Bundesliga · Germany
Bayern München or draw
86%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
SSV Jahn Regensburg or draw
86%
Ligue 2 · France
Amiens or draw
82%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Club Brugge KV or draw
82%
Ligue 2 · France
PAU or draw
82%
Primeira Liga · Portugal
Sporting CP or draw
80%
Superettan · Sweden
Orgryte IS or draw
79%
Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Abha or draw
79%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
FC Eindhoven or draw
78%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
1. FC Heidenheim or draw
78%
Pro League · United-Arab-Emirates
Sharjah FC or draw
77%
Ligue 2 · France
Rodez or draw
77%
Premier Division · Ireland
Derry City or draw
76%
Ligue 2 · France
Guingamp or draw
75%
Premier Division · Ireland
Bohemians or draw
75%
Pro League · United-Arab-Emirates
Emirates Club or draw
75%
Showing top 18 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.
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Portuguese Football PredictionsDouble Chance — common questions
What does the Double Chance market mean?
Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.
How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?
Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.
How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Friday 24 September 2021?
18 fixtures met the criteria, led by Coventry vs Peterborough (Coventry or draw) at 91% double chance probability.
Which fixtures appear on this page?
Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.
How accurate are these double chance predictions?
Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.
Are these predictions betting tips?
No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.