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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β€” Sunday 1 August 2021

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

20 matches cleared our threshold on Sunday 1 August 2021. Ural vs Nizhny Novgorod (Nizhny Novgorod or draw) led the list at 88% in the Premier League. The shortlist runs from 88% down to 75%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Premier League supplies three of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 16 landed the double chance market — 80%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Premier League Β· Russia Nizhny Novgorod or draw 88%
Ural v Nizhny Novgorod prediction
Win 12%
Draw 21%
Win 67%
✓ Under 2.5 53% BTTS No 59%
#2 Premier League Β· Russia Zenit or draw 88%
FC Rostov v Zenit prediction
Win 12%
Draw 21%
βœ“ Win 67%
BTTS No 58%
#3 Super League Β· Switzerland FC Luzern or draw 85%
FC ST. Gallen v FC Luzern prediction
Win 15%
Draw 29%
Win 55%
✓ BTTS Yes 53%
#4 Super League Β· Switzerland FC Sion or draw 83%
FC Basel 1893 v FC Sion prediction
Win 17%
Draw 29%
Win 54%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#5 Super League Β· Switzerland FC Lugano or draw 83%
Servette FC v FC Lugano prediction
Win 17%
Draw 29%
βœ“ Win 54%
Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 57%
#6 Premier League Β· Russia Khimki or draw 82%
FC Krasnodar v Khimki prediction
Win 18%
Draw 25%
βœ“ Win 58%
✓ Under 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#7 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden Djurgardens IF or draw 82%
#8 Serie A Β· Brazil Flamengo or draw 82%
Corinthians v Flamengo prediction
Win 18%
Draw 26%
βœ“ Win 56%
Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 58%
#9 Superettan Β· Sweden Norrby IF or draw 81%
#10 Superettan Β· Sweden Landskrona BoIS or draw 79%
Vasteras SK FK v Landskrona BoIS prediction
Win 21%
Draw 25%
Win 54%
Under 2.5 55% BTTS No 53%
#11 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium Beerschot VA or draw 78%
Gent v Beerschot VA prediction
Win 22%
Draw 35%
Win 43%
Under 2.5 58%
#12 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium Kortrijk or draw 78%
Antwerp v Kortrijk prediction
Win 22%
Draw 34%
βœ“ Win 43%
✓ Under 2.5 56%
#13 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium Standard Liege or draw 77%
Zulte Waregem v Standard Liege prediction
Win 23%
Draw 35%
βœ“ Win 42%
Under 2.5 59%
#14 Primera División Β· Chile Universidad de Chile or draw 77%
Universidad de Chile v U. Catolica prediction
βœ“ Win 43%
Draw 35%
Win 23%
Under 2.5 62%
#15 Serie A Β· Brazil RB Bragantino or draw 76%
RB Bragantino v Gremio prediction
βœ“ Win 50%
Draw 26%
Win 24%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
#16 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium Club Brugge KV or draw 76%
Union St. Gilloise v Club Brugge KV prediction
Win 24%
Draw 35%
βœ“ Win 41%
✓ Under 2.5 56%
#17 Bundesliga Β· Austria WSG Wattens or draw 76%
Austria Vienna v WSG Wattens prediction
Win 24%
Draw 36%
Win 40%
✓ Under 2.5 59%
#18 Bundesliga Β· Austria Sturm Graz or draw 76%
Wolfsberger AC v Sturm Graz prediction
Win 24%
Draw 36%
βœ“ Win 40%
Under 2.5 59%
#19 Bundesliga Β· Austria Ried or draw 76%
Red Bull Salzburg v Ried prediction
Win 24%
Draw 36%
Win 40%
Under 2.5 59%
#20 K League 1 Β· South-Korea Suwon Bluewings or draw 75%
Gangwon FC v Suwon Bluewings prediction
Win 25%
Draw 31%
Win 45%
Under 2.5 58%

Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance β€” common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Sunday 1 August 2021?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Ural vs Nizhny Novgorod (Nizhny Novgorod or draw) at 88% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.