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Correct Score Predictions

Most likely scoreline for every fixture, from our prediction model — Friday 18 September 2026

The Model Score is the same most-likely scoreline already shown on each fixture's own Predictions tab, from our prediction model. Once a fixture finishes, it's highlighted green if the model score matched the actual result shown above it exactly.

38 matches clear our threshold on Friday 18 September 2026. The strongest reading belongs to Almere City FC vs Heracles at 82% in the Eerste Divisie. The shortlist runs from 82% down to 26%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Eerste Divisie supplies six of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Thai League 1 · Thailand
Ayutthaya FC
: 12:00
Uthai Thani
Win 42%
Draw 31%
Win 28%
Under 2.5 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Widzew Łódź
: 16:00
Wieczysta Kraków
Win 51%
Draw 24%
Win 25%
Over 2.5 74% BTTS Yes 73%
Model Score 2–1 · 9%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
: 16:30
1. FC Magdeburg
Win 28%
Draw 21%
Win 52%
Over 2.5 72% BTTS Yes 70%
Model Score 1–2 · 9%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
VfL Wolfsburg
: 16:30
SV Darmstadt 98
Win 33%
Draw 28%
Win 39%
Under 2.5 58%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Eliteserien · Norway
Sarpsborg 08 FF
: 17:00
KFUM Oslo
Win 58%
Draw 23%
Win 19%
Model Score 1–0 · 11%
Superettan · Sweden
Falkenbergs FF
: 17:00
Ostersunds FK
Win 44%
Draw 28%
Win 28%
BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Kasımpaşa
: 17:00
Konyaspor
Win 48%
Draw 24%
Win 28%
Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Bundesliga · Austria
Rapid Vienna
: 17:30
WSG Wattens
Win 59%
Draw 22%
Win 19%
Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 61%
Model Score 2–1 · 10%
Ligue 2 · France
Annecy
: 18:00
Dijon
Win 49%
Draw 30%
Win 21%
Under 2.5 57%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%
Ligue 2 · France
Grenoble
: 18:00
Clermont Foot
Win 37%
Draw 33%
Win 30%
Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Ligue 2 · France
Laval
: 18:00
Sochaux
Win 33%
Draw 37%
Win 31%
Under 2.5 74% BTTS No 64%
Model Score 0–0 · 17%
Ligue 2 · France
PAU
: 18:00
Dunkerque
Win 30%
Draw 29%
Win 41%
BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Ligue 2 · France
Reims
: 18:00
Montpellier
Win 30%
Draw 31%
Win 38%
Under 2.5 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Ligue 2 · France
Rodez
: 18:00
Nancy
Win 37%
Draw 32%
Win 32%
Under 2.5 59%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
Groningen
: 18:00
PEC Zwolle
Win 45%
Draw 23%
Win 33%
Over 2.5 70% BTTS Yes 70%
Model Score 1–1 · 9%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Almere City FC
: 18:00
Heracles
Win 34%
Draw 19%
Win 47%
Over 2.5 82% BTTS Yes 80%
Model Score 2–2 · 7%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Den Bosch
: 18:00
Helmond Sport
Win 56%
Draw 20%
Win 24%
Over 2.5 71% BTTS Yes 68%
Model Score 2–1 · 9%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
FC Eindhoven
: 18:00
Emmen
Win 45%
Draw 20%
Win 36%
Over 2.5 81% BTTS Yes 79%
Model Score 2–2 · 7%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Jong Ajax
: 18:00
Roda
Win 29%
Draw 21%
Win 50%
Over 2.5 71% BTTS Yes 70%
Model Score 1–2 · 9%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Jong AZ
: 18:00
FC Volendam
Win 46%
Draw 24%
Win 30%
Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Jong Utrecht
: 18:00
VVV Venlo
Win 24%
Draw 21%
Win 55%
Over 2.5 67% BTTS Yes 65%
Model Score 1–2 · 9%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
FC OSS
: 18:00
Dordrecht
Win 53%
Draw 20%
Win 27%
Over 2.5 73% BTTS Yes 71%
Model Score 2–1 · 9%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Waalwijk
: 18:00
MVV
Win 39%
Draw 22%
Win 39%
Over 2.5 71% BTTS Yes 71%
Model Score 1–1 · 9%
Challenger Pro League · Belgium
Club Brugge II
: 18:00
KAA Gent II
Win 48%
Draw 23%
Win 29%
Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 63%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Challenger Pro League · Belgium
Francs Borains
: 18:00
RSC Anderlecht II
Win 38%
Draw 26%
Win 35%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Bundesliga · Germany
Bayern München
: 18:30
Union Berlin
Win 71%
Draw 16%
Win 13%
Over 2.5 78% BTTS Yes 68%
Model Score 2–1 · 8%
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Wisla Krakow
: 18:30
Slask Wroclaw
Win 47%
Draw 31%
Win 21%
BTTS Yes 53%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Serie B · Italy
Juve Stabia
: 18:30
Cesena
Win 40%
Draw 30%
Win 30%
Under 2.5 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Ligue 1 · France
Monaco
: 18:45
Lens
Win 46%
Draw 28%
Win 25%
Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Serie A · Italy
Monza
: 18:45
Sassuolo
Win 32%
Draw 25%
Win 43%
Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Gent
: 18:45
Standard Liege
Win 50%
Draw 23%
Win 27%
Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 61%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Premier Division · Ireland
Derry City
: 18:45
Galway United
Win 45%
Draw 30%
Win 25%
Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 63%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Premier Division · Ireland
Dundalk
: 18:45
Shelbourne
Win 26%
Draw 33%
Win 41%
BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Premier League · England
Brentford
: 19:00
Chelsea
Win 52%
Draw 22%
Win 26%
Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 62%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Championship · England
Bristol City
: 19:00
Watford
Win 42%
Draw 33%
Win 25%
Under 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 53%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
La Liga · Spain
Espanyol
: 19:00
Elche
Win 52%
Draw 23%
Win 24%
Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Premier Division · Ireland
Bohemians
: 19:00
Drogheda United
Win 54%
Draw 27%
Win 19%
Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 64%
Model Score 2–1 · 10%
Premier Division · Ireland
Shamrock Rovers
: 19:00
Waterford
Win 47%
Draw 30%
Win 23%
Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 62%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%

Showing 38 of 38 fixtures for the day, in kick-off order. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Correct Score — common questions

What does the Correct Score market mean?

Correct Score settles on whether a match finishes on one exact scoreline. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate correct score probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The most likely scoreline shown here is the single highest-probability cell in the model's full score matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Correct Score on Friday 18 September 2026?

38 fixtures met the criteria, led by Almere City FC vs Heracles at 82% most likely scoreline.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the model's single most likely scoreline for each fixture, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these correct score predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.