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Correct Score Predictions

Most likely scoreline for every fixture, from our prediction model β€” Friday 11 September 2026

The Model Score is the same most-likely scoreline already shown on each fixture's own Predictions tab, from our prediction model. Once a fixture finishes, it's highlighted green if the model score matched the actual result shown above it exactly.

The model shortlists 49 fixtures on Friday 11 September 2026. Heracles vs Jong AZ led the list at 90% in the Eerste Divisie. The shortlist runs from 90% down to 18%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Eerste Divisie supplies five of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League Β· Ukraine
Kolos Kovalivka
0 : 2 FT
Karpaty
Win 24%
Draw 37%
βœ“ Win 39%
✓ Under 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS No 58%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 16%
Thai League 1 Β· Thailand
Buriram United
1 : 1 FT
Chiangrai United
Win 53%
Draw 25%
Win 23%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
✓ Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Thai League 1 Β· Thailand
Port FC
2 : 1 FT
Lamphun Warrior
βœ“ Win 52%
Draw 26%
Win 22%
Under 2.5 54%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 13%
Thai League 1 Β· Thailand
Ratchaburi
1 : 0 FT
Bangkok United
βœ“ Win 48%
Draw 27%
Win 25%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates
Hatta SC
1 : 2 FT
Al-Dhafra
Win 32%
Draw 28%
βœ“ Win 40%
Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 53%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates
Khorfakkan
0 : 0 FT
Baniyas SC
Win 38%
Draw 23%
Win 39%
Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 66%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 10%
Premier League Β· Russia
Krylia Sovetov
2 : 1 FT
Rodina Moskva
βœ“ Win 50%
Draw 26%
Win 24%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al-Qadisiyah FC
3 : 3 FT
Al-Ettifaq
Win 36%
Draw 32%
Win 32%
✓ BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al-Faisaly FC
1 : 3 FT
Al-Ittihad FC
Win 16%
Draw 36%
βœ“ Win 48%
Under 2.5 71% BTTS No 64% Al-Ittihad FC Clean Sheet 53%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 19%
Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Raków Częstochowa
2 : 1 FT
Motor Lublin
βœ“ Win 38%
Draw 27%
Win 35%
✓ Over 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS Yes 72%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 9%
Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates
Ajman
2 : 3 FT
Al-Ittihad Kalba
Win 53%
Draw 19%
Win 28%
✓ Over 2.5 80% ✓ BTTS Yes 77%
Model Score 2–1 Β· 8%
Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates
Al Wahda FC
1 : 0 FT
Sharjah FC
Win 29%
Draw 22%
Win 49%
Over 2.5 67% BTTS Yes 67%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 9%
2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
SV Darmstadt 98
2 : 1 FT
Arminia Bielefeld
βœ“ Win 48%
Draw 23%
Win 28%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 10%
2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
1. FC Nürnberg
2 : 1 FT
Hannover 96
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 22%
Win 22%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
BK Hacken
1 : 1 FT
Mjallby AIF
Win 40%
Draw 25%
Win 35%
Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 68%
✓ Model Score 1–1 Β· 10%
Serie B Β· Italy
Empoli
0 : 1 FT
Arezzo
Win 63%
Draw 21%
Win 16%
Over 2.5 53%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 12%
Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Beşiktaş
3 : 0 FT
Erzurumspor FK
βœ“ Win 70%
Draw 18%
Win 12%
✓ Over 2.5 63%
Model Score 2–0 Β· 11%
Bundesliga Β· Austria
Ried
1 : 1 FT
Red Bull Salzburg
Win 25%
Draw 30%
Win 45%
✓ Under 2.5 59%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 13%
Ligue 2 Β· France
Clermont Foot
0 : 0 FT
Boulogne
Win 32%
βœ“ Draw 41%
Win 26%
✓ Under 2.5 82% ✓ BTTS No 72%
✓ Model Score 0–0 Β· 24%
Ligue 2 Β· France
Dijon
3 : 2 FT
Laval
Win 30%
Draw 30%
Win 39%
Under 2.5 53% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Ligue 2 Β· France
Montpellier
1 : 0 FT
PAU
βœ“ Win 36%
Draw 31%
Win 32%
✓ Under 2.5 56%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Ligue 2 Β· France
Nancy
1 : 2 FT
Reims
Win 25%
Draw 31%
βœ“ Win 44%
Under 2.5 56%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Ligue 2 Β· France
Rodez
0 : 1 FT
Grenoble
Win 50%
Draw 25%
Win 25%
Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 66%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 9%
Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
AZ Alkmaar
1 : 1 FT
Willem II
Win 70%
Draw 15%
Win 14%
Over 2.5 79% ✓ BTTS Yes 69%
Model Score 2–1 Β· 8%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
FC Eindhoven
2 : 1 FT
Dordrecht
βœ“ Win 50%
Draw 20%
Win 30%
✓ Over 2.5 75% ✓ BTTS Yes 73%
✓ Model Score 2–1 Β· 8%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Emmen
1 : 2 FT
De Graafschap
Win 65%
Draw 18%
Win 17%
✓ Over 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
Model Score 2–1 Β· 9%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Helmond Sport
3 : 1 FT
Jong PSV U21
βœ“ Win 51%
Draw 21%
Win 28%
✓ Over 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS Yes 69%
Model Score 2–1 Β· 9%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Heracles
3 : 2 FT
Jong AZ
βœ“ Win 51%
Draw 17%
Win 32%
✓ Over 2.5 90% ✓ BTTS Yes 86%
Model Score 2–2 Β· 6%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Jong Ajax
0 : 2 FT
Waalwijk
Win 33%
Draw 20%
βœ“ Win 47%
Over 2.5 79% BTTS Yes 76%
Model Score 1–2 Β· 8%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
MVV
0 : 4 FT
Almere City FC
Win 25%
Draw 24%
βœ“ Win 51%
✓ Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
NAC Breda
2 : 3 FT
Jong Utrecht
Win 40%
Draw 23%
Win 37%
✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 10%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
VVV Venlo
3 : 1 FT
FC OSS
βœ“ Win 61%
Draw 21%
Win 18%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 2–1 Β· 10%
Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium
Beerschot VA
3 : 1 FT
K. Lierse S.K.
βœ“ Win 68%
Draw 18%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 2–0 Β· 10%
Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium
KAA Gent II
0 : 1 FT
Dender
Win 48%
Draw 24%
Win 27%
Over 2.5 53% BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al-Ahli Jeddah
3 : 1 FT
Al-Hazm
βœ“ Win 71%
Draw 20%
Win 9%
✓ Over 2.5 62%
Model Score 2–0 Β· 12%
Bundesliga Β· Germany
Union Berlin
1 : 3 FT
FC Schalke 04
Win 67%
Draw 18%
Win 15%
✓ Over 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
Model Score 2–1 Β· 9%
Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Wisla Krakow
2 : 0 FT
Jagiellonia
Win 31%
Draw 30%
Win 39%
Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 64%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Ligue 1 Β· France
Rennes
1 : 0 FT
Marseille
βœ“ Win 52%
Draw 26%
Win 23%
Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Serie A Β· Italy
Venezia
2 : 4 FT
Fiorentina
Win 29%
Draw 26%
βœ“ Win 44%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
KV Mechelen
0 : 1 FT
Anderlecht
Win 41%
Draw 24%
Win 35%
Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Premier Division Β· Ireland
Drogheda United
2 : 0 FT
Sligo Rovers
βœ“ Win 43%
Draw 35%
Win 23%
✓ Under 2.5 57%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 13%
Premier Division Β· Ireland
Galway United
2 : 3 FT
Bohemians
Win 28%
Draw 32%
βœ“ Win 40%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Premier Division Β· Ireland
Shelbourne
0 : 1 FT
Derry City
Win 37%
Draw 30%
Win 33%
Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 65%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Premier Division Β· Ireland
Waterford
1 : 1 FT
Dundalk
Win 48%
Draw 28%
Win 24%
Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%
✓ Model Score 1–1 Β· 10%
Championship Β· England
West Ham
6 : 0 FT
Wrexham
Win 30%
Draw 32%
Win 38%
BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Serie B Β· Italy
Benevento
3 : 1 FT
Hellas Verona
βœ“ Win 39%
Draw 27%
Win 34%
Under 2.5 56%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Serie B Β· Italy
Pisa
1 : 4 FT
Virtus Entella
Win 37%
Draw 30%
Win 32%
Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 59%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 14%
La Liga Β· Spain
Sevilla
1 : 0 FT
Valencia
βœ“ Win 42%
Draw 26%
Win 33%
Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Premier Division Β· Ireland
St Patrick's Athl.
2 : 0 FT
Shamrock Rovers
βœ“ Win 37%
Draw 35%
Win 27%
✓ Under 2.5 57%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%

Showing 49 of 49 fixtures for the day, in kick-off order. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Correct Score β€” common questions

What does the Correct Score market mean?

Correct Score settles on whether a match finishes on one exact scoreline. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate correct score probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The most likely scoreline shown here is the single highest-probability cell in the model's full score matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Correct Score on Friday 11 September 2026?

49 fixtures met the criteria, led by Heracles vs Jong AZ at 90% most likely scoreline.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the model's single most likely scoreline for each fixture, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these correct score predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.