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Correct Score Predictions

Most likely scoreline for every fixture, from our prediction model β€” Friday 1 March 2024

The Model Score is the same most-likely scoreline already shown on each fixture's own Predictions tab, from our prediction model. Once a fixture finishes, it's highlighted green if the model score matched the actual result shown above it exactly.

39 matches cleared our threshold on Friday 1 March 2024. The strongest reading belongs to ADO Den Haag vs Jong Ajax at 78% in the Eerste Divisie. The shortlist runs from 78% down to 29%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Pro League supplies three of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

K League 1 Β· South-Korea
Ulsan Hyundai FC
1 : 0 FT
Pohang Steelers
βœ“ Win 40%
Draw 29%
Win 31%
✓ Under 2.5 59%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
K League 1 Β· South-Korea
Jeonbuk Motors
1 : 1 FT
Daejeon Citizen
Win 42%
Draw 27%
Win 31%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
✓ Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Super League Β· China
Shandong Luneng
4 : 2 FT
Changchun Yatai
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 22%
Win 22%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 10%
Super League Β· China
Qingdao Youth Island
1 : 1 FT
Henan Jianye
Win 41%
Draw 25%
Win 34%
Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
✓ Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Super League Β· China
SHANGHAI SIPG
3 : 1 FT
Wuhan Three Towns
βœ“ Win 41%
Draw 26%
Win 33%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates
Khorfakkan
0 : 3 FT
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai
Win 33%
Draw 23%
βœ“ Win 44%
✓ Over 2.5 67% BTTS Yes 68%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 9%
Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates
Ajman
2 : 0 FT
Emirates Club
βœ“ Win 48%
Draw 24%
Win 28%
Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 62%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 10%
Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al Okhdood
1 : 2 FT
Al Riyadh
Win 56%
Draw 26%
Win 18%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 12%
Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Abha
2 : 0 FT
Al Taee
βœ“ Win 41%
Draw 29%
Win 29%
BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Premier League Β· Russia
FC Rostov
2 : 0 FT
Krylia Sovetov
βœ“ Win 55%
Draw 25%
Win 20%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 11%
Premier League Β· Ukraine
Polessya
0 : 1 FT
LNZ Cherkasy
Win 33%
Draw 34%
Win 33%
✓ Under 2.5 61%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates
Al-Wasl FC
2 : 0 FT
Sharjah FC
βœ“ Win 45%
Draw 25%
Win 30%
Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 62%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Cracovia Krakow
0 : 1 FT
Warta Poznań
Win 53%
Draw 26%
Win 21%
Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 62%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 10%
Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Kasımpaşa
0 : 0 FT
Sivasspor
Win 43%
Draw 28%
Win 30%
Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 66%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 10%
Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
3 : 1 FT
Al-Ittihad FC
βœ“ Win 54%
Draw 27%
Win 19%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 12%
2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
FC Schalke 04
3 : 1 FT
FC St. Pauli
Win 31%
Draw 24%
Win 45%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
Hertha BSC
2 : 2 FT
Holstein Kiel
Win 28%
Draw 23%
Win 49%
✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 10%
Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
FC Volendam
2 : 5 FT
NEC Nijmegen
Win 14%
Draw 19%
βœ“ Win 67%
✓ Over 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 1–2 Β· 10%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
ADO Den Haag
2 : 1 FT
Jong Ajax
βœ“ Win 69%
Draw 17%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 78% ✓ BTTS Yes 69%
✓ Model Score 2–1 Β· 8%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
De Graafschap
2 : 1 FT
FC OSS
βœ“ Win 54%
Draw 27%
Win 19%
Under 2.5 54%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 13%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Emmen
2 : 0 FT
Willem II
Win 19%
Draw 28%
Win 53%
✓ Under 2.5 56%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 14%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Helmond Sport
1 : 1 FT
VVV Venlo
Win 53%
Draw 25%
Win 21%
Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
✓ Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
NAC Breda
3 : 1 FT
Jong Utrecht
βœ“ Win 49%
Draw 27%
Win 24%
✓ BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
FC Eindhoven
1 : 1 FT
Jong AZ
Win 30%
Draw 29%
Win 41%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
✓ Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Telstar
1 : 1 FT
Roda
Win 29%
Draw 30%
Win 42%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
✓ Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium
Zulte Waregem
1 : 1 FT
Standard Liège II
Win 32%
Draw 27%
Win 41%
✓ Under 2.5 53%
✓ Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium
Club Brugge II
2 : 1 FT
KRC Genk II
Win 30%
Draw 24%
Win 47%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Bundesliga Β· Germany
SC Freiburg
2 : 2 FT
Bayern München
Win 38%
Draw 23%
Win 39%
✓ Over 2.5 76% ✓ BTTS Yes 76%
Model Score 1–2 Β· 7%
Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Ruch Chorzów
3 : 0 FT
Piast Gliwice
Win 26%
Draw 33%
Win 41%
Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 56%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 14%
Serie A Β· Italy
Lazio
0 : 1 FT
AC Milan
Win 38%
Draw 28%
Win 34%
Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 61%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
KVC Westerlo
0 : 1 FT
Charleroi
Win 53%
Draw 25%
Win 22%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 13%
Premier Division Β· Ireland
Derry City
2 : 1 FT
St Patrick's Athl.
βœ“ Win 39%
Draw 33%
Win 28%
Under 2.5 60%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Premier Division Β· Ireland
Galway United
2 : 1 FT
Waterford
Win 19%
Draw 28%
Win 53%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 12%
Premier Division Β· Ireland
Sligo Rovers
0 : 1 FT
Shelbourne
Win 29%
Draw 36%
Win 34%
✓ Under 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS No 61%
Model Score 0–0 Β· 15%
Championship Β· England
West Brom
2 : 1 FT
Coventry
βœ“ Win 42%
Draw 28%
Win 30%
Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 53%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Ligue 1 Β· France
Monaco
0 : 0 FT
Paris Saint Germain
Win 16%
Draw 28%
Win 56%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 13%
La Liga Β· Spain
Celta Vigo
1 : 0 FT
Almeria
βœ“ Win 38%
Draw 33%
Win 29%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Chaves
1 : 5 FT
Arouca
Win 28%
Draw 25%
βœ“ Win 47%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Primera División Β· Chile
Cobreloa
2 : 1 FT
Cobresal
Win 33%
Draw 27%
Win 40%
Under 2.5 55%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%

Showing 39 of 39 fixtures for the day, in kick-off order. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Correct Score β€” common questions

What does the Correct Score market mean?

Correct Score settles on whether a match finishes on one exact scoreline. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate correct score probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The most likely scoreline shown here is the single highest-probability cell in the model's full score matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Correct Score on Friday 1 March 2024?

39 fixtures met the criteria, led by ADO Den Haag vs Jong Ajax at 78% most likely scoreline.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the model's single most likely scoreline for each fixture, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these correct score predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.