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Correct Score Predictions

Most likely scoreline for every fixture, from our prediction model — Tuesday 26 December 2023

The Model Score is the same most-likely scoreline already shown on each fixture's own Predictions tab, from our prediction model. Once a fixture finishes, it's highlighted green if the model score matched the actual result shown above it exactly.

57 fixtures cleared the bar on Tuesday 26 December 2023. The strongest reading belongs to AFC Wimbledon vs Sutton Utd at 79% in the League Two. The shortlist runs from 79% down to 26%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Championship supplies three of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie B · Italy
Reggiana
1 : 0 FT
Catanzaro
Win 32%
Draw 31%
Win 38%
✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Premier League · England
Newcastle
1 : 3 FT
Nottingham Forest
Win 82%
Draw 12%
Win 6%
✓ Over 2.5 64% BTTS No 58% Newcastle Clean Sheet 55%
Model Score 2–0 · 13%
Championship · England
Preston
2 : 1 FT
Leeds
Win 25%
Draw 24%
Win 51%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
League Two · England
Mansfield Town
2 : 0 FT
Grimsby
✓ Win 51%
Draw 28%
Win 21%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
Model Score 1–0 · 13%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Genk
3 : 0 FT
Antwerp
✓ Win 45%
Draw 27%
Win 29%
✓ Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 68%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Championship · England
Millwall
2 : 0 FT
QPR
Win 30%
Draw 31%
Win 39%
✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 57%
Model Score 0–1 · 14%
League One · England
Leyton Orient
1 : 0 FT
Charlton
Win 23%
Draw 28%
Win 49%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
League Two · England
Gillingham
0 : 2 FT
Crawley Town
Win 46%
Draw 28%
Win 26%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Serie B · Italy
Ascoli
0 : 0 FT
Cittadella
Win 31%
Draw 33%
Win 36%
✓ Under 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS No 62%
Model Score 0–1 · 15%
Serie B · Italy
Cosenza
1 : 2 FT
Como
Win 37%
Draw 32%
Win 31%
Under 2.5 68% BTTS No 60%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%
Serie B · Italy
Feralpisalo
2 : 2 FT
Venezia
Win 16%
Draw 27%
Win 56%
Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 62%
Model Score 0–1 · 17%
Serie B · Italy
Lecco
2 : 1 FT
Sudtirol
Win 27%
Draw 26%
Win 48%
✓ BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Serie B · Italy
Spezia
1 : 1 FT
Modena
Win 32%
✓ Draw 34%
Win 33%
✓ Under 2.5 74% BTTS No 65%
Model Score 0–0 · 17%
Serie B · Italy
Ternana
1 : 1 FT
Pisa
Win 41%
Draw 32%
Win 27%
✓ Under 2.5 68% BTTS No 60%
Model Score 1–0 · 15%
Serie B · Italy
Brescia
0 : 2 FT
Parma
Win 28%
Draw 27%
✓ Win 45%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Premier League · England
Bournemouth
3 : 0 FT
Fulham
✓ Win 44%
Draw 24%
Win 32%
✓ Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Premier League · England
Sheffield Utd
2 : 3 FT
Luton
Win 37%
Draw 25%
✓ Win 38%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Championship · England
Cardiff
2 : 2 FT
Plymouth
Win 54%
Draw 28%
Win 17%
Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 62%
Model Score 1–0 · 17%
Championship · England
Coventry
2 : 0 FT
Sheffield Wednesday
✓ Win 57%
Draw 29%
Win 15%
✓ Under 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS No 67% ✓ Coventry Clean Sheet 56%
Model Score 1–0 · 19%
Championship · England
Huddersfield
3 : 0 FT
Blackburn
Win 28%
Draw 24%
Win 48%
✓ Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 62%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Championship · England
Hull City
0 : 1 FT
Sunderland
Win 46%
Draw 30%
Win 25%
✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 57%
Model Score 1–0 · 15%
Championship · England
Rotherham
1 : 0 FT
Middlesbrough
Win 32%
Draw 23%
Win 45%
Over 2.5 68% BTTS Yes 68%
Model Score 1–1 · 9%
Championship · England
Southampton
5 : 0 FT
Swansea
✓ Win 50%
Draw 24%
Win 26%
✓ Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Championship · England
Watford
1 : 4 FT
Bristol City
Win 49%
Draw 28%
Win 23%
Under 2.5 57%
Model Score 1–0 · 13%
Championship · England
West Brom
1 : 0 FT
Norwich
✓ Win 49%
Draw 24%
Win 27%
Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 62%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
League One · England
Bristol Rovers
2 : 1 FT
Portsmouth
Win 21%
Draw 27%
Win 52%
Under 2.5 53%
Model Score 0–1 · 13%
League One · England
Burton Albion
1 : 0 FT
Blackpool
✓ Win 38%
Draw 29%
Win 34%
BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
League One · England
Cheltenham
2 : 0 FT
Shrewsbury
✓ Win 46%
Draw 33%
Win 21%
✓ Under 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS No 64%
Model Score 1–0 · 18%
League One · England
Exeter City
1 : 0 FT
Wycombe
Win 22%
Draw 31%
Win 46%
✓ Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 59%
Model Score 0–1 · 16%
League One · England
Fleetwood Town
1 : 1 FT
Carlisle
Win 45%
Draw 29%
Win 26%
✓ Under 2.5 56%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 13%
League One · England
Lincoln
0 : 1 FT
Bolton
Win 30%
Draw 31%
✓ Win 39%
✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
League One · England
Oxford United
2 : 1 FT
Cambridge United
✓ Win 61%
Draw 25%
Win 14%
Under 2.5 54% BTTS No 56%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%
League One · England
Peterborough
2 : 2 FT
Reading
Win 83%
Draw 12%
Win 5%
✓ Over 2.5 73%
Model Score 3–0 · 11%
League One · England
Port Vale
2 : 3 FT
Barnsley
Win 24%
Draw 26%
✓ Win 50%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
League One · England
Stevenage
3 : 0 FT
Northampton
✓ Win 44%
Draw 29%
Win 27%
Under 2.5 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
League One · England
Wigan
0 : 1 FT
Derby
Win 33%
Draw 29%
✓ Win 38%
✓ Under 2.5 53%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
League Two · England
AFC Wimbledon
0 : 1 FT
Sutton Utd
Win 78%
Draw 13%
Win 9%
Over 2.5 79% BTTS Yes 63%
Model Score 3–1 · 8%
League Two · England
Barrow
2 : 2 FT
Stockport County
Win 35%
Draw 31%
Win 34%
Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
League Two · England
Bradford
2 : 2 FT
Morecambe
Win 45%
Draw 26%
Win 29%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
League Two · England
Harrogate Town
2 : 1 FT
Accrington ST
✓ Win 41%
Draw 26%
Win 34%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
League Two · England
Milton Keynes Dons
1 : 0 FT
Colchester
✓ Win 54%
Draw 25%
Win 21%
Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
League Two · England
Newport County
4 : 2 FT
Forest Green
✓ Win 56%
Draw 26%
Win 18%
Model Score 1–0 · 13%
League Two · England
Notts County
3 : 0 FT
Doncaster
✓ Win 49%
Draw 24%
Win 28%
✓ Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 66%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
League Two · England
Salford City
1 : 5 FT
Tranmere
Win 46%
Draw 28%
Win 27%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
League Two · England
Swindon Town
0 : 1 FT
Wrexham
Win 47%
Draw 26%
Win 26%
BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
League Two · England
Walsall
2 : 0 FT
Crewe
✓ Win 38%
Draw 29%
Win 33%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
OH Leuven
3 : 0 FT
AS Eupen
✓ Win 51%
Draw 30%
Win 20%
Model Score 1–0 · 12%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Kortrijk
0 : 2 FT
Gent
Win 23%
Draw 31%
✓ Win 46%
BTTS Yes 53%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Serie B · Italy
Palermo
3 : 2 FT
Cremonese
Win 30%
Draw 29%
Win 41%
Under 2.5 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Championship · England
Birmingham
1 : 3 FT
Stoke City
Win 42%
Draw 26%
Win 32%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Premier League · England
Burnley
0 : 2 FT
Liverpool
Win 18%
Draw 20%
✓ Win 62%
Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–2 · 10%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
KVC Westerlo
3 : 0 FT
RWDM
✓ Win 47%
Draw 26%
Win 27%
✓ Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 66%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al-Ittihad FC
2 : 5 FT
Al-Nassr
Win 28%
Draw 21%
✓ Win 51%
✓ Over 2.5 75% ✓ BTTS Yes 73%
Model Score 1–2 · 8%
Serie B · Italy
Sampdoria
1 : 1 FT
Bari
Win 37%
Draw 28%
Win 35%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Championship · England
Ipswich
1 : 1 FT
Leicester
Win 38%
Draw 21%
Win 42%
Over 2.5 77% ✓ BTTS Yes 75%
Model Score 1–2 · 7%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Club Brugge KV
1 : 1 FT
Union St. Gilloise
Win 42%
Draw 30%
Win 28%
✓ BTTS Yes 57%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Premier League · England
Manchester United
3 : 2 FT
Aston Villa
Win 31%
Draw 26%
Win 43%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%

Showing 57 of 57 fixtures for the day, in kick-off order. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Related markets

Correct Score — common questions

What does the Correct Score market mean?

Correct Score settles on whether a match finishes on one exact scoreline. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate correct score probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The most likely scoreline shown here is the single highest-probability cell in the model's full score matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Correct Score on Tuesday 26 December 2023?

57 fixtures met the criteria, led by AFC Wimbledon vs Sutton Utd at 79% most likely scoreline.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the model's single most likely scoreline for each fixture, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these correct score predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.