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Correct Score Predictions

Most likely scoreline for every fixture, from our prediction model — Saturday 23 December 2023

The Model Score is the same most-likely scoreline already shown on each fixture's own Predictions tab, from our prediction model. Once a fixture finishes, it's highlighted green if the model score matched the actual result shown above it exactly.

70 matches cleared our threshold on Saturday 23 December 2023. Tranmere vs Swindon Town led the list at 75% in the League Two. The shortlist runs from 75% down to 28%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

The shortlist spans seven different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Süper Lig · Turkey
Sivasspor
1 : 0 FT
İstanbulspor
✓ Win 52%
Draw 27%
Win 21%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
✓ Model Score 1–0 · 13%
Thai League 1 · Thailand
Chonburi FC
2 : 1 FT
Muangthong United
Win 28%
Draw 28%
Win 44%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Serie A · Italy
Frosinone
1 : 2 FT
Juventus
Win 29%
Draw 29%
✓ Win 42%
Under 2.5 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Thai League 1 · Thailand
Sukhothai FC
2 : 3 FT
Khon Kaen United
Win 59%
Draw 22%
Win 19%
✓ Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
Model Score 2–1 · 10%
Premier League · England
West Ham
2 : 0 FT
Manchester United
Win 33%
Draw 29%
Win 38%
✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Championship · England
Leeds
4 : 0 FT
Ipswich
✓ Win 42%
Draw 27%
Win 31%
BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Pro League · United-Arab-Emirates
Al-Jazira
3 : 1 FT
Hatta SC
✓ Win 39%
Draw 26%
Win 36%
✓ Over 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS Yes 70%
Model Score 1–1 · 9%
Pro League · United-Arab-Emirates
Al Nasr
2 : 1 FT
Emirates Club
✓ Win 56%
Draw 27%
Win 17%
Model Score 1–0 · 12%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Jong AZ
1 : 2 FT
ADO Den Haag
Win 31%
Draw 28%
✓ Win 41%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Serie B · Italy
Cittadella
4 : 1 FT
Spezia
✓ Win 54%
Draw 25%
Win 21%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Serie B · Italy
Como
3 : 3 FT
Palermo
Win 34%
Draw 29%
Win 37%
Under 2.5 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Serie B · Italy
Cremonese
4 : 0 FT
Modena
Win 33%
Draw 33%
Win 33%
Under 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS No 61%
Model Score 0–0 · 14%
Serie B · Italy
Parma
3 : 1 FT
Ternana
✓ Win 50%
Draw 23%
Win 27%
✓ Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Serie B · Italy
Venezia
2 : 2 FT
Lecco
Win 57%
Draw 25%
Win 18%
Model Score 1–0 · 12%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Fatih Karagümrük
0 : 3 FT
Gaziantep FK
Win 61%
Draw 24%
Win 16%
Model Score 1–0 · 13%
Thai League 1 · Thailand
Buriram United
4 : 0 FT
Uthai Thani
✓ Win 60%
Draw 23%
Win 17%
✓ Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 2–1 · 10%
Serie A · Italy
Bologna
1 : 0 FT
Atalanta
✓ Win 58%
Draw 25%
Win 17%
✓ Under 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS No 54%
✓ Model Score 1–0 · 14%
Serie A · Italy
Torino
1 : 1 FT
Udinese
Win 54%
Draw 28%
Win 17%
✓ Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 62%
Model Score 1–0 · 17%
Serie B · Italy
Catanzaro
2 : 3 FT
Brescia
Win 40%
Draw 30%
Win 30%
Under 2.5 59%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Premier League · England
Fulham
0 : 2 FT
Burnley
Win 70%
Draw 18%
Win 12%
Over 2.5 61%
Model Score 2–0 · 11%
Premier League · England
Luton
1 : 0 FT
Newcastle
✓ Win 42%
Draw 22%
Win 36%
Over 2.5 71% BTTS Yes 71%
Model Score 1–1 · 9%
Premier League · England
Nottingham Forest
2 : 3 FT
Bournemouth
Win 36%
Draw 24%
✓ Win 41%
✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Premier League · England
Tottenham
2 : 1 FT
Everton
Win 34%
Draw 25%
Win 41%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Championship · England
Blackburn
1 : 2 FT
Watford
Win 30%
Draw 26%
✓ Win 44%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Championship · England
Leicester
3 : 0 FT
Rotherham
✓ Win 78%
Draw 15%
Win 7%
✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 56%
Model Score 2–0 · 13%
Championship · England
Middlesbrough
1 : 0 FT
West Brom
Win 31%
Draw 30%
Win 39%
✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 53%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Championship · England
Norwich
2 : 0 FT
Huddersfield
✓ Win 43%
Draw 29%
Win 28%
✓ Under 2.5 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Championship · England
Plymouth
3 : 3 FT
Birmingham
Win 62%
Draw 20%
Win 18%
✓ Over 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
Model Score 2–1 · 10%
Championship · England
QPR
0 : 1 FT
Southampton
Win 35%
Draw 29%
Win 35%
✓ Under 2.5 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Championship · England
Sheffield Wednesday
1 : 2 FT
Cardiff
Win 35%
Draw 30%
Win 35%
Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 53%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Championship · England
Stoke City
0 : 0 FT
Millwall
Win 24%
Draw 29%
Win 46%
✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 56%
Model Score 0–1 · 14%
Championship · England
Sunderland
0 : 3 FT
Coventry
Win 44%
Draw 27%
Win 30%
BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
League One · England
Barnsley
2 : 1 FT
Stevenage
✓ Win 40%
Draw 28%
Win 32%
✓ BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
League One · England
Blackpool
3 : 1 FT
Bristol Rovers
✓ Win 45%
Draw 26%
Win 29%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
League One · England
Bolton
3 : 2 FT
Leyton Orient
✓ Win 49%
Draw 27%
Win 24%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
League One · England
Carlisle
0 : 1 FT
Cheltenham
Win 33%
Draw 32%
✓ Win 35%
✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
League One · England
Charlton
1 : 1 FT
Burton Albion
Win 64%
Draw 21%
Win 15%
Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 2–0 · 11%
League One · England
Northampton
2 : 1 FT
Oxford United
✓ Win 40%
Draw 27%
Win 33%
✓ BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
League One · England
Reading
2 : 0 FT
Wigan
✓ Win 46%
Draw 25%
Win 29%
Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 63%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
League One · England
Shrewsbury
1 : 2 FT
Peterborough
Win 27%
Draw 29%
✓ Win 44%
Under 2.5 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
League One · England
Wycombe
1 : 1 FT
Port Vale
Win 33%
Draw 31%
Win 35%
✓ Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 54%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 13%
League One · England
Portsmouth
1 : 1 FT
Fleetwood Town
Win 51%
Draw 27%
Win 22%
Model Score 1–0 · 12%
League Two · England
Accrington ST
2 : 1 FT
Walsall
✓ Win 41%
Draw 26%
Win 33%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
League Two · England
Grimsby
1 : 2 FT
Harrogate Town
Win 36%
Draw 29%
Win 34%
Under 2.5 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
League Two · England
Morecambe
1 : 3 FT
Milton Keynes Dons
Win 44%
Draw 28%
Win 28%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
League Two · England
Sutton Utd
0 : 2 FT
Mansfield Town
Win 25%
Draw 25%
✓ Win 50%
Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
League Two · England
Tranmere
2 : 1 FT
Swindon Town
✓ Win 62%
Draw 19%
Win 19%
✓ Over 2.5 75% ✓ BTTS Yes 69%
✓ Model Score 2–1 · 9%
League Two · England
Wrexham
2 : 0 FT
Newport County
✓ Win 63%
Draw 19%
Win 18%
Over 2.5 73% BTTS Yes 67%
Model Score 2–1 · 9%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
AS Eupen
1 : 2 FT
Union St. Gilloise
Win 12%
Draw 20%
✓ Win 67%
✓ Over 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
✓ Model Score 1–2 · 9%
Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al Taawon
1 : 3 FT
Al-Fateh
Win 50%
Draw 25%
Win 25%
✓ Over 2.5 53% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Serie B · Italy
Bari
0 : 0 FT
Cosenza
Win 45%
Draw 32%
Win 23%
✓ Under 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS No 62%
Model Score 1–0 · 17%
Serie B · Italy
Pisa
1 : 0 FT
Ascoli
✓ Win 42%
Draw 30%
Win 28%
✓ Under 2.5 59%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Serie B · Italy
Sampdoria
2 : 3 FT
Feralpisalo
Win 56%
Draw 26%
Win 19%
Under 2.5 54%
Model Score 1–0 · 13%
Serie B · Italy
Sudtirol
2 : 3 FT
Reggiana
Win 44%
Draw 29%
Win 27%
Under 2.5 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
La Liga · Spain
Atletico Madrid
1 : 0 FT
Sevilla
✓ Win 49%
Draw 27%
Win 24%
Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 63%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Dordrecht
2 : 1 FT
Emmen
✓ Win 53%
Draw 23%
Win 24%
✓ Over 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS Yes 69%
✓ Model Score 2–1 · 9%
Primeira Liga · Portugal
Vizela
0 : 0 FT
Moreirense
Win 26%
Draw 28%
Win 46%
✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 57%
Model Score 0–1 · 14%
Primeira Liga · Portugal
Vitória SC
1 : 0 FT
Rio Ave
✓ Win 53%
Draw 22%
Win 25%
Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 61%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Pro League · United-Arab-Emirates
Baniyas SC
2 : 1 FT
Al-Ittihad Kalba
Win 29%
Draw 25%
Win 46%
✓ Over 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS Yes 70%
Model Score 1–2 · 9%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Trabzonspor
1 : 1 FT
Başakşehir
Win 51%
Draw 29%
Win 21%
✓ Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 58%
Model Score 1–0 · 16%
Serie A · Italy
Hellas Verona
2 : 0 FT
Cagliari
✓ Win 47%
Draw 27%
Win 26%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Serie A · Italy
Inter
2 : 0 FT
Lecce
✓ Win 64%
Draw 22%
Win 15%
Over 2.5 54%
Model Score 1–0 · 12%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Antwerp
2 : 2 FT
KVC Westerlo
Win 58%
Draw 27%
Win 15%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–0 · 11%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
St. Truiden
1 : 0 FT
Charleroi
✓ Win 39%
Draw 38%
Win 23%
✓ Under 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS No 61%
✓ Model Score 1–0 · 17%
Premier League · England
Liverpool
1 : 1 FT
Arsenal
Win 48%
Draw 24%
Win 27%
Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Helmond Sport
3 : 3 FT
Roda
Win 35%
Draw 32%
Win 33%
Under 2.5 61%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al-Ittihad FC
1 : 3 FT
Al-Raed
Win 56%
Draw 22%
Win 22%
✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
Model Score 2–1 · 10%
Serie A · Italy
AS Roma
2 : 0 FT
Napoli
Win 35%
Draw 28%
Win 37%
BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Anderlecht
2 : 1 FT
Genk
Win 33%
Draw 29%
Win 38%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
FC Eindhoven
2 : 2 FT
Jong Ajax
Win 51%
Draw 24%
Win 25%
✓ Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%
Model Score 1–1 · 9%

Showing 70 of 70 fixtures for the day, in kick-off order. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Related markets

Correct Score — common questions

What does the Correct Score market mean?

Correct Score settles on whether a match finishes on one exact scoreline. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate correct score probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The most likely scoreline shown here is the single highest-probability cell in the model's full score matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Correct Score on Saturday 23 December 2023?

70 fixtures met the criteria, led by Tranmere vs Swindon Town at 75% most likely scoreline.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the model's single most likely scoreline for each fixture, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these correct score predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.