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Correct Score Predictions

Most likely scoreline for every fixture, from our prediction model — Sunday 12 March 2023

The Model Score is the same most-likely scoreline already shown on each fixture's own Predictions tab, from our prediction model. Once a fixture finishes, it's highlighted green if the model score matched the actual result shown above it exactly.

85 fixtures cleared the bar on Sunday 12 March 2023. Zenit vs Khimki sits top on 75% in the Premier League. The shortlist runs from 75% down to 20%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

The shortlist spans nine different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

K League 1 · South-Korea
FC Seoul
1 : 2 FT
Ulsan Hyundai FC
Win 33%
Draw 34%
Win 33%
Under 2.5 61%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
K League 1 · South-Korea
Jeonbuk Motors
2 : 0 FT
Gwangju FC
✓ Win 37%
Draw 35%
Win 28%
✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 55%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%
K League 1 · South-Korea
Incheon United
1 : 0 FT
Jeju United FC
✓ Win 36%
Draw 30%
Win 34%
Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Ankaragücü
2 : 0 FT
Alanyaspor
✓ Win 41%
Draw 25%
Win 34%
Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Hatayspor
0 : 3 FT
Konyaspor
Win 45%
Draw 26%
Win 29%
BTTS Yes 53%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Premier League · Russia
Zenit
3 : 2 FT
Khimki
✓ Win 81%
Draw 12%
Win 7%
✓ Over 2.5 75% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 3–0 · 9%
Thai League 1 · Thailand
Lampang FC
1 : 3 FT
Port FC
Win 20%
Draw 30%
✓ Win 49%
Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 55%
Model Score 0–1 · 15%
Thai League 1 · Thailand
Bangkok United
3 : 1 FT
Chonburi FC
✓ Win 54%
Draw 26%
Win 20%
✓ Over 2.5 53% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Premier League · Ukraine
Veres Rivne
2 : 2 FT
Vorskla Poltava
Win 29%
Draw 25%
Win 46%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Premier League · Ukraine
Dnipro-1
0 : 1 FT
Dynamo Kyiv
Win 45%
Draw 25%
Win 30%
BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
NEC Nijmegen
2 : 2 FT
Utrecht
Win 49%
Draw 24%
Win 27%
✓ Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Warta Poznań
0 : 0 FT
Cracovia Krakow
Win 50%
Draw 24%
Win 26%
BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Serie A · Italy
Lecce
0 : 2 FT
Torino
Win 33%
Draw 27%
✓ Win 40%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Thai League 1 · Thailand
Khon Kaen United
0 : 0 FT
BG Pathum United
Win 50%
Draw 30%
Win 20%
✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 57%
Model Score 1–0 · 15%
Championship · England
Norwich
0 : 1 FT
Sunderland
Win 35%
Draw 25%
✓ Win 39%
Over 2.5 53% BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Ligue 1 · France
Clermont Foot
0 : 4 FT
Lens
Win 24%
Draw 33%
✓ Win 42%
Under 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS No 59%
Model Score 0–1 · 16%
Thai League 1 · Thailand
Nong Bua Pitchaya
0 : 1 FT
Buriram United
Win 20%
Draw 26%
✓ Win 54%
Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Premier League · Ukraine
Kryvbas KR
0 : 3 FT
Shakhtar Donetsk
Win 13%
Draw 19%
✓ Win 69%
✓ Over 2.5 58%
Model Score 0–2 · 12%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
Holstein Kiel
1 : 2 FT
SSV Jahn Regensburg
Win 50%
Draw 25%
Win 25%
✓ BTTS Yes 53%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
Hannover 96
1 : 1 FT
Hansa Rostock
Win 35%
Draw 27%
Win 38%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 13%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
Karlsruher SC
4 : 2 FT
Hamburger SV
Win 29%
Draw 24%
Win 47%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Club Brugge KV
2 : 0 FT
Standard Liege
✓ Win 50%
Draw 24%
Win 26%
Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
La Liga · Spain
Mallorca
1 : 1 FT
Real Sociedad
Win 32%
Draw 31%
Win 37%
✓ Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 60%
Model Score 0–1 · 14%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Ümraniyespor
3 : 0 FT
Gaziantep FK
Win 27%
Draw 26%
Win 47%
Under 2.5 53%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Trabzonspor
4 : 1 FT
Adana Demirspor
✓ Win 52%
Draw 25%
Win 22%
Under 2.5 55%
Model Score 1–0 · 13%
Premier League · Ukraine
Ruh Lviv
0 : 1 FT
Kolos Kovalivka
Win 46%
Draw 26%
Win 27%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Super League · Switzerland
Servette FC
0 : 1 FT
FC Luzern
Win 34%
Draw 30%
✓ Win 36%
Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 62%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
Heerenveen
2 : 4 FT
Ajax
Win 14%
Draw 18%
✓ Win 68%
✓ Over 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
Model Score 1–2 · 9%
Premier League · Russia
CSKA Moscow
4 : 0 FT
Krylia Sovetov
✓ Win 51%
Draw 24%
Win 25%
✓ Over 2.5 53% BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Premier League · England
Fulham
0 : 3 FT
Arsenal
Win 23%
Draw 25%
✓ Win 52%
Model Score 0–1 · 12%
Premier League · England
Manchester United
0 : 0 FT
Southampton
Win 67%
Draw 20%
Win 12%
✓ BTTS No 57%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%
Premier League · England
West Ham
1 : 1 FT
Aston Villa
Win 44%
Draw 27%
Win 29%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Ligue 1 · France
Ajaccio
0 : 1 FT
Montpellier
Win 27%
Draw 30%
✓ Win 43%
✓ Under 2.5 53%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Ligue 1 · France
Angers
0 : 2 FT
Toulouse
Win 33%
Draw 25%
✓ Win 42%
Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 67%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Ligue 1 · France
Lorient
2 : 0 FT
Estac Troyes
✓ Win 56%
Draw 23%
Win 21%
Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 63%
Model Score 2–1 · 10%
Ligue 1 · France
Nantes
2 : 2 FT
Nice
Win 19%
Draw 33%
Win 47%
Under 2.5 70% BTTS No 63%
Model Score 0–1 · 18%
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Piast Gliwice
1 : 1 FT
Lech Poznan
Win 32%
Draw 29%
Win 39%
✓ Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 55%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Serie A · Italy
Cremonese
0 : 2 FT
Fiorentina
Win 20%
Draw 26%
✓ Win 53%
✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 57%
Model Score 0–1 · 15%
Serie A · Italy
Hellas Verona
1 : 1 FT
Monza
Win 40%
Draw 27%
Win 32%
✓ Under 2.5 56%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
Teplice
1 : 1 FT
Zbrojovka Brno
Win 41%
Draw 29%
Win 30%
✓ BTTS Yes 57%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
Mlada Boleslav
4 : 0 FT
Slovan Liberec
Win 35%
Draw 30%
Win 36%
BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Bundesliga · Germany
SC Freiburg
2 : 1 FT
1899 Hoffenheim
✓ Win 59%
Draw 27%
Win 15%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–0 · 11%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Zulte Waregem
2 : 6 FT
Gent
Win 27%
Draw 21%
✓ Win 52%
✓ Over 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS Yes 70%
Model Score 1–2 · 9%
Challenger Pro League · Belgium
RWDM
3 : 2 FT
Club Brugge II
✓ Win 59%
Draw 22%
Win 19%
✓ Over 2.5 55%
Model Score 1–0 · 11%
Primera División · Chile
U. Catolica
2 : 2 FT
Union Espanola
Win 58%
Draw 22%
Win 20%
✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
Model Score 2–1 · 10%
Serie B · Italy
Cosenza
1 : 0 FT
Spal
✓ Win 44%
Draw 33%
Win 23%
✓ Under 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS No 61%
✓ Model Score 1–0 · 17%
Serie B · Italy
Genoa
1 : 0 FT
Ternana
✓ Win 62%
Draw 27%
Win 11%
✓ Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 67% ✓ Genoa Clean Sheet 60%
✓ Model Score 1–0 · 20%
La Liga · Spain
Sevilla
2 : 1 FT
Almeria
✓ Win 68%
Draw 18%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 2–0 · 10%
Primeira Liga · Portugal
Rio Ave
2 : 1 FT
GIL Vicente
Win 32%
Draw 30%
Win 37%
Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 59%
Model Score 0–1 · 14%
Super League · Switzerland
FC Basel 1893
1 : 1 FT
FC ST. Gallen
Win 42%
Draw 24%
Win 34%
Over 2.5 73% ✓ BTTS Yes 74%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 8%
Super League · Switzerland
Grasshoppers
2 : 1 FT
FC Winterthur
✓ Win 51%
Draw 27%
Win 22%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
PSV Eindhoven
5 : 2 FT
Cambuur
✓ Win 66%
Draw 23%
Win 11%
Under 2.5 55% BTTS No 60% PSV Eindhoven Clean Sheet 54%
Model Score 1–0 · 16%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Başakşehir
0 : 2 FT
Beşiktaş
Win 43%
Draw 27%
Win 30%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Bundesliga · Austria
Lask Linz
0 : 2 FT
Red Bull Salzburg
Win 24%
Draw 22%
✓ Win 54%
Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 63%
Model Score 1–2 · 10%
Bundesliga · Austria
Wolfsberger AC
0 : 1 FT
Austria Lustenau
Win 51%
Draw 24%
Win 25%
Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Bundesliga · Austria
Sturm Graz
3 : 1 FT
Austria Vienna
✓ Win 39%
Draw 26%
Win 34%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Bundesliga · Austria
Austria Klagenfurt
1 : 0 FT
TSV Hartberg
✓ Win 45%
Draw 26%
Win 29%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Bundesliga · Austria
Rapid Vienna
2 : 0 FT
WSG Wattens
Win 35%
Draw 24%
Win 41%
Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 62%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Bundesliga · Austria
SCR Altach
1 : 2 FT
Ried
Win 41%
Draw 31%
Win 28%
Under 2.5 69% BTTS No 62%
Model Score 1–0 · 16%
Ligue 1 · France
Monaco
0 : 1 FT
Reims
Win 42%
Draw 30%
Win 28%
✓ Under 2.5 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Premier League · England
Newcastle
2 : 1 FT
Wolves
✓ Win 47%
Draw 29%
Win 24%
Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 59%
Model Score 1–0 · 16%
Bundesliga · Germany
Werder Bremen
2 : 3 FT
Bayer Leverkusen
Win 34%
Draw 30%
✓ Win 36%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Legia Warszawa
2 : 0 FT
Stal Mielec
✓ Win 48%
Draw 24%
Win 27%
Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Premier League · Russia
FC Rostov
2 : 1 FT
Nizhny Novgorod
✓ Win 45%
Draw 25%
Win 30%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Serie A · Italy
AS Roma
3 : 4 FT
Sassuolo
Win 54%
Draw 27%
Win 19%
Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 60%
Model Score 1–0 · 16%
Super League 1 · Greece
AEK Athens FC
1 : 3 FT
Olympiakos Piraeus
Win 43%
Draw 37%
Win 20%
Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 56%
Model Score 1–0 · 16%
Super League 1 · Greece
Aris Thessalonikis
3 : 1 FT
PAS Giannina
✓ Win 55%
Draw 30%
Win 14%
Model Score 1–0 · 13%
Super League 1 · Greece
Atromitos
0 : 2 FT
Panathinaikos
Win 23%
Draw 44%
Win 33%
✓ Under 2.5 80% ✓ BTTS No 68%
Model Score 0–0 · 22%
Super League 1 · Greece
Volos NFC
0 : 1 FT
PAOK
Win 13%
Draw 26%
✓ Win 61%
Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 0–2 · 11%
Super League 1 · Greece
Ionikos
1 : 0 FT
Asteras Tripolis
✓ Win 39%
Draw 39%
Win 22%
✓ Under 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS No 59%
✓ Model Score 1–0 · 16%
Super League 1 · Greece
Levadiakos
2 : 0 FT
OFI
Win 10%
Draw 30%
Win 60%
✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 61% OFI Clean Sheet 56%
Model Score 0–1 · 18%
Super League 1 · Greece
Panetolikos
1 : 1 FT
Lamia
Win 40%
✓ Draw 40%
Win 20%
✓ Under 2.5 75% BTTS No 64%
Model Score 1–0 · 19%
Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
Bohemians 1905
2 : 0 FT
Pardubice
Win 34%
Draw 25%
Win 40%
Over 2.5 68% BTTS Yes 69%
Model Score 1–1 · 9%
La Liga · Spain
Villarreal
1 : 1 FT
Real Betis
Win 39%
Draw 28%
Win 33%
✓ Under 2.5 58%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Genk
1 : 2 FT
Union St. Gilloise
Win 54%
Draw 23%
Win 23%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Primeira Liga · Portugal
Maritimo
0 : 3 FT
Benfica
Win 19%
Draw 26%
✓ Win 54%
Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 58%
Model Score 0–1 · 16%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Anderlecht
2 : 0 FT
Cercle Brugge
✓ Win 41%
Draw 26%
Win 33%
Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Challenger Pro League · Belgium
Lommel United
2 : 0 FT
KRC Genk II
✓ Win 43%
Draw 26%
Win 31%
BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Bundesliga · Germany
VfL Wolfsburg
1 : 1 FT
Union Berlin
Win 45%
Draw 26%
Win 29%
Over 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS Yes 71%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 9%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
Feyenoord
2 : 1 FT
FC Volendam
✓ Win 72%
Draw 19%
Win 9%
✓ Over 2.5 54% BTTS No 57%
Model Score 2–0 · 14%
Ligue 1 · France
Marseille
2 : 2 FT
Strasbourg
Win 53%
Draw 24%
Win 23%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Serie A · Italy
Juventus
4 : 2 FT
Sampdoria
✓ Win 64%
Draw 21%
Win 15%
✓ Over 2.5 54%
Model Score 1–0 · 12%
La Liga · Spain
Athletic Club
0 : 1 FT
Barcelona
Win 28%
Draw 29%
✓ Win 43%
✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 56%
✓ Model Score 0–1 · 14%
Primeira Liga · Portugal
Sporting CP
3 : 0 FT
Boavista
✓ Win 72%
Draw 16%
Win 11%
✓ Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 2–0 · 11%
Primera División · Chile
Colo Colo
0 : 0 FT
Universidad de Chile
Win 43%
Draw 29%
Win 29%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%

Showing 85 of 85 fixtures for the day, in kick-off order. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Related markets

Correct Score — common questions

What does the Correct Score market mean?

Correct Score settles on whether a match finishes on one exact scoreline. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate correct score probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The most likely scoreline shown here is the single highest-probability cell in the model's full score matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Correct Score on Sunday 12 March 2023?

85 fixtures met the criteria, led by Zenit vs Khimki at 75% most likely scoreline.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the model's single most likely scoreline for each fixture, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these correct score predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.